Related papers: Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen: Sand, Wind and Inference
We reformulate an earlier model of the "Emergence of classes..." proposed by Axtell etal. using more elaborate cognitive processes allowing a statistical physics approach. The thorough analysis of the phase space and of the basins of…
While fiducial inference was widely considered a big blunder by R.A. Fisher, the goal he initially set --`inferring the uncertainty of model parameters on the basis of observations' -- has been continually pursued by many statisticians. To…
This is an adapatation by U. Frisch of an English translation by Thomas E. Burton of Euler's memoir `Principes g\'en\'eraux du mouvement des fluides' (Euler, 1775b). Burton's translation appeared in Fluid Dynamics, 34} (1999) pp. 801-82,…
This is a writeup of lectures on "statistics" that have evolved from the initial version for the 2009 Hadron Collider Physics Summer School at CERN to versions for other venues and, most recently, for the African School of Fundamental…
This opening editorial aims to interest researchers and encourage novel research in the closely related fields of sociophysics and computational social science. We briefly discuss challenges and possible research directions in the study of…
The theory of random graphs goes back to the late 1950s when Paul Erd\H{o}s and Alfr\'ed R\'enyi introduced the Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph. Since then many models have been developed, and the study of random graph models has become…
Let $f:\mathbb{R} \rightarrow \mathbb{R}$ be a function for which we want to take local averages. Assuming we cannot look into the future, the 'average' at time $t$ can only use $f(s)$ for $s \leq t$. A natural way to do so is via a weight…
This article concerns the estimation of hitting time statistics for potentially non-stationary processes. The main focus is exceedance times of environmental processes. To this end we consider an empirical estimator based on ergodic theory…
This study provides a summary of the theory which enables the analysis of extreme values, i.e., of measurements acquired from the observation of extraordinary/rare physical phenomena. The formalism is developed in a transparent way,…
The aim of this article is twofold. First, we shall review and analyse the Neo-Kantian justification for the application of probabilistic concepts in physics that was defended by Hans Reichenbach early in his career, notably in his…
We establish a variety of extensions to the Erdos-Rado Theorem, particularly involving ordinal numbers, and always involving ordinary partition relations. Most of the results can be regarded as consequences of the Ramification Principle,…
We consider a transformed Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process model that can be a good candidate for modelling real-life processes characterized by a combination of time-reverting behaviour with heavy distribution tails. We begin with presenting the…
This study aims to leverage the relationship between fluid dynamic loading and resulting structural deformation to infer the incident flow speed from measurements of time-dependent structure kinematics. Wind tunnel studies are performed on…
We investigate a recursively generated sequence of random variables that begins with an Exponential random variable with parameter (i.e., inverse-mean) 1, and continues with additional Exponentials, each of whose random parameter possesses…
This article provides a selective review on the recent literature on econometric models of network formation. The survey starts with a brief exposition on basic concepts and tools for the statistical description of networks. I then offer a…
A crucial goal of funding research and development has always been to advance economic development. On this basis, a consider-able body of research undertaken with the purpose of determining what exactly constitutes economic impact and how…
With the growing number of wind farms over the last decades and the availability of large datasets, research in wind-farm flow modeling - one of the key components in optimizing the design and operation of wind farms - is shifting towards…
We consider two aspects of Marc Yor's work that have had an impact in statistical physics: firstly, his results on the windings of planar Brownian motion and their implications for the study of polymers; secondly, his theory of exponential…
This paper is about two things: (i) Charles Sanders Peirce (1837-1914) -- an iconoclastic philosopher and polymath who is among the greatest of American minds. (ii) Abductive inference -- a term coined by C. S. Peirce, which he defined as…
Neural networks are gaining widespread relevance for their versatility, holding the promise to yield a significant methodological shift in different domain of applied research. Here, we provide a simple pedagogical account of the basic…