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This study introduces a statistical mechanics framework to analyze the territorial distribution of the Resident Foreign Population across Italian municipalities. The observed percentages of foreign residents are treated as the reference…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-14 Pierpaolo Massoli

This dissertation investigates the ability of the Ising model to replicate statistical characteristics, or stylized facts, commonly observed in financial assets. The study specifically examines in the S&P500 index the following features:…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-29 Bruno Giorgio

Uncovering the structure of socioeconomic systems and timely estimation of socioeconomic status are significant for economic development. The understanding of socioeconomic processes provides foundations to quantify global economic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-07-02 Jian Gao , Yi-Cheng Zhang , Tao Zhou

We discuss several algorithms for sampling from unnormalized probability distributions in statistical physics, but using the language of statistics and machine learning. We provide a self-contained introduction to some key ideas and…

Computation · Statistics 2025-05-05 Michael F. Faulkner , Samuel Livingstone

In order to figure out and to forecast the emergence phenomena of social systems, we propose several probabilistic models for the analysis of financial markets, especially around a crisis. We first attempt to visualize the collective…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-17 Takero Ibuki , Shunsuke Higano , Sei Suzuki , Jun-ichi Inoue , Anirban Chakraborti

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms represent a suite of robust computational methodologies utilized for state estimation and parameter inference within dynamical systems, particularly in real-time or online environments where data…

We introduce a new Ising-type framework for opinion dynamics that explicitly separates private preferences from publicly expressed binary opinions and naturally incorporates neutral agents. Each individual is endowed with an immutable…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-12 Simone Baldassarri , Vanessa Jacquier , Alessandro Zocca

The ongoing rapid urbanization phenomena make the understanding of the evolution of urban environments of utmost importance to improve the well-being and steer societies towards better futures. Many studies have focused on the emerging…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-22 Bernardo Monechi , Miguel Ibáñez-Berganza , and Vittorio Loreto

The dynamics of non-equilibrium Ising model with parallel updates is investigated using a generalized mean field approximation that incorporates multiple two-site correlations at any two time steps, which can be obtained recursively. The…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-06-17 Hamed Mahmoudi , David Saad

Mouse-tracking recording techniques are becoming very attractive in experimental psychology. They provide an effective means of enhancing the measurement of some real-time cognitive processes involved in categorization, decision-making, and…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-18 Antonio Calcagnì , Luigi Lombardi , Marco D'Alessandro

In this paper, we present a modelling experiment developed to study systems of cities and processes of urbanisation in large territories over long time spans. Building on geographical theories of urban evolution, we rely on agent-based…

We study opinion dynamics on networks with a nontrivial community structure, assuming individuals can update their binary opinion as the result of the interactions with an external influence with strength $h\in [0,1]$ and with other…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-14 Simone Baldassarri , Anna Gallo , Vanessa Jacquier , Alessandro Zocca

Network reliability is the probability that a dynamical system composed of discrete elements interacting on a network will be found in a configuration that satisfies a particular property. We introduce a new reliability property, Ising…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-11-23 Yihui Ren , Stephen Eubank , Madhurima Nath

Structural transformation, the shift from agrarian economies to more diversified industrial and service-based systems, is a key driver of economic development. However, in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), data scarcity and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-02 Ronald Katende

The building of mathematical and computer models of cities has a long history. The core elements are models of flows (spatial interaction) and the dynamics of structural evolution. In this article, we develop a stochastic model of urban…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-10 L. Ellam , M. Girolami , G. A. Pavliotis , A. Wilson

The Ising model was originally developed to model magnetisation of solids in statistical physics. As a network of binary variables with the probability of becoming 'active' depending only on direct neighbours, the Ising model appears…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-31 Lourens Waldorp , Maarten Marsman , Gunter Maris

This chapter aims at reviewing complex networks models and methods that were either developed for or applied to socioeconomic issues, and pertinent to the theme of New Economic Geography. After an introduction to the foundations of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-04-22 Luis M. Varela , Giulia Rotundo , Marcel Ausloos , Jesus Carrete

The Ising model is a simple statistical model for ferromagnetism. There are analytic solutions for low dimensions and very efficient Monte Carlo methods, such as cluster algorithms, for simulating this model in special cases. However most…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-08-25 Johann Ostmeyer , Evan Berkowitz , Thomas Luu , Marcus Petschlies , Ferenc Pittler

Markov community models have been applied to sessile organisms because such models facilitate estimation of transition probabilities by tracking species occupancy at many fixed observation points over multiple periods of time. Estimation of…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-12 Keiichi Fukaya , J. Andrew Royle , Takehiro Okuda , Masahiro Nakaoka , Takashi Noda

Urban socioeconomic modeling has predominantly concentrated on extensive location and neighborhood-based features, relying on the localized population footprint. However, networks in urban systems are common, and many urban modeling methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Devashish Khulbe , Alexander Belyi , Stanislav Sobolevsky
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