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Demand forecasting is a crucial component of demand management. While shortening the forecasting horizon allows for more recent data and less uncertainty, this frequently means lower data aggregation levels and a more significant data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-26 Jože M. Rožanec , Dunja Mladenić

Inventory Routing Problem (IRP) is a crucial challenge in supply chain management as it involves optimizing efficient route selection while considering the uncertainty of inventory demand planning. To solve IRPs, usually a two-stage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-02 MD Shafikul Islam , Azmine Toushik Wasi

Forecasts of product demand are essential for short- and long-term optimization of logistics and production. Thus, the most accurate prediction possible is desirable. In order to optimally train predictive models, the deviation of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-23 Dominik Martin , Philipp Spitzer , Niklas Kühl

How can short-term energy consumption be accurately forecasted when sensor data is noisy, incomplete, and lacks contextual richness? This question guided our participation in the \textit{2025 Competition on Electric Energy Consumption…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Sarah Al-Shareeda , Gulcihan Ozdemir , Heung Seok Jeon , Khaleel Ahmad

Electric energy is difficult to store, requiring stricter control over its generation, transmission, and distribution. A persistent challenge in power systems is maintaining real-time equilibrium between electricity demand and supply.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-27 Aurausp Maneshni

Model routing is a simple technique for reducing the inference cost of large language models (LLMs), wherein one maintains a pool of candidate LLMs, and learns to route each prompt to the smallest feasible LLM. Existing works focus on…

Accurate spatio-temporal information about the current situation is crucial for smart city applications such as modern routing algorithms. Often, this information describes the state of stationary resources, e.g. the availability of parking…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-04-19 Lukas Rottkamp , Matthias Schubert

Inventory management, vehicle routing, and delivery scheduling decisions are simultaneously considered in the context of the inventory routing problem. This paper focuses on the continuous-time version of this problem where, unlike its more…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-25 Akang Wang , Xiandong Li , Jeffrey E. Arbogast , Zachary Wilson , Chrysanthos E. Gounaris

Intermittency is a common and challenging problem in demand forecasting. We introduce a new, unified framework for building intermittent demand forecasting models, which incorporates and allows to generalize existing methods in several…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-06 Ali Caner Turkmen , Tim Januschowski , Yuyang Wang , Ali Taylan Cemgil

Time series forecasting is an important task in many fields ranging from supply chain management to weather forecasting. Recently, Transformer neural network architectures have shown promising results in forecasting on common time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-08 Rares Cristian , Pavithra Harsha , Clemente Ocejo , Georgia Perakis , Brian Quanz , Ioannis Spantidakis , Hamza Zerhouni

In recent decades, new methods and approaches have been developed for forecasting intermittent demand series. However, the majority of research has focused on point forecasting, with little exploration into probabilistic intermittent demand…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-16 Shengjie Wang , Yanfei Kang , Fotios Petropoulos

Intermittent demand, where demand occurrences appear sporadically in time, is a common and challenging problem in forecasting. In this paper, we first make the connections between renewal processes, and a collection of current models used…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-26 Ali Caner Turkmen , Yuyang Wang , Tim Januschowski

Intermittent demand forecasting is a ubiquitous and challenging problem in production systems and supply chain management. In recent years, there has been a growing focus on developing forecasting approaches for intermittent demand from…

Applications · Statistics 2022-09-01 Li Li , Yanfei Kang , Fotios Petropoulos , Feng Li

The deployment of deep neural networks in real-world applications is mostly restricted by their high inference costs. Extensive efforts have been made to improve the accuracy with expert-designed or algorithm-searched architectures.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Shaofeng Cai , Yao Shu , Wei Wang , Beng Chin Ooi

Demand forecasting in supply chain management (SCM) is critical for optimizing inventory, reducing waste, and improving customer satisfaction. Conventional approaches frequently neglect external influences like weather, festivities, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-09 Anees Fatima , Mohammad Abdus Salam

Model routing chooses which language model to use for each query. By sending easy queries to cheaper models and hard queries to stronger ones, it can significantly reduce inference cost while maintaining high accuracy. However, most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Qi Cao , Shuhao Zhang , Ruizhe Zhou , Ruiyi Zhang , Peijia Qin , Pengtao Xie

We present a scalable and robust Bayesian inference method for linear state space models. The method is applied to demand forecasting in the context of a large e-commerce platform, paying special attention to intermittent and bursty target…

Modern applications increasingly rely on inference serving systems to provide low-latency insights with a diverse set of machine learning models. Existing systems often utilize resource elasticity to scale with demand. However, many…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Joel Wolfrath , Daniel Frink , Abhishek Chandra

Accurate and fast demand forecast is one of the hot topics in supply chain for enabling the precise execution of the corresponding downstream processes (inbound and outbound planning, inventory placement, network planning, etc). We develop…

Demand forecasting plays an important role in many inventory control problems. To mitigate the potential harms of model misspecification, various forms of distributionally robust optimization have been applied. Although many of these…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-21 Linwei Xin , David A. Goldberg
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