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The question of whether the central limit theorem (CLT) holds for the total number of edges in exponential random graph models (ERGMs) in the subcritical region of parameters has remained an open problem. In this paper, we establish the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-09 Xiao Fang , Song-Hao Liu , Qi-Man Shao , Yi-Kun Zhao

Ferromagnetic exponential random graph models (ERGMs) are nonlinear exponential tilts of Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi models, under which the presence of certain subgraphs such as triangles may be emphasized. These models are mixtures of metastable…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Vilas Winstein

We prove a standard Central Limit Theorem for the (normalized) number of triangles in a class of Exponential Random Graphs derived from a slight modification of the edge-triangle model. Our main theorem covers the whole analyticity region…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Elena Magnanini , Giacomo Passuello

We consider the edge-triangle model, a two-parameter family of exponential random graphs in which dependence between edges is introduced through triangles. In the so-called replica symmetric regime, the limiting free energy exists together…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-31 Alessandra Bianchi , Francesca Collet , Elena Magnanini

In this paper, we explore the two-star Exponential Random Graph Model, which is a two parameter exponential family on the space of simple labeled graphs. We introduce auxiliary variables to express the two-star model as a mixture of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-04 Sumit Mukherjee , Yuanzhe Xu

We introduce a method for the theoretical analysis of exponential random graph models. The method is based on a large-deviations approximation to the normalizing constant shown to be consistent using theory developed by Chatterjee and…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-21 Sourav Chatterjee , Persi Diaconis

Exponential Random Graph Models (ERGM) behave peculiar in large networks with thousand(s) of actors (nodes). Standard models containing two-star or triangle counts as statistics are often unstable leading to completely full or empty…

Applications · Statistics 2016-04-19 Stephanie Thiemichen , Göran Kauermann

The paper deals with a random connection model, a random graph whose vertices are given by a homogeneous Poisson point process on $\mathbb{R}^d$, and edges are independently drawn with probability depending on the locations of the two end…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-18 Van Hao Can , Khanh Duy Trinh

The growing availability of network data and of scientific interest in distributed systems has led to the rapid development of statistical models of network structure. Typically, however, these are models for the entire network, while the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-18 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi , Alessandro Rinaldo

Random spatial networks-that is, graphs whose connectivity is governed by geometric proximity-have emerged as fundamental models for systems constrained by an underlying spatial structure. A prototypical example is the random geometric…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-20 Christian Hirsch , Kyeongsik Nam , Moritz Otto

It is well-known that, on a purely algebraic level, a simplified algebraic version of the Central Limit Theorem (CLT) can be proved in the framework of a noncommutative probability space, under the hypotheses that the sequence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-13 Claus Koestler , Alexandru Nica

We use a multivariate central limit theorem (CLT) to study the distribution of random geometric graphs (RGGs) on the cube and torus in the high-dimensional limit with general node distributions. We find that the distribution of RGGs on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-14 Oliver Baker , Carl P. Dettmann

We prove central limit theorems (CLTs) for topological functionals of Bernoulli bond percolation on infinite graphs beyond the Euclidean lattice $\mathbb{Z}^{d}$. For quasi-transitive graphs of subexponential growth, we show that the number…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-10 Luciano H. L. de Araújo , Daniel Miranda Machado , Cristian F. Coletti

For random combinatorial optimization problems, there has been much progress in establishing laws of large numbers and computing limiting constants for the optimal value of various problems. However, there has not been as much success in…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-24 Sky Cao

We consider the number of crossings in a random embedding of a graph, $G$, with vertices in convex position. We give explicit formulas for the mean and variance of the number of crossings as a function of various subgraph counts of $G$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-14 Santiago Arenas-Velilla , Octavio Arizmendi , J. E. Paguyo

We prove a central limit theorem for a certain class of functions on sparse rank-one inhomogeneous random graphs endowed with additional i.i.d. edge and vertex weights. Our proof of the central limit theorem uses a perturbative form of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-22 Anja Sturm , Moritz Wemheuer

We establish central limit theorems (CLTs) for the linear spectral statistics of the adjacency matrix of inhomogeneous random graphs across all sparsity regimes, providing explicit covariance formulas under the assumption that the variance…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-09 Xiangyi Zhu , Yizhe Zhu

We show central limit theorems (CLT) for the Stieltjes transforms or more general analytic functions of symmetric matrices with independent heavy tailed entries, including entries in the domain of attraction of $\alpha$-stable laws and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-12 Florent Benaych-Georges , Alice Guionnet , Camille Male

Establishing central limit theorems (CLTs) for ergodic averages of Markov chains is a fundamental problem in probability and its applications. Since the seminal work~\cite{MR834478}, a vast literature has emerged on the sufficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Miha Brešar , Aleksandar Mijatović , Gareth Roberts

A central limit theorem for arrays of symmetric row-wise exchangeable random variables is presented. The result is valid for finite and infinite extendable and non-extendable sequences. Unlike most reported versions of the central limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-22 Ilya Soloveychik
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