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Overfitting remains a critical challenge in data-driven financial modeling, where machine learning (ML) systems learn spurious patterns in historical prices and fail out of sample and in deployment. This paper introduces the GT-Score, a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-03 Alexander Sheppert

Stock prediction aims to predict the future trends of a stock in order to help investors to make good investment decisions. Traditional solutions for stock prediction are based on time-series models. With the recent success of deep neural…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-12-17 Fuli Feng , Xiangnan He , Xiang Wang , Cheng Luo , Yiqun Liu , Tat-Seng Chua

Stock price prediction is a challenging problem in the field of finance and receives widespread attention. In recent years, with the rapid development of technologies such as deep learning and graph neural networks, more research methods…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-13 Peng Zhu , Yuante Li , Yifan Hu , Qinyuan Liu , Dawei Cheng , Yuqi Liang

Stock Movement Prediction (SMP) aims at predicting listed companies' stock future price trend, which is a challenging task due to the volatile nature of financial markets. Recent financial studies show that the momentum spillover effect…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-25 Yu Zhao , Huaming Du , Ying Liu , Shaopeng Wei , Xingyan Chen , Fuzhen Zhuang , Qing Li , Ji Liu , Gang Kou

Pre-training of Large Language Models is often prohibitively expensive and inefficient at scale, requiring complex and invasive modifications in order to achieve high data throughput. In this work, we present Token-Superposition Training…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Bowen Peng , Théo Gigant , Jeffrey Quesnelle

Traditionally, traders and quantitative analysts address alpha decay by manually crafting formulaic alphas, mathematical expressions that identify patterns or signals in financial data, through domain expertise and trial-and-error. This…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Qizhao Chen , Hiroaki Kawashima

Pre-trained models exhibit strong generalization to various downstream tasks. However, given the numerous models available in the model hub, identifying the most suitable one by individually fine-tuning is time-consuming. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Tengxue Zhang , Biao Ouyang , Yang Shu , Xinyang Chen , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang

Analysis and prediction of stock market time series data has attracted considerable interest from the research community over the last decade. Rapid development and evolution of sophisticated algorithms for statistical analysis of time…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2016-05-12 Jaydip Sen , Tamal Datta Chaudhuri

Traditional approaches to financial asset allocation start with returns forecasting followed by an optimization stage that decides the optimal asset weights. Any errors made during the forecasting step reduce the accuracy of the asset…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-08 Damian Kisiel , Denise Gorse

The application of deep learning to time series forecasting is one of the major challenges in present machine learning. We propose a novel methodology that combines machine learning and image processing methods to define and predict market…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-19 Bairui Du , Delmiro Fernandez-Reyes , Paolo Barucca

Recently, deep learning in stock prediction has become an important branch. Image-based methods show potential by capturing complex visual patterns and spatial correlations, offering advantages in interpretability over time series models.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-30 Zhiyuan Pei , Jianqi Yan , Jin Yan , Bailing Yang , Ziyuan Li , Lin Zhang , Xin Liu , Yang Zhang

This project investigates the interplay of technical, market, and statistical factors in predicting stock market performance, with a primary focus on S&P 500 companies. Utilizing a comprehensive dataset spanning multiple years, the analysis…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-18 Jiajun Gu , Zichen Yang , Xintong Lin , Sixun Chen , YuTing Lu

Stock price prediction can be made more efficient by considering the price fluctuations and understanding the sentiments of people. A limited number of models understand financial jargon or have labelled datasets concerning stock price…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-31 Mukul Jaggi , Priyanka Mandal , Shreya Narang , Usman Naseem , Matloob Khushi

The performance of financial market prediction systems depends heavily on the quality of features it is using. While researchers have used various techniques for enhancing the stock specific features, less attention has been paid to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-02 Ehsan Hoseinzade , Saman Haratizadeh , Arash Khoeini

With technological advancements and the exponential growth of data, we have been unfolding different capabilities of neural networks in different sectors. In this paper, I have tried to use a specific type of Neural Network known as…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-06-04 Kunal Bhardwaj

Predicting stock price movements during Earnings Announcements (EAs) is a significant challenge due to market noise and high-impact price discontinuities. In this study, we evaluate whether pre-announcement news sentiment, firm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Manuel Noseda , Nathan Soldati , Marco Paina

We applied Deep Q-Network with a Convolutional Neural Network function approximator, which takes stock chart images as input, for making global stock market predictions. Our model not only yields profit in the stock market of the country…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-27 Jinho Lee , Raehyun Kim , Yookyung Koh , Jaewoo Kang

Full electronic automation in stock exchanges has recently become popular, generating high-frequency intraday data and motivating the development of near real-time price forecasting methods. Machine learning algorithms are widely applied to…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-29 Xuekui Zhang , Yuying Huang , Ke Xu , Li Xing

Our research aims to find the best model that uses companies projections and sector performances and how the given company fares accordingly to correctly predict equity share prices for both short and long term goals.

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-18 Varun Sangwan , Vishesh Kumar Singh , Bibin Christopher

Stock prices are highly volatile and sudden changes in trends are often very problematic for traditional forecasting models to handle. The standard Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) networks are regarded as the state-of-the-art models for such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-29 Debasrita Chakraborty , Susmita Ghosh , Ashish Ghosh
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