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In this work, we consider the popular tree-based search strategy within the framework of reinforcement learning, the Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS), in the context of infinite-horizon discounted cost Markov Decision Process (MDP). While…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-14 Devavrat Shah , Qiaomin Xie , Zhi Xu

Science and engineering problems subject to uncertainty are frequently both computationally expensive and feature nonsmooth parameter dependence, making standard Monte Carlo too slow, and excluding efficient use of accelerated uncertainty…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-10-01 Per Pettersson , Sebastian Krumscheid

Efficient sampling from high-dimensional distributions is a challenging issue which is encountered in many large data recovery problems involving Markov chain Monte Carlo schemes. In this context, sampling using Hamiltonian dynamics is one…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-02 Lotfi Chaari , Jean-Yves Tourneret , Caroline Chaux , Hadj Batatia

This paper reports the development of TOUCANS, a new Monte Carlo neutron transport code fully written using the Geant4 toolkit. It aims at modeling complex systems easily and rapidly, thanks to a simple key-value input file. While its main…

Accelerator Physics · Physics 2023-04-10 L. Thulliez , B. Mom , E. Dumonteil

In Monte Carlo simulations, proposed configurations are accepted or rejected according to an acceptance ratio, which depends on an underlying probability distribution and an a priori sampling probability. By carefully selecting the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-02-09 Emanuel Casiano-Diaz , Kipton Barros , Ying Wai Li , Adrian Del Maestro

Among random sampling methods, Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms are foremost. Using a combination of analytical and numerical approaches, we study their convergence properties towards the steady state, within a random walk Metropolis…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-01-08 Alexei D. Chepelianskii , Satya N. Majumdar , Hendrik Schawe , Emmanuel Trizac

The density of states of continuous models is known to span many orders of magnitudes at different energies due to the small volume of phase space near the ground state. Consequently, the traditional Wang-Landau sampling which uses the same…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-11-20 Yang Wei Koh , Hwee Kuan Lee , Yutaka Okabe

In Smyl et al. [Local and global trend Bayesian exponential smoothing models. International Journal of Forecasting, 2024.], a generalised exponential smoothing model was proposed that is able to capture strong trends and volatility in time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Xueying Long , Daniel F. Schmidt , Christoph Bergmeir , Slawek Smyl

Recently, global pulsar timing arrays have released results from searching for a nano-Hertz gravitational wave background signal. Although there has not been any definite evidence of the presence of such a signal in residuals of pulsar…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2022-10-12 A. Samajdar , G. Shaifullah , A. Sesana , J. Antoniadis , M. Burgay , D. J. Champion , S. Chen , M. Kramer , J. W. McKee , M. B. Mickaliger , E. Van der Wateren

This work develops a powerful and versatile framework for determining acceptance ratios in Metropolis-Hastings type Markov kernels widely used in statistical sampling problems. Our approach allows us to derive new classes of kernels which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-21 Nathan E. Glatt-Holtz , Justin A. Krometis , Cecilia F. Mondaini

In the Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) context, the growing number of available satellites has lead to many challenges when it comes to choosing the most accurate pseudorange contributions, given the strong impact of biased…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-09 Ibrahim Sbeity , Christophe Villien , Benoît Denis , E. Veronica Belmega

Elastic systems that are spatially heterogeneous in their mechanical response pose special challenges for molecular simulations. Standard methods for sampling thermal fluctuations of a system's size and shape proceed through a series of…

Materials Science · Physics 2015-05-13 Sander Pronk , Phillip L. Geissler

We present an adaptive method for the automatic scaling of Random-Walk Metropolis-Hastings algorithms, which quickly and robustly identifies the scaling factor that yields a specified overall sampler acceptance probability. Our method…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-06-21 P. H. Garthwaite , Y. Fan , S. A. Sisson

We statistically analyze empirical plug-in estimators for unbalanced optimal transport (UOT) formalisms, focusing on the Kantorovich-Rubinstein distance, between general intensity measures based on observations from spatio-temporal point…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-05 Marina Struleva , Shayan Hundrieser , Dominic Schuhmacher , Axel Munk

Hitting times provide a fundamental measure of distance in random processes, quantifying the expected number of steps for a random walk starting at node $u$ to reach node $v$. They have broad applications across domains such as network…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-11-07 Themistoklis Haris , Fabian Spaeh , Spyros Dragazis , Charalampos Tsourakakis

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods sample from unnormalized probability distributions and offer guarantees of exact sampling. However, in the continuous case, unfavorable geometry of the target distribution can greatly limit the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-09 Zengyi Li , Yubei Chen , Friedrich T. Sommer

The classical Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm can be extended to generate non-reversible Markov chains. This is achieved by means of a modification of the acceptance probability, using the notion of vorticity matrix. The resulting Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-29 Joris Bierkens

Stochastic neural net weights are used in a variety of contexts, including regularization, Bayesian neural nets, exploration in reinforcement learning, and evolution strategies. Unfortunately, due to the large number of weights, all the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-03 Yeming Wen , Paul Vicol , Jimmy Ba , Dustin Tran , Roger Grosse

We present a form of stratified MCMC algorithm built with non-reversible stochastic dynamics in mind. It can also be viewed as a generalization of the exact milestoning method, or form of NEUS. We prove convergence of the method under…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-21 Gabriel Earle , Jonathan Mattingly

Monte Carlo methods are widely used for neutron transport simulations at least partly because of the accuracy they bring to the modeling of these problems. However, the computational burden associated with the slow convergence rate of Monte…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-09-30 Jordan Northrop , Ilham Variansyah , Todd Palmer , Camille Palmer