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This paper is a top down historical perspective on the several phases in the development of probability from its prehistoric origins to its modern day evolution, as one of the key methodologies in artificial intelligence, data science, and…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2020-03-09 Nozer D. Singpurwalla , Boya Lai

Karl Pearson is the leading figure of XX century statistics. He and his co-workers crafted the core of the theory, methods and language of frequentist or classical statistics -- the prevalent inductive logic of contemporary science.…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2019-08-20 Julio Michael Stern

This paper reviews a paper from 1906 by J. Henri Poincar\'e on statistical mechanics with a background in his earlier work and notable connections to J. Willard Gibbs. Poincar\'e's paper presents important ideas that are still relevant for…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2025-05-20 Bruce D. Popp

This paper debates the contribution of Econophysics to the economic or financial domains. Since the traditional approach performed by Economics or Finance has revealed to be insufficient in fully characterizing and explaining the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-06-28 Sonia R. Bentes

This paper offers a comprehensive introduction to Bayesian inference, combining historical context, theoretical foundations, and core analytical examples. Beginning with Bayes' theorem and the philosophical distinctions between Bayesian and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-08 Juan Sosa , Carlos A. Martínez , Danna Cruz

This paper examines from an experimental perspective random forests, the increasingly used statistical method for classification and regression problems introduced by Leo Breiman in 2001. It first aims at confirming, known but sparse,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2008-11-24 Robin Genuer , Jean-Michel Poggi , Christine Tuleau

A case is made that researchers are interested in studying processes. Often the inferences they are interested in making are about the process and its associated population. On other occasions, a researcher may be interested in making an…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2022-06-20 Charles W. Champ , Andrew V. Sills

Inductive inference is a recursion-theoretic theory of learning, first developed by E. M. Gold (1967). This paper surveys developments in probabilistic inductive inference. We mainly focus on finite inference of recursive functions, since…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Andris Ambainis

I review recent work in the statistics literature on instrumental variables methods from an econometrics perspective. I discuss some of the older, economic, applications including supply and demand models and relate them to the recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-02 Guido W. Imbens

The models surveyed include generalized P\'{o}lya urns, reinforced random walks, interacting urn models, and continuous reinforced processes. Emphasis is on methods and results, with sketches provided of some proofs. Applications are…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Robin Pemantle

Causality is a subject of philosophical debate and a central scientific issue with a long history. In the statistical domain, the study of cause and effect based on the notion of `fairness' in comparisons dates back several hundred years,…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2022-04-06 Erica EM Moodie , David A Stephens

We summarize the papers published by Einstein in the Annalen der Physik in the years 1902-04 on the derivation of the properties of thermal equilibrium on the basis of the mechanical equations of motion and of the calculus of probabilities.…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2016-10-12 Luca Peliti , Raúl Rechtman

Learning about cause and effect is arguably the main goal in applied econometrics. In practice, the validity of these causal inferences is contingent on a number of critical assumptions regarding the type of data that has been collected and…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-03-03 Paul Hünermund , Elias Bareinboim

This is the paper "Niels Henrik Abel and the birth of fractional calculus", Podlubny, I., Magin, R. L., Trymorush I., Fractional Calculus and Applied Analysis, vol.20, no.5, pp.1068-1075, 2017 (https://doi.org/10.1515/fca-2017-0057) with…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2018-02-20 I. Podlubny , R. L. Magin , I. Trymorush

Through the use of a system-building approach, an approach that includes finding common ground for the various philosophical paradigms within statistics, Erich L. Lehmann is responsible for much of the synthesis of classical statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-24 Javier Rojo

Stephen Fienberg's affinity for contingency table problems and reinterpreting models with a fresh look gave rise to a new approach for hypothesis testing of network models that are linear exponential families. We outline his vision and…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-07 Elizabeth Gross , Vishesh Karwa , Sonja Petrović

The rapid uptake of renewable energy technologies in recent decades has increased the demand of energy researchers, policymakers and energy planners for reliable data on the spatial distribution of their costs and potentials. For onshore…

We propose a number of concepts and properties related to `weighted' statistical inference where the observed data are classified in accordance with a `value' of a sample string. The motivation comes from the concepts of weighted…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-31 Mark Kelbert , Yuri Suhov

Some data of the drift current, Ud, measured on a wavy surface of water in a laboratory and the field, are briefly described. Empirical formulas for Ud are given, and their incompleteness is noted, regarding to absence of the drift current…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-06-26 Vladislav G. Polnikov

We address and discuss recent trends in the analysis of big data sets, with the emphasis on studying multiscale phenomena. Applications of big data analysis in different scientific fields are described and two particular examples of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-10-30 Frank Raischel , Adriano Moreira , Pedro G. Lind