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Temporal Graph Learning (TGL) is crucial for capturing the evolving nature of stock markets. Traditional methods often ignore the interplay between dynamic temporal changes and static relational structures between stocks. To address this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Yunhua Pei , Jin Zheng , John Cartlidge

The stock market is a crucial component of the financial system, but predicting the movement of stock prices is challenging due to the dynamic and intricate relations arising from various aspects such as economic indicators, financial…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-13 Hao Qian , Hongting Zhou , Qian Zhao , Hao Chen , Hongxiang Yao , Jingwei Wang , Ziqi Liu , Fei Yu , Zhiqiang Zhang , Jun Zhou

Stock price prediction is of significant importance in quantitative investment. Existing approaches encounter two primary issues: First, they often overlook the crucial role of capturing short-term stock fluctuations for predicting…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Chengqi Dong , Zhiyuan Cao , S Kevin Zhou , Jia Liu

Transformer-based models have recently shown success in representation learning on graph-structured data beyond natural language processing and computer vision. However, the success is limited to small-scale graphs due to the drawbacks of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-05 Jinyoung Park , Seongjun Yun , Hyeonjin Park , Jaewoo Kang , Jisu Jeong , Kyung-Min Kim , Jung-woo Ha , Hyunwoo J. Kim

Stock price movement prediction is commonly accepted as a very challenging task due to the volatile nature of financial markets. Previous works typically predict the stock price mainly based on its own information, neglecting the cross…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-16 Jiexia Ye , Juanjuan Zhao , Kejiang Ye , Chengzhong Xu

The ability to anticipate technical expertise and capability evolution trends globally is essential for national and global security, especially in safety-critical domains like nuclear nonproliferation (NN) and rapidly emerging fields like…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-20 Sameera Horawalavithana , Ellyn Ayton , Anastasiya Usenko , Robin Cosbey , Svitlana Volkova

Forecasting future stock trends remains challenging for academia and industry due to stochastic inter-stock dynamics and hierarchical intra-stock dynamics influencing stock prices. In recent years, graph neural networks have achieved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Zinuo You , Zijian Shi , Hongbo Bo , John Cartlidge , Li Zhang , Yan Ge

Accurate multivariate time series forecasting hinges on inter-series correlations, which often evolve in complex ways across different temporal scales. Existing methods are limited in modeling these multi-scale dependencies and struggle to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Shaoxun Wang , Xingjun Zhang , Qianyang Li , Jiawei Cao , Zhendong Tan

The price movement prediction of stock market has been a classical yet challenging problem, with the attention of both economists and computer scientists. In recent years, graph neural network has significantly improved the prediction…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-16 Sheng Xiang , Dawei Cheng , Chencheng Shang , Ying Zhang , Yuqi Liang

This paper studies forward-looking stock-stock correlation forecasting for S\&P 500 constituents and evaluates whether learned correlation forecasts can improve graph-based clustering used in basket trading strategies. We cast 10-day ahead…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-09 Jack Fanshawe , Rumi Masih , Alexander Cameron

Volatility forecasting is essential for risk management and decision-making in financial markets. Traditional models like Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) effectively capture volatility clustering but often…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-23 Pulikandala Nithish Kumar , Nneka Umeorah , Alex Alochukwu

Accurate traffic prediction in real time plays an important role in Intelligent Transportation System (ITS) and travel navigation guidance. There have been many attempts to predict short-term traffic status which consider the spatial and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Ruiyuan Jiang , Shangbo Wang , Yuli Zhang

Accurate modeling of inter-stock relationships is critical for stock price forecasting. However, existing methods predominantly focus on single-state relationships, neglecting the essential complementarity between dynamic and static…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Long Chen , Huixin Bai , Mingxin Wang , Xiaohua Huang , Ying Liu , Jie Zhao , Ziyu Guan

The stock market is characterized by a complex relationship between companies and the market. This study combines a sequential graph structure with attention mechanisms to learn global and local information within temporal time.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-25 Tzu-Ya Lai , Wen Jung Cheng , Jun-En Ding

Graph neural networks have shown remarkable performance in forecasting stock movements, which arises from learning complex inter-dependencies between stocks and intra-dynamics of stocks. Existing approaches based on graph neural networks…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Zhuodong Jiang , Pengju Zhang , Peter Martin

Financial technology (FinTech) has drawn much attention among investors and companies. While conventional stock analysis in FinTech targets at predicting stock prices, less effort is made for profitable stock recommendation. Besides, in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-21 Yi-Ling Hsu , Yu-Che Tsai , Cheng-Te Li

Accurate and real-time traffic state prediction is of great practical importance for urban traffic control and web mapping services. With the support of massive data, deep learning methods have shown their powerful capability in capturing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-07 Xunlian Luo , Chunjiang Zhu , Detian Zhang , Qing Li

Learning effective representations for Continuous-Time Dynamic Graphs (CTDGs) has garnered significant research interest, largely due to its powerful capabilities in modeling complex interactions between nodes. A fundamental and crucial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-06 Zhe Wang , Sheng Zhou , Jiawei Chen , Zhen Zhang , Binbin Hu , Yan Feng , Chun Chen , Can Wang

Stock trend classification remains a fundamental yet challenging task, owing to the intricate time-evolving dynamics between and within stocks. To tackle these two challenges, we propose a graph-based representation learning approach aimed…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-17 Zinuo You , Pengju Zhang , Jin Zheng , John Cartlidge

Accurate traffic flow prediction is essential for applications like transport logistics but remains challenging due to complex spatio-temporal correlations and non-linear traffic patterns. Existing methods often model spatial and temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Jing Chen , Haocheng Ye , Zhian Ying , Yuntao Sun , Wenqiang Xu
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