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We introduce a mathematically rigorous framework for an artificial intelligence system composed of probabilistic agents evolving through structured competition and belief revision. The architecture, grounded in Bayesian inference, measure…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-25 Craig Steven Wright

This paper develops a comprehensive framework for artificial intelligence systems that operate under strict epistemic constraints, moving beyond stochastic language prediction to support structured reasoning, propositional commitment, and…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Craig Steven Wright

One aspect of the algorithmic lens in theoretical computer science is a view on other scientific disciplines that focuses on satisfactory solutions that adhere to real-world constraints, as opposed to solutions that would be optimal…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Eric Neyman

Weighted Updating generalizes Bayesian updating, allowing for biased beliefs by weighting the likelihood function and prior distribution with positive real exponents. I provide a rigorous foundation for the model by showing that…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-09 Jesse Aaron Zinn

The rise of human-information systems, cybernetic systems, and increasingly autonomous systems requires the application of epistemic frameworks to machines and human-machine teams. This chapter discusses higher-order design principles to…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2021-10-26 Susannah Kate Devitt

Belief systems are often treated as globally consistent sets of propositions or as scalar-valued probability distributions. Such representations tend to obscure the internal structure of belief, conflate external credibility with internal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-06 Saleh Nikooroo

When should we defer to AI outputs over human expert judgment? Drawing on recent work in social epistemology, I motivate the idea that some AI systems qualify as Artificial Epistemic Authorities (AEAs) due to their demonstrated reliability…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Benjamin Lange

We introduce the Probabilistic Worldbuilding Model (PWM), a new fully-symbolic Bayesian model of semantic parsing and reasoning, as a first step in a research program toward more domain- and task-general NLU and AI. Humans create internal…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-12-22 Abulhair Saparov , Tom M. Mitchell

Human-AI complementarity is the claim that a human supported by an AI system can outperform either alone in a decision-making process. Since its introduction in the humanAI interaction literature, it has gained traction by generalizing the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Andrea Ferrario , Alessandro Facchini , Juan M. Durán

Generative AI can convert uncertainty into hypersuasive, authoritative-seeming verdicts, displacing the justificatory work on which democratic epistemic agency depends. As a corrective, I propose a Brouwer-inspired assertibility constraint…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Michael Jülich

When collaborating with an AI system, we need to assess when to trust its recommendations. If we mistakenly trust it in regions where it is likely to err, catastrophic failures may occur, hence the need for Bayesian approaches for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Federico Cerutti , Lance M. Kaplan , Angelika Kimmig , Murat Sensoy

In this paper authors present a general methodology for age dependent reliability analysis of degrading or ageing systems, structures and components.The methodology is based on Bayesian methods and inference, its ability to incorporate…

Applications · Statistics 2012-10-19 Robertas Alzbutas , Tomas Iešmantas

How do people understand and evaluate claims about others' beliefs, even though these beliefs cannot be directly observed? In this paper, we introduce a cognitive model of epistemic language interpretation, grounded in Bayesian inferences…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-04-21 Lance Ying , Tan Zhi-Xuan , Lionel Wong , Vikash Mansinghka , Joshua B. Tenenbaum

We augment Assumption Based Argumentation (ABA for short) with weighted argumentation. In a nutshell, we assign weights to arguments and then derive the weight of attacks between ABA arguments. We illustrate our proposal through running…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Paolo Baldi , Fabio Aurelio D'Asaro , Abeer Dyoub , Francesca Alessandra Lisi

Nested weighted automata (NWA) present a robust and convenient automata-theoretic formalism for quantitative specifications. Previous works have considered NWA that processed input words only in the forward direction. It is natural to allow…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2017-06-27 Krishnendu Chatterjee , Thomas A. Henzinger , Jan Otop

Experiments in research on memory, language, and in other areas of cognitive science are increasingly being analyzed using Bayesian methods. This has been facilitated by the development of probabilistic programming languages such as Stan,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-02 Daniel J. Schad , Michael Betancourt , Shravan Vasishth

Embodied intelligence posits that cognitive capabilities fundamentally emerge from - and are shaped by - an agent's real-time sensorimotor interactions with its environment. Such adaptive behavior inherently requires continuous inference…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Bin Liu

This work introduces belief injection, a proactive epistemic control mechanism for artificial agents whose cognitive states are structured as dynamic ensembles of linguistic belief fragments. Grounded in the Semantic Manifold framework,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Sebastian Dumbrava

We examine belief filtering as a mechanism for the epistemic control of artificial agents, focusing on the regulation of internal cognitive states represented as linguistic expressions. This mechanism is developed within the Semantic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-09 Sebastian Dumbrava

The enhanced Bayesian network (eBN) methodology described in the companion paper facilitates the assessment of reliability and risk of engineering systems when information about the system evolves in time. We present the application of the…

Applications · Statistics 2012-03-28 Daniel Straub , Armen Der Kiureghian
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