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Consider first a memoryless population model described by the usual branching process with a given mean reproduction matrix on a finite space of types. Motivated by the consequences of atavism in Evolutionary Biology, we are interested in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-03 Jean Bertoin

This paper extends earlier work by Cox and Durrett, who studied the coalescence times for two lineages in the stepping stone model on the two-dimensional torus. We show that the genealogy of a sample of size n is given by a time change of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Iljana Zahle , J. Theodore Cox , Richard Durrett

Models of counts-of-counts data have been extensively used in the biological sciences, for example in cancer, population genetics, sampling theory and ecology. In this paper we explore properties of one model that is embedded into a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-01 Poly H. da Silva , Arash Jamshidpey , Simon Tavaré

We study the problem of comparing ageing patterns of the lifetime of k-out-of-n systems. Mathematically, this reduces to being able to decide about a stochastic ordering relationship between different order statistics. We discuss such…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-04 Tommaso Lando , Idir Arab , Paulo Eduardo Oliveira

We consider statistical patterns of variation in growth rates for over 400 species of breeding birds across North America surveyed from 1966 to 1998. We report two results. First, the standard deviation of population growth rates decays as…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Timothy H. Keitt , Luis A. N. Amaral , Sergey V. Buldyrev , H. E. Stanley

A pedigree is a directed graph that describes how individuals are related through ancestry in a sexually-reproducing population. In this paper we explore the question of whether one can reconstruct a pedigree by just observing sequence data…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-06-19 Bhalchandra D. Thatte , Mike Steel

In mathematical population genetics, it is well known that one can represent the genealogy of a population by a tree, which indicates how the ancestral lines of individuals in the population coalesce as they are traced back in time. As the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-20 Götz Kersting , Jason Schweinsberg , Anton Wakolbinger

By the use of Perron-Frobenius theory, simple proofs are given of the Fundamental Theorem of Demography and of a theorem of Cushing and Yicang on the net reproductive rate occurring in matrix models of population dynamics. The latter result…

Rings and Algebras · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Chi-Kwong Li , Hans Schneider

We study a class of branching processes in which a population consists of immortal individuals equipped with a fitness value. Individuals produce offspring with a rate given by their fitness, and offspring may either belong to the same…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-01 Steffen Dereich , Cecile Mailler , Peter Morters

Recovery of population size history from molecular sequence data is an important problem in population genetics. Inference commonly relies on a coalescent model linking the population size history to genealogies. The high computational cost…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-17 James E. Johndrow , Julia A. Palacios

In exponentially proliferating populations of microbes, the population typically doubles at a rate less than the average doubling time of a single-cell due to variability at the single-cell level. It is known that the distribution of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-29 Ethan Levien , Trevor GrandPre , Ariel Amir

Recent work has proven the existence of extreme inbreeding in a European ancestry sample taken from the contemporary UK population \cite{nature_01}. This result brings our attention again to a math problem related to inbreeding family trees…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-08 C. Jarne , F A. Gómez Albarracín , M. Caruso

The famous series of Fibonacci numbers is defined by a recursive equation saying that each number is the sum of its two predecessors, with the initial condition that the first two numbers are equal to unity. Here, we show that the numbers…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2013-03-29 Stefan Schuster

Stochastic models of sequential mutation acquisition are widely used to quantify cancer and bacterial evolution. Across manifold scenarios, recurrent research questions are: how many cells are there with $n$ alterations, and how long will…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-07-07 Michael D. Nicholson , David Cheek , Tibor Antal

A pedigree is a directed graph in which each vertex (except the founder vertices) has two parents. The main result in this paper is a construction of an infinite family of counter examples to a reconstruction problem on pedigrees, thus…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2010-09-21 Bhalchandra D. Thatte

When predicting the fate and consequences of recurring deleterious mutations in self-fertilising populations most models developed make the assumption that populations have discrete non-overlapping generations. This makes them biologically…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-04-22 Diala Abu Awad , Viet-Chi Tran , Sylvain Billiard

Genetic data are often used to infer demographic history and changes or detect genes under selection. Inferential methods are commonly based on models making various strong assumptions: demography and population structures are supposed…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-28 Clotilde Lepers , Sylvain Billiard , Matthieu Porte , Sylvie Méléard , Viet Chi Tran

We study a universal object for the genealogy of a sample in populations with mutations: the critical birth-death process with Poissonian mutations, conditioned on its population size at a fixed time horizon. We show how this process arises…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-30 G. Achaz , C. Delaporte , A. Lambert

We study Bernoulli bond percolation on a random recursive tree of size $n$ with percolation parameter $p(n)$ converging to $1$ as $n$ tends to infinity. The sizes of the percolation clusters are naturally stored in a tree. We prove…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-28 Erich Baur

In the class of normal regression models with a finite number of regressors, and for a wide class of prior distributions, a Bayesian model selection procedure based on the Bayes factor is consistent [Casella and Moreno J. Amer. Statist.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-20 Elías Moreno , F. Javier Girón , George Casella