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The prior distribution for the unknown model parameters plays a crucial role in the process of statistical inference based on Bayesian methods. However, specifying suitable priors is often difficult even when detailed prior knowledge is…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-18 Marcelo Hartmann , Georgi Agiashvili , Paul Bürkner , Arto Klami

This paper presents a new deterministic approximation technique in Bayesian networks. This method, "Expectation Propagation", unifies two previous techniques: assumed-density filtering, an extension of the Kalman filter, and loopy belief…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Thomas P. Minka

Approximate Bayesian inference methods provide a powerful suite of tools for finding approximations to intractable posterior distributions. However, machine learning applications typically involve selecting actions, which -- in a Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-11 Michael J. Morais , Jonathan W. Pillow

This paper is concerned with the linear/nonlinear Kalman-like filtering problem under binary sensors. Since innovation represents new information in the sensor measurement and serves to correct the prediction for the Kalman-like filter…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-28 Zhongyao Hu , Bo Chen , Yuchen Zhang , Li Yu

Large Language Models (LLMs) demonstrate strong few-shot generalization through in-context learning, yet their reasoning in dynamic and stochastic environments remains opaque. Prior studies mainly focus on static tasks and overlook the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Jensen Zhang , Jing Yang , Keze Wang

Practical Bayes filters often assume the state distribution of each time step to be Gaussian for computational tractability, resulting in the so-called Gaussian filters. When facing nonlinear systems, Gaussian filters such as extended…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-17 Wenhan Cao , Tianyi Zhang , Zeju Sun , Chang Liu , Stephen S. -T. Yau , Shengbo Eben Li

We present a scalable and robust Bayesian inference method for linear state space models. The method is applied to demand forecasting in the context of a large e-commerce platform, paying special attention to intermittent and bursty target…

Federated learning (FL) demonstrates its advantages in integrating distributed infrastructure, communication, computing and learning in a privacy-preserving manner. However, the robustness and capabilities of existing FL methods are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-27 Longbing Cao , Hui Chen , Xuhui Fan , Joao Gama , Yew-Soon Ong , Vipin Kumar

We propose a Bayesian neural network-based continual learning algorithm using Variational Inference, aiming to overcome several drawbacks of existing methods. Specifically, in continual learning scenarios, storing network parameters at each…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-22 Sanchar Palit , Biplab Banerjee , Subhasis Chaudhuri

Offline Reinforcement learning is commonly used for sequential decision-making in domains such as healthcare and education, where the rewards are known and the transition dynamics $T$ must be estimated on the basis of batch data. A key…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-10 Leo Benac , Sonali Parbhoo , Finale Doshi-Velez

We propose an efficient transfer Bayesian optimization method, which finds the maximum of an expensive-to-evaluate black-box function by using data on related optimization tasks. Our method uses auxiliary information that represents the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-18 Tomoharu Iwata , Takuma Otsuka

This paper proposes a novel localization framework based on collaborative training or federated learning paradigm, for highly accurate localization of autonomous vehicles. More specifically, we build on the standard approach of KalmanNet, a…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-02-14 Nikos Piperigkos , Alexandros Gkillas , Christos Anagnostopoulos , Aris S. Lalos

Transfer learning (TL) has been widely used in motor imagery (MI) based brain-computer interfaces (BCIs) to reduce the calibration effort for a new subject, and demonstrated promising performance. While a closed-loop MI-based BCI system,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-04 Dongrui Wu , Xue Jiang , Ruimin Peng , Wanzeng Kong , Jian Huang , Zhigang Zeng

Federated learning (FL) enables collaborative model training across decentralized clients while preserving data privacy, leveraging aggregated updates to build robust global models. However, this training paradigm faces significant…

Recent years have witnessed a growing interest in tracking algorithms that augment Kalman Filters (KFs) with Deep Neural Networks (DNNs). By transforming KFs into trainable deep learning models, one can learn from data to reliably track a…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-19 Yehonatan Dahan , Guy Revach , Jindrich Dunik , Nir Shlezinger

Deep learning is increasingly moving towards a transfer learning paradigm whereby large foundation models are fine-tuned on downstream tasks, starting from an initialization learned on the source task. But an initialization contains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-23 Ravid Shwartz-Ziv , Micah Goldblum , Hossein Souri , Sanyam Kapoor , Chen Zhu , Yann LeCun , Andrew Gordon Wilson

This paper proposes new methodology for sequential state and parameter estimation within the ensemble Kalman filter. The method is fully Bayesian and propagates the joint posterior density of states and parameters over time. In order to…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-14 Jonathan R. Stroud , Matthias Katzfuss , Christopher K. Wikle

For linear and Gaussian state space models parametrized by $\theta_0 \in \Theta \subset \mathbb{R}^r, r \geq 1$ corresponding to the vector of parameters of the model, the Kalman filter gives exactly the solution for the optimal filtering…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2017-04-04 Salima El Kolei

Updating $\textit{a priori}$ information given some observed data is the core tenet of Bayesian inference. Bayesian transfer learning extends this idea by incorporating information from a related dataset to improve the inference on the…

This paper presents an algorithm to improve state estimation for legged robots. Among existing model-based state estimation methods for legged robots, the contact-aided invariant extended Kalman filter defines the state on a Lie group to…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Seokju Lee , Hyun-Bin Kim , Kyung-Soo Kim
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