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We predict the future course of ongoing susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemics on regular, Erd\H{o}s-R\'{e}nyi and Barab\'asi-Albert networks. It is known that the contact network influences the spread of an epidemic within a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-11 Tanja Zerenner , Francesco Di Lauro , Masoumeh Dashti , Luc Berthouze , Istvan Z. Kiss

We study the influence of global, local and community-level risk perception on the extinction probability of a disease in several models of social networks. In particular, we study the infection progression as a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-12-05 Franco Bagnoli , Daniel Borkmann , Andrea Guazzini , Emanuele Massaro , Stefan Rudolph

It is the main purpose of this paper to introduce a graph-valued stochastic process in order to model the spread of a communicable infectious disease. The major novelty of the SIR model we promote lies in the fact that the social network on…

Applications · Statistics 2014-02-06 Charanpal Dhanjal , Stéphan Clémençon

Predicting the spread of vector-borne diseases in response to incursions requires knowledge of both host and vector demographics in advance of an outbreak. Whereas host population data is typically available, for novel disease introductions…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-02 Chris Jewell , Richard Brown

Tuberculosis is a deadly infectious disease prevalent around the world. Due to the lack of proper technology in place, the early detection of this disease is unattainable. Also, the available methods to detect Tuberculosis is not up-to a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-02-26 Ram Srivatsav Ghorakavi

Epidemic spreading is well understood when a disease propagates around a contact graph. In a stochastic susceptible-infected-susceptible setting, spectral conditions characterise whether the disease vanishes. However, modelling human…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-09-15 Desmond John Higham , Henry-Louis de Kergorlay

We consider the class of SIS epidemic models in which a large population of individuals chooses whether to adopt protection or to remain unprotected as the epidemic evolves. For a susceptible individual, adopting protection reduces the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-22 Abhisek Satapathi , Narendra Kumar Dhar , Ashish R. Hota , Vaibhav Srivastava

Networked epidemic models have been widely adopted to describe propagation phenomena. The endemic equilibrium of these models is of great significance in the field of viral marketing, innovation dissemination, and information diffusion.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-22 Fangzhou Liu , Shaoxuan Cui , Xianwei Li , Martin Buss

We investigate a model for spatial epidemics explicitly taking into account bi-directional movements between base and destination locations on individual mobility networks. We provide a systematic analysis of generic dynamical features of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-03-07 Vitaly Belik , Theo Geisel , Dirk Brockmann

The evaluation of infectious disease processes on radiologic images is an important and challenging task in medical image analysis. Pulmonary infections can often be best imaged and evaluated through computed tomography (CT) scans, which…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-24 Ashia Lewis , Evanjelin Mahmoodi , Yuyue Zhou , Megan Coffee , Elena Sizikova

Competition and collaboration are at the heart of multi-agent probabilistic spreading processes. The battle on public opinion and competitive marketing campaigns are typical examples of the former, while the joint spread of multiple…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-17 Hanlin Sun , David Saad , Andrey Y. Lokhov

We study the epidemic source detection problem in contact tracing networks modeled as a graph-constrained maximum likelihood estimation problem using the susceptible-infected model in epidemiology. Based on a snapshot observation of the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-02-28 Pei-Duo Yu , Chee Wei Tan , Hung-Lin Fu

The concept of the mutual influence that awareness and disease may exert on each other has recently presented significant challenges. The actions individuals take to prevent contracting a disease and their level of awareness can profoundly…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-08-07 Sara Shabani , Sahar Jafarbegloo , Sadegh Raeisi , Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad

The dynamics of strongly immunizing childhood infections is still not well understood. Although reports of successful modeling of several incidence data records can be found in the literature, the key determinants of the observed temporal…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-10-09 Ganna Rozhnova , Ana Nunes

In dynamic models of infectious disease transmission, typically various mixing patterns are imposed on the so-called Who-Acquires-Infection-From-Whom matrix (WAIFW). These imposed mixing patterns are based on prior knowledge of age-related…

Tuberculosis (TB) is still recognized as one of the leading causes of death worldwide. Recent advances in deep learning (DL) have shown to enhance radiologists' ability to interpret chest X-ray (CXR) images accurately and with fewer errors,…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-06 Daniel Capellán-Martín , Juan J. Gómez-Valverde , David Bermejo-Peláez , María J. Ledesma-Carbayo

Two factors that are often ignored but could play a crucial role in the progression of an infectious disease are the distributions of inherent susceptibility ($\sigma_{inh}$) and external infectivity ($\iota_{ext}$), in a given population.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-01 Saumyak Mukherjee , Sayantan Mondal , Biman Bagchi

The United Nations Joint Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS) has set a target to ensure that 15 million HIV-positive people in the world would be receiving combination anti-retroviral treatment (ART) by 2015. This target is likely to be reached…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-06-27 Brian G. Williams

Epidemic spreading of infectious diseases is ubiquitous and has often considerable impact on public health and economic wealth. The large variability in spatio-temporal patterns of epidemics prohibits simple interventions and demands for a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-11-25 Christel Kamp

Global strategies to contain a pandemic, such as social distancing and protective measures, are designed to reduce the overall transmission rate between individuals. Despite such measures, essential institutions, including hospitals,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-07 Roberto Morán-Tovar , Henning Gruell , Florian Klein , Michael Lässig