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Generative Bayesian Computation (GBC) methods are developed for Casual Inference. Generative methods are simulation-based methods that use a large training dataset to represent posterior distributions as a map (a.k.a. optimal transport) to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-25 Maria Nareklishvili , Nicholas Polson , Vadim Sokolov

Predicting future motions of road participants is an important task for driving autonomously in urban scenes. Existing models excel at predicting marginal trajectories for single agents, yet it remains an open question to jointly predict…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-03-29 Qiao Sun , Xin Huang , Junru Gu , Brian C. Williams , Hang Zhao

Bundle pricing refers to designing several product combinations (i.e., bundles) and determining their prices in order to maximize the expected profit. It is a classic problem in revenue management and arises in many industries, such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Liangyu Ding , Chenghan Wu , Guokai Li , Zizhuo Wang

Demand forecasting is extremely important in revenue management. After all, it is one of the inputs to an optimisation method which aim is to maximize revenue. Most, if not all, forecasting methods use historical data to forecast the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Daniel Hopman , Ger Koole , Rob van der Mei

An agent-based model with interacting low frequency liquidity takers inter-mediated by high-frequency liquidity providers acting collectively as market makers can be used to provide realistic simulated price impact curves. This is possible…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-23 Ivan Jericevich , Patrick Chang , Tim Gebbie

Market makers play an important role in providing liquidity to markets by continuously quoting prices at which they are willing to buy and sell, and managing inventory risk. In this paper, we build a multi-agent simulation of a dealer…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-15 Sumitra Ganesh , Nelson Vadori , Mengda Xu , Hua Zheng , Prashant Reddy , Manuela Veloso

We study the method for detecting relationship changes in financial markets and providing human-interpretable network visualization to support the decision-making of fund managers dealing with multi-assets. First, we construct co-occurrence…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-17 Makoto Naraoka , Teruaki Hayashi , Takaaki Yoshino , Toshiaki Sugie , Kota Takano , Yukio Ohsawa

Algorithms increasingly automate bidding in online auctions, raising concerns about tacit bid suppression and revenue shortfalls. Prior work identifies individual mechanisms behind algorithmic bid suppression, but it remains unclear which…

General Economics · Economics 2026-03-24 Pranjal Rawat

Recent advances in generative AI have significantly enhanced the realism of multimodal media manipulation, thereby posing substantial challenges to manipulation detection. Existing manipulation detection and grounding approaches…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Yuchen Zhang , Yaxiong Wang , Kecheng Han , Yujiao Wu , Lianwei Wu , Li Zhu , Zhedong Zheng

Incentive mechanism is crucial for federated learning (FL) when rational clients do not have the same interests in the global model as the server. However, due to system heterogeneity and limited budget, it is generally impractical for the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-04-18 Bing Luo , Yutong Feng , Shiqiang Wang , Jianwei Huang , Leandros Tassiulas

Optimizing credit limits, interest rates, and loan terms is crucial for managing borrower risk and lifetime value (LTV) in personal loan platform. However, counterfactual estimation of these continuous, multi-dimensional treatments faces…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Kexin Zhao , Bo Wang , Cuiying Zhao , Tongyao Wan

Conjunct with the universal acceleration in information growth, financial services have been immersed in an evolution of information dynamics. It is not just the dramatic increase in volumes of data, but the speed, the complexity and the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-15 Jim Samuel

Coordinating traffic signals along multimodal corridors is challenging because many multi-agent deep reinforcement learning (DRL) approaches remain vehicle-centric and struggle with high-dimensional discrete action spaces. We propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Xiaocai Zhang , Neema Nassir , Lok Sang Chan , Milad Haghani

Deep learning methods have gained popularity in recent years through the media and the relative ease of implementation through open source packages such as Keras. We investigate the applicability of popular recurrent neural networks in…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-05 Andrew T. Karl , James Wisnowski , Lambros Petropoulos

Classical machine learning techniques often struggle with overfitting and unreliable predictions when exposed to novel conditions. Introducing causality into the modelling process offers a promising way to mitigate these challenges by…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-05-28 David Zapata Gonzalez , Marcel Meyer , Oliver Mueller

Generative seq2seq dialogue systems are trained to predict the next word in dialogues that have already occurred. They can learn from large unlabeled conversation datasets, build a deeper understanding of conversational context, and…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-11-21 Sam Shleifer , Manish Chablani , Anitha Kannan , Namit Katariya , Xavier Amatriain

Driven by the good results obtained in computer vision, deep generative methods for time series have been the subject of particular attention in recent years, particularly from the financial industry. In this article, we focus on commodity…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-30 Nicolas Boursin , Carl Remlinger , Joseph Mikael , Carol Anne Hargreaves

Although deep learning has achieved appealing results on several machine learning tasks, most of the models are deterministic at inference, limiting their application to single-modal settings. We propose a novel general-purpose framework…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-12 Sameera Ramasinghe , Kanchana Ranasinghe , Salman Khan , Nick Barnes , Stephen Gould

Machine learning (ML) models have been quite successful in predicting outcomes in many applications. However, in some cases, domain experts might have a judgment about the expected outcome that might conflict with the prediction of ML…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-02 Hogun Park , Aly Megahed , Peifeng Yin , Yuya Ong , Pravar Mahajan , Pei Guo

The role of a market maker is to simultaneously offer to buy and sell quantities of goods, often a financial asset such as a share, at specified prices. An automated market maker (AMM) is a mechanism that offers to trade according to some…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-02-15 Michael J. Curry , Zhou Fan , David C. Parkes