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A probabilistic framework is introduced that represents stylized banking networks and aims to predict the size of contagion events. In contrast to previous work on random financial networks, which assumes independent connections between…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-20 Thomas R. Hurd , James P. Gleeson

Social networks affect the diffusion of information, and thus have the potential to reduce or amplify inequality in access to opportunity. We show empirically that social networks often exhibit a much larger potential for unequal diffusion…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-21 Eaman Jahani , Dean Eckles , Alex 'Sandy' Pentland

Network-structured data becomes ubiquitous in daily life and is growing at a rapid pace. It presents great challenges to feature engineering due to the high non-linearity and sparsity of the data. The local and global structure of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-31 Xin Sun , Zenghui Song , Yongbo Yu , Junyu Dong , Claudia Plant , Christian Boehm

We consider distributed inference in social networks where a phenomenon of interest evolves over a given social interaction graph, referred to as the \emph{social digraph}. For inference, we assume that a network of agents monitors certain…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-06-18 Mohammadreza Doostmohammadian , Usman A. Khan

Diffusion describes the motion of microscopic entities from regions of high concentration to regions of low concentration. In multiplex networks, flows can occur both within and across layers, and super-diffusion, a regime where the time…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-04-02 Giulia Cencetti , Federico Battiston

Information diffusion prediction aims at predicting the target users in the information diffusion path on social networks. Prior works mainly focus on the observed structure or sequence of cascades, trying to predict to whom this cascade…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-08-09 Xiaowen Wang , Lanjun Wang , Yuting Su , Yongdong Zhang , An-An Liu

We introduce a new optimization framework to maximize the expected spread of cascades in networks. Our model allows a rich set of actions that directly manipulate cascade dynamics by adding nodes or edges to the network. Our motivating…

Complex network theory provides an elegant and powerful framework to statistically investigate different types of systems such as society, brain or the structure of local and long-range dynamical interrelationships in the climate system.…

Contagion processes on networks, including disease spreading, information diffusion, or social behaviors propagation, can be modeled as simple contagion, i.e. involving one connection at a time, or as complex contagion, in which multiple…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-06-19 Giulia Cencetti , Diego Andrés Contreras , Marco Mancastroppa , Alain Barrat

Networks are widely used in the biological, physical, and social sciences as a concise mathematical representation of the topology of systems of interacting components. Understanding the structure of these networks is one of the outstanding…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-06-21 M. E. J. Newman , E. A. Leicht

Our ability to uncover complex network structure and dynamics from data is fundamental to understanding and controlling collective dynamics in complex systems. Despite recent progress in this area, reconstructing networks with stochastic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-07-18 Zhesi Shen , Wen-Xu Wang , Ying Fan , Zengru Di , Ying-Cheng Lai

Cascade processes are responsible for many important phenomena in natural and social sciences. Simple models of irreversible dynamics on graphs, in which nodes activate depending on the state of their neighbors, have been successfully…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2013-09-16 Fabrizio Altarelli , Alfredo Braunstein , Luca Dall'Asta , Riccardo Zecchina

Adaptive networks consist of a collection of nodes with adaptation and learning abilities. The nodes interact with each other on a local level and diffuse information across the network to solve estimation and inference tasks in a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-05 Sheng-Yuan Tu , Ali H. Sayed

Information and individual activities often spread globally through the network of social ties. While social contagion phenomena have been extensively studied within the framework of threshold models, it is common to make an assumption that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-06-07 Teruyoshi Kobayashi

Ideas, behaviors, and opinions spread through social networks. If the probability of spreading to a new individual is a non-linear function of the fraction of the individuals' affected neighbors, such a spreading process becomes a "complex…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-08-30 Julian Kates-Harbeck , Michael M. Desai

Large cascades are a common occurrence in many natural and engineered complex systems. In this paper we explore the propagation of cascades across networks using realistic network topologies, such as heterogeneous degree distributions, as…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2019-04-03 Malgorzata Turalska , Keith Burghardt , Martin Rohden , Ananthram Swami , Raissa M. D'Souza

Understanding the structure of real data is paramount in advancing modern deep-learning methodologies. Natural data such as images are believed to be composed of features organized in a hierarchical and combinatorial manner, which neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-25 Antonio Sclocchi , Alessandro Favero , Matthieu Wyart

Information propagation in online social networks is facilitated by two types of influence - endogenous (peer) influence that acts between users of the social network and exogenous (external) that corresponds to various external mediators…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-10-01 Matija Piškorec , Tomislav Šmuc , Mile Šikić

Diffusion and propagation of information, influence and diseases take place over increasingly larger networks. We observe when a node copies information, makes a decision or becomes infected but networks are often hidden or unobserved.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-05-09 Manuel Gomez Rodriguez , Bernhard Schölkopf

We study an extension of Duncan Watts' 2002 model of information cascades in social networks where edge weights are taken to be random, an innovation motivated by recent applications of cascade analysis to systemic risk in financial…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-11-27 T. R. Hurd , James P. Gleeson