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Classification and Regression Trees (CARTs) are off-the-shelf techniques in modern Statistics and Machine Learning. CARTs are traditionally built by means of a greedy procedure, sequentially deciding the splitting predictor variable(s) and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-25 Rafael Blanquero , Emilio Carrizosa , Cristina Molero-Río , Dolores Romero Morales

Decision trees are renowned for their ability to achieve high predictive performance while remaining interpretable, especially on tabular data. Traditionally, they are constructed through recursive algorithms, where they partition the data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Yufan Zhuang , Liyuan Liu , Chandan Singh , Jingbo Shang , Jianfeng Gao

Sparse decision trees are one of the most common forms of interpretable models. While recent advances have produced algorithms that fully optimize sparse decision trees for prediction, that work does not address policy design, because the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-27 Ali Behrouz , Mathias Lecuyer , Cynthia Rudin , Margo Seltzer

Random forests have become an established tool for classification and regression, in particular in high-dimensional settings and in the presence of complex predictor-response relationships. For bounded outcome variables restricted to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-21 Leonie Weinhold , Matthias Schmid , Marvin N. Wright , Moritz Berger

We seek to provide an interpretable framework for segmenting users in a population for personalized decision-making. We propose a general methodology, Market Segmentation Trees (MSTs), for learning market segmentations explicitly driven by…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-16 Ali Aouad , Adam N. Elmachtoub , Kris J. Ferreira , Ryan McNellis

Within machine learning, the supervised learning field aims at modeling the input-output relationship of a system, from past observations of its behavior. Decision trees characterize the input-output relationship through a series of nested…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-20 Arnaud Joly

Decision trees and logistic regression are one of the most popular and well-known machine learning algorithms, frequently used to solve a variety of real-world problems. Stability of learning algorithms is a powerful tool to analyze their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-05 Nino Arsov , Martin Pavlovski , Ljupco Kocarev

Survival analysis is a statistical method employed to scrutinize the duration until a specific event of interest transpires, known as time-to-event information characterized by censorship. Recently, deep learning-based methods have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-26 Xiaotong Sun , Peijie Qiu

Conventional decision trees have a number of favorable properties, including interpretability, a small computational footprint and the ability to learn from little training data. However, they lack a key quality that has helped fuel the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-08 Thomas Hehn , Fred A. Hamprecht

When dealing with right-censored data, where some outcomes are missing due to a limited observation period, survival analysis -- known as time-to-event analysis -- focuses on predicting the time until an event of interest occurs. Multiple…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-23 Julie Alberge , Vincent Maladière , Olivier Grisel , Judith Abécassis , Gaël Varoquaux

Symbolic regression has recently gained traction in AI-driven scientific discovery, aiming to recover explicit closed-form expressions from data that reveal underlying physical laws. Despite recent advances, existing methods remain…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-02 Somjit Roy , Pritam Dey , Bani K. Mallick

We consider supervised learning with random decision trees, where the tree construction is completely random. The method is popularly used and works well in practice despite the simplicity of the setting, but its statistical mechanism is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-02-06 Mariusz Bojarski , Anna Choromanska , Krzysztof Choromanski , Yann LeCun

The most popular approach for analyzing survival data is the Cox regression model. The Cox model may, however, be misspecified, and its proportionality assumption may not always be fulfilled. An alternative approach for survival prediction…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-17 Marvin N. Wright , Theresa Dankowski , Andreas Ziegler

Decision trees are popular Classification and Regression tools and, when small-sized, easy to interpret. Traditionally, a greedy approach has been used to build the trees, yielding a very fast training process; however, controlling sparsity…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-24 Rafael Blanquero , Emilio Carrizosa , Cristina Molero-Río , Dolores Romero Morales

Decision tree learning is increasingly being used for pointwise inference. Important applications include causal heterogenous treatment effects and dynamic policy decisions, as well as conditional quantile regression and design of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-08 Matias D. Cattaneo , Jason M. Klusowski , Peter M. Tian

Decision trees are powerful machine learning algorithms, widely used in fields such as economics and medicine for their simplicity and interpretability. However, decision trees such as CART are prone to overfitting, especially when grown…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-13 Likun Zhang , Wei Ma

Decision trees are among the most popular machine learning models and are used routinely in applications ranging from revenue management and medicine to bioinformatics. In this paper, we consider the problem of learning optimal binary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-20 Sina Aghaei , Andrés Gómez , Phebe Vayanos

We propose Partition Tree, a novel tree-based framework for conditional density estimation over general outcome spaces that supports both continuous and categorical variables within a unified formulation. Our approach models conditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Felipe Angelim , Alessandro Leite

A decision tree is commonly restricted to use a single hyperplane to split the covariate space at each of its internal nodes. It often requires a large number of nodes to achieve high accuracy, hurting its interpretability. In this paper,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-23 Mohammadreza Armandpour , Mingyuan Zhou

Precision oncology aims to prescribe the optimal cancer treatment to the right patients, maximizing therapeutic benefits. However, identifying patient subgroups that may benefit more from experimental cancer treatments based on randomized…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-06 Xingyu Li , Qing Liu , Tony Jiang , Hong Amy Xia , Peng Wei , Brian P. Hobbs