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We develop Probabilistic Targeted Factor Analysis (PTFA), a likelihood-based framework for constructing latent factors that are explicitly targeted to variables of economic interest. PTFA provides a probabilistic foundation for Partial…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-12 Miguel C. Herculano , Santiago Montoya-Blandón

We present an exploratory restricted latent class model where response data is for a single time point, polytomous, and differing across items, and where latent classes reflect a multi-attribute state where each attribute is ordinal. Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Eric Alan Wayman , Steven Andrew Culpepper , Jeff Douglas , Jesse Bowers

We consider statistical inference in factor analysis for ergodic and non-ergodic diffusion processes from discrete observations. Factor model based on high frequency time series data has been mainly discussed in the field of high…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-04 Shogo Kusano , Masayuki Uchida

Recent advances in federated learning have shown that asynchronous variants can be faster and more scalable than their synchronous counterparts. However, their design does not include quantization, which is necessary in practice to deal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Tomas Ortega , Hamid Jafarkhani

In this paper we analyse the five-factor capital market model of Munk et al.(2004). The model features a Vasicek interest rate model, an equity index with mean-reverting excess return and an index for realized inflation with mean-reverting…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-14 Søren Fiig Jarner , Michael Preisel

Latent factor models are the canonical statistical tool for exploratory analyses of low-dimensional linear structure for an observation matrix with p features across n samples. We develop a structured Bayesian group factor analysis model…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-12 Shiwen Zhao , Chuan Gao , Sayan Mukherjee , Barbara E Engelhardt

This paper develops a dynamic factor model in which common level and volatility factors evolve jointly, allowing conditional means and variances to interact endogenously within a large-information setting. The joint evolution of these…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-07 Haroon Mumtaz , Sofia Velasco

Credit risk in the China's bond market has become increasingly evident, creating a progressively escalating risk of default for credit bond investors. Given the current incomplete and inaccurate bond information disclosure, timely tracking…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-09 Kai Ren

This study deals with the pricing and hedging of single-tranche collateralized debt obligations (STCDOs). We specify an affine two-factor model in which a catastrophic risk component is incorporated. Apart from being analytically tractable,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-23 Zehra Eksi , Damir Filipović

Estimations and applications of factor models often rely on the crucial condition that the number of latent factors is consistently estimated, which in turn also requires that factors be relatively strong, data are stationary and weak…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-05 Jianqing Fan , Yuan Liao

We propose a quantile random-coefficient regression with interactive fixed effects to study the effects of group-level policies that are heterogeneous across individuals. Our approach is the first to use a latent factor structure to handle…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-06 Ruofan Xu , Jiti Gao , Tatsushi Oka , Yoon-Jae Whang

Panel data analysis is an important topic in statistics and econometrics. Traditionally, in panel data analysis, all individuals are assumed to share the same unknown parameters, e.g. the same coefficients of covariates when the linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-09 Heng Lian , Xinghao Qiao , Wenyang Zhang

Previous research has shown that ignoring individual differences of factor loadings in conventional factor models may reduce the determinacy of factor score predictors. Therefore, the aim of the present study is to propose a heterogeneous…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-11 André Beauducel , Norbert Hilger , Anneke C. Weide

We consider inference about coefficients on a small number of variables of interest in a linear panel data model with additive unobserved individual and time specific effects and a large number of additional time-varying confounding…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-29 Christian Hansen , Yuan Liao

We model systemic risk using a common factor that accounts for market-wide shocks and a tail dependence factor that accounts for linkages among extreme stock returns. Specifically, our theoretical model allows for firm-specific impacts of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-07 Wan-Chien Chiu , Juan Ignacio Peña , Chih-Wei Wang

Quantile regression (QR) is a principal regression method for analyzing the impact of covariates on outcomes. The impact is described by the conditional quantile function and its functionals. In this paper we develop the nonparametric…

High-fidelity (HF) data are often expensive to collect and therefore scarce, making conditional quantiles difficult to estimate accurately. We propose a two-stage, model-agnostic method for multi-fidelity quantile regression. The central…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Yixiang Liu , Yao Zhang

We consider continuous-time models with a large panel of moment conditions, where the structural parameter depends on a set of characteristics, whose effects are of interest. The leading example is the linear factor model in financial…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-12-04 Yuan Liao , Xiye Yang

Anomaly detection has a significant impact on applications such as video surveillance, medical diagnostics, and industrial monitoring, where anomalies frequently depend on context and anomaly-labeled data are limited. Quantum federated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Ratun Rahman , Sina Shaham , Dinh C. Nguyen

Given the success and almost universal acceptance of the simple linear regression three-factor model, it is interesting to analyze the informational content of the three factors in explaining stock returns when the analysis is allowed to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-17 Vassilis Polimenis