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We propose a stochastic process driven by the memory effect with novel distributions which include both exponential and leptokurtic heavy-tailed distributions. A class of the distributions is analytically derived from the continuum limit of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-27 Jongwook Kim , Teppei Okumura

We study the additive functional $X_n(\alpha)$ on conditioned Galton-Watson trees given, for arbitrary complex $\alpha$, by summing the $\alpha$th power of all subtree sizes. Allowing complex $\alpha$ is advantageous, even for the study of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-08 James Allen Fill , Svante Janson

We provide exact large-time equivalents of the density and upper tail distributions of the exponential functional of a subordinator in terms of its Laplace exponents. This improves previous results on the logarithmic asymptotic behaviour of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-17 Bénédicte Haas

Let $X_{1,n}\le\cdots\le X_{n,n}$ be the order statistics of $n$ independent random variables with a common distribution function $F$ having right heavy tail with tail index $\gamma$. Given known constants $d_{i,n}$, $1\le i\le n$, consider…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Lillian Achola Oluoch , László Viharos

We study branching processes of independently splitting particles in the continuous time setting. If time is calibrated such that particles live on average one unit of time, the corresponding transition rates are fully determined by the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-01 Serik Sagitov

Consider a critical Galton--Watson branching process with immigration, where the offspring distribution belongs to the domain of attraction of a $(1 + \alpha)$-stable law with $\alpha \in (0,1)$, and the immigration distribution either (i)…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-03 Peter Kevei , Kata Kubatovics

In his, by now, classical work from 1981, Nerman made extensive use of a crucial martingale $(W_t)_{t \geq 0}$ to prove convergence in probability, in mean and almost surely, of supercritical general branching processes (a.k.a.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-02 Alexander Iksanov , Konrad Kolesko , Matthias Meiners

In a seminal paper Biggins and Kyprianou \cite{BKy04} proved the existence of a non degenerate limit for the {\it Derivative martingale} of the branching random walk. As shown in \cite{Aid11} and \cite{Mad11}, this is an object of central…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-14 Thomas Madaule

This paper presents a model of asymmetric bifurcating autoregressive process with random coefficients. We couple this model with a Galton Watson tree to take into account possibly missing observations. We propose least-squares estimators…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-18 Benoîte de Saporta , Anne Gégout-Petit , Laurence Marsalle

We obtain an asymptotic expansion for the tails of the random variable $\tcal=\arg\max_{u\in\mathbb{R}}(\mathcal{A}_2(u)-u^2)$ where $\mathcal{A}_2$ is the Airy$_2$ process. Using the formula of Schehr \cite{Sch} that connects the density…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-12 Thomas Bothner , Karl Liechty

In a previous work, the authors proposed a Grammatical Evolution algorithm to automatically generate Lindenmayer Systems which represent fractal curves with a pre-determined fractal dimension. This paper gives strong statistical evidence…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2010-10-18 Manuel Cebrian , Manuel Alfonseca , Alfonso Ortega

We discuss approximations of the relative limit densities of descendants in Galton--Watson processes that follow from the Karlin--McGregor near-constancy phenomena. These approximations are based on the fast exponentially decaying Fourier…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-22 Anton A Kutsenko

In this monograph, we prove an asymptotic approximation for integrals of probability densities over sets in finite dimensional euclidean space, which are far away from the origin (asymptotic sets). We use this approximation to investigate…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Philippe Barbe

Consider the critical Galton-Watson branching system with infinite variance of the offspring law. We provide an alternative arguments against what Slack~{\cite{Slack68}} did when it seeked for a local expression in the neighborhood of point…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-27 Azam A. Imomov

We derive the asymptotic distribution of ordinal-pattern frequencies under weak dependence conditions and investigate the long-run covariance matrix not only analytically for moving-average, Gaussian, and the novel generalized coin-tossing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Angelika Silbernagel , Christian Weiß

The Wright-Fisher Fokker-Planck equation describes the stochastic dynamics of self-reproducing, competing variants at fixed population size. We use Fisher's angular transformation, which defines a natural length for this stochastic process,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-09-07 Bhavin S. Khatri

Let $Z = (Z_t)_{t\in[0,\infty)}$ be an ergodic Markov process and, for every $n\in\mathbb{N}$, let $Z^n = (Z_{n^2 t})_{t\in[0,\infty)}$ drive a process $X^n$. Classical results show under suitable conditions that the sequence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-06 Martin Hutzenthaler , Peter Pfaffelhuber , Clemens Printz

In this paper, we study the Galton-Watson process in the random environment for the particular case when the number of the offsprings in each generation has the fractional linear generation function with random parameters. In this case, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Dan Han , Stanislav Molchanov , Yanjmaa Jutmaan

We obtain in this work a sharp estimate on the left tail of the distribution of the so-called derivative martingale in the $L^4$ phase, answering a conjecture by H. Lacoin, R. Rhodes & V. Vargas in the framework of the Gaussian branching…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-22 Benjamin Bonnefont , Vincent Vargas

In the paper, we find exact asymptotics of the left tail of renewal measure for a broad class of two-sided random walks. We only require that an exponential moment of the left tail is finite. Through a simple change of measure approach, our…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-01 Bartosz Kołodziejek