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Spatio-temporal models are widely used in many research areas including ecology. The recent proliferation of the use of in-situ sensors in streams and rivers supports space-time water quality modelling and monitoring in near real-time. A…

In zone-based evacuation planning, the region to evacuate is divided into zones and each zone must be assigned a path to safety and departure times along the path. Zone-based evacuations are highly desirable in practice because they allow…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-25 Mohd. Hafiz Hasan , Pascal Van Hentenryck

Urban flood risk emerges from complex and nonlinear interactions among multiple features related to flood hazard, flood exposure, and social and physical vulnerabilities, along with the complex spatial flood dependence relationships.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Kai Yin , Junwei Ma , Ali Mostafavi

In this work, we propose a simulation-based estimation approach using generative neural networks to determine dependencies of precipitation maxima and their underlying uncertainty in time and space. Within the common framework of max-stable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-01 Christopher Bülte , Lisa Leimenstoll , Melanie Schienle

The operational flood forecasting system by Google was developed to provide accurate real-time flood warnings to agencies and the public, with a focus on riverine floods in large, gauged rivers. It became operational in 2018 and has since…

Time series forecasts are widely used to inform decisions. Human decision-makers interpret these forecasts, incorporate prior experience and uncertainty about future outcomes, and then make a decision. In this paper, we propose a new…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-01 Daniel Andrew Coulson , Martin T. Wells

We present a stochastic programming model for informing the deployment of ad hoc flood mitigation measures to protect electrical substations prior to an imminent and uncertain hurricane. The first stage captures the deployment of a fixed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-05 Brent Austgen , Erhan Kutanoglu , John J. Hasenbein

For autonomous agents to successfully operate in the real world, the ability to anticipate future scene states is a key competence. In real-world scenarios, future states become increasingly uncertain and multi-modal, particularly on long…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-01-23 Apratim Bhattacharyya , Mario Fritz , Bernt Schiele

Quasi-Bayesian theory uses convex sets of probability distributions and expected loss to represent preferences about plans. The theory focuses on decision robustness, i.e., the extent to which plans are affected by deviations in subjective…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-11-04 Fabio Gagliardi Cozman , Eric Krotkov

Effective placement of emergency rescue resources, particularly with joint suppliers in complex disaster scenarios, is crucial for ensuring the reliability, efficiency, and quality of emergency rescue activities. However, limited research…

Applications · Statistics 2023-07-06 Changwei Yuan , Shengxuan Ding , Yin Wang , Jian Feng , Ningyuan Ma

Due to climate and land-use change, natural disasters such as flooding have been increasing in recent years. Timely and reliable flood detection and mapping can help emergency response and disaster management. In this work, we propose a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-13 Ritu Yadav , Andrea Nascetti , Yifang Ban

Modeling flow in geosystems with natural fault is a challenging problem due to low permeability of fault compared to its surrounding porous media. One way to predict the behavior of the flow while taking the effects of fault into account is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-09-11 Youguang Chen , George Biros

The design of reliable indicators to anticipate critical transitions in complex systems is an im portant task in order to detect a coming sudden regime shift and to take action in order to either prevent it or mitigate its consequences. We…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-12-14 Martin Heßler , Oliver Kamps

Floods are among the most common and devastating natural hazards, imposing immense costs on our society and economy due to their disastrous consequences. Recent progress in weather prediction and spaceborne flood mapping demonstrated the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-09-30 Brandon Victor , Mathilde Letard , Peter Naylor , Karim Douch , Nicolas Longépé , Zhen He , Patrick Ebel

Tackling the difficult problem of estimating spatially distributed hydrological parameters, especially for floods on ungauged watercourses, this contribution presents a novel seamless regionalization technique for learning complex regional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-07 Ngo Nghi Truyen Huynh , Pierre-André Garambois , François Colleoni , Benjamin Renard , Hélène Roux

Climate change has led to an increase in the frequency and severity of extreme weather events, posing significant challenges for power distribution systems. In response, this work presents a planning approach in order to enhance the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-01 Ahmad Bin Afzal , Nabil Mohammed , Shehab Ahmed , Charalambos Konstantinou

For autonomous agents to successfully operate in the real world, anticipation of future events and states of their environment is a key competence. This problem can be formalized as a sequence prediction problem, where a number of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-10-01 Apratim Bhattacharyya , Mario Fritz , Bernt Schiele

Multivariate geo-sensory time series prediction is challenging because of the complex spatial and temporal correlation. In urban water distribution systems (WDS), numerous spatial-correlated sensors have been deployed to continuously…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-15 Ziqing Ma , Shuming Liu , Guancheng Guo , Xipeng Yu

The increasing frequency and severity of natural disasters underscore the critical importance of effective disaster emergency response planning to minimize human and economic losses. This survey provides a comprehensive review of recent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-08 Fan Pu , Zihao Li , Yifan Wu , Chaolun Ma , Ruonan Zhao

Large-scale disaster response operations frequently involve spontaneous volunteers who arrive independently at disaster sites and must be coordinated under severe time pressure. Assigning such volunteers to relief activities constitutes a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-13 Martina Sperling
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