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In recent years, shrinkage priors have received much attention in high-dimensional data analysis from a Bayesian perspective. Compared with widely used spike-and-slab priors, shrinkage priors have better computational efficiency. But the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-16 Ruoyang Zhang , Malay Ghosh

The frequentist behavior of nonparametric Bayes estimates, more specifically, rates of contraction of the posterior distributions to shrinking $L^r$-norm neighborhoods, $1\le r\le\infty$, of the unknown parameter, are studied. A theorem for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-12 Evarist Giné , Richard Nickl

We consider nonparametric Bayesian estimation of a probability density $p$ based on a random sample of size $n$ from this density using a hierarchical prior. The prior consists, for instance, of prior weights on the regularity of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Subhashis Ghosal , Jüri Lember , Aad van der Vaart

We investigate the application of a posteriori error estimates to a fractional optimal control problem with pointwise control constraints. Specifically, we address a problem in which the state equation is formulated as an integral form of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-10 Fangyuan Wang , Qiming Wang , Zhaojie Zhou

Variational Bayesian Inference is a popular methodology for approximating posterior distributions over Bayesian neural network weights. Recent work developing this class of methods has explored ever richer parameterizations of the…

Uncovering genuine relationships between a response variable of interest and a large collection of covariates is a fundamental and practically important problem. In the context of Gaussian linear models, both the Bayesian and non-Bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-11 Jeyong Lee , Minwoo Chae , Ryan Martin

Performing inference in Bayesian models requires sampling algorithms to draw samples from the posterior. This becomes prohibitively expensive as the size of data sets increase. Constructing approximations to the posterior which are cheap to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-19 George Wynne

Estimating time-varying correlation matrices is challenging because existing methods may adapt slowly to structural changes, impose insufficient regularization, or produce diffuse posterior uncertainty. In moderate dimensions, an additional…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Daniel Andrew Coulson , David S. Matteson , Martin T. Wells

We present a continuation method that entails generating a sequence of transition probability density functions from the prior to the posterior in the context of Bayesian inference for parameter estimation problems. The characterization of…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-27 Ben Mansour Dia

We present a novel Bayesian framework for inverse problems in which the pos terior distribution is interpreted as the intensity measure of a Poisson point process (PPP). The posterior density is approximated using kernel density estimation,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-08 Zhiliang Deng , Zhiyuan Wang , Xiaomei Yang , Xiaofei Guan

This work derives a posteriori error estimate of polygonal finite element methods based on Wachspress barycentric coordinates. In particular, we prove that the classical residual-based a posteriori error estimator is both an upper and lower…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-07 Yihui Zhou , Yuwen Li

In high-dimensions, the prior tails can have a significant effect on both posterior computation and asymptotic concentration rates. To achieve optimal rates while keeping the posterior computations relatively simple, an empirical Bayes…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-03 Yue Yang , Ryan Martin

A filament consists of local maximizers of a smooth function $f$ when moving in a certain direction. A filamentary structure is an important feature of the shape of an object and is also considered as an important lower dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-26 Wei Li , Subhashis Ghosal

We consider the problem of estimation in Hidden Markov models with finite state space and nonparametric emission distributions. Efficient estimators for the transition matrix are exhibited, and a semiparametric Bernstein-von Mises result is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-09 Daniel Moss , Judith Rousseau

In this paper, we explore adaptive inference based on variational Bayes. Although several studies have been conducted to analyze the contraction properties of variational posteriors, there is still a lack of a general and computationally…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-12 Ilsang Ohn , Lizhen Lin

We revisit the Bayesian Context Trees (BCT) modelling framework for discrete time series, which was recently found to be very effective in numerous tasks including model selection, estimation and prediction. A novel representation of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-21 Ioannis Papageorgiou , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

This article discusses nonconforming finite element methods for convex minimization problems and systematically derives dual mixed formulations. Duality relations lead to simple error estimates that avoid an explicit treatment of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-02-07 Sören Bartels

In an indirect Gaussian sequence space model lower and upper bounds are derived for the concentration rate of the posterior distribution of the parameter of interest shrinking to the parameter value $\theta^\circ$ that generates the data.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-03 Jan Johannes , Anna Simoni , Rudolf Schenk

We consider non-parametric Bayesian estimation of the drift coefficient of a one-dimensional stochastic differential equation from discrete-time observations on the solution of this equation. Under suitable regularity conditions that are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Shota Gugushvili , Peter Spreij

We consider heteroscedastic nonparametric regression models, when both the mean function and variance function are unknown and to be estimated with nonparametric approaches. We derive convergence rates of posterior distributions for this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-07 Yuao Hu