English
Related papers

Related papers: Enhancing Forecasting Accuracy in Dynamic Environm…

200 papers

A novel approach is suggested for improving the accuracy of fault detection in distribution networks. This technique combines adaptive probability learning and waveform decomposition to optimize the similarity of features. Its objective is…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-03 Xinliang Ma , Weihua Liu , Bingying Jin

Machine learning models are being increasingly used to automate decisions in almost every domain, and ensuring the performance of these models is crucial for ensuring high quality machine learning enabled services. Ensuring concept drift is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Nelvin Tan , Yu-Ching Shih , Dong Yang , Amol Salunkhe

Trend filtering simplifies complex time series data by applying smoothness to filter out noise while emphasizing proximity to the original data. However, existing trend filtering methods fail to reflect abrupt changes in the trend due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Jihyeon Seong , Sekwang Oh , Jaesik Choi

Changepoint detection is commonly formulated by minimizing the sum of in-sample losses to quantify the model's overall fit. However, for flexible modeling procedures -- especially those involving high-dimensional parameter spaces or…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Chengde Qian , Guanghui Wang , Zhaojun Wang , Changliang Zou

We present a new adaptive algorithm for learning discrete distributions under distribution drift. In this setting, we observe a sequence of independent samples from a discrete distribution that is changing over time, and the goal is to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-11 Alessio Mazzetto

Despite rapid progress in Vision-Language-Action (VLA) models for robotic control, instruction drift remains a persistent failure mode in long-horizon tasks. This paper reconceptualizes this phenomenon, positing that instruction drift is…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Kewei Chen , Yayu Long , Mingsheng Shang

The ability to detect when a system undergoes an incipient fault is of paramount importance in preventing a critical failure. Classic methods for fault detection (including model-based and data-driven approaches) rely on thresholding error…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-13 Camilo Ramírez , Jorge F. Silva , Ferhat Tamssaouet , Tomás Rojas , Marcos E. Orchard

Non-stationary sequences arise naturally in control, forecasting, and decision-making. The data-generating process shifts at unknown times, and models must detect the change, discard or downweight obsolete evidence, and adapt to new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Carson Dudley , Yutong Bi , Xiaofeng Liu , Samet Oymak

Machine learning interatomic potentials (MLIPs) have transformed materials discovery by leveraging graph neural networks (GNNs) to predict material properties with near density functional theory (DFT) accuracy. While large-scale pretrained…

Materials Science · Physics 2026-05-29 Rushikesh Pawar , Harshit Rawat , Ayush Kumar , Phani Motamarri

In many real-world scenarios, we often deal with streaming data that is sequentially collected over time. Due to the non-stationary nature of the environment, the streaming data distribution may change in unpredictable ways, which is known…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Wendi Li , Xiao Yang , Weiqing Liu , Yingce Xia , Jiang Bian

Dependable visual drone detection is crucial for the secure integration of drones into the airspace. However, drone detection accuracy is significantly affected by domain shifts due to environmental changes, varied points of view, and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Fardad Dadboud , Hamid Azad , Varun Mehta , Miodrag Bolic , Iraj Mantegh

Dynamical weather and climate prediction models underpin many studies of the Earth system and hold the promise of being able to make robust projections of future climate change based on physical laws. However, simulations from these models…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-09-04 Peter A. G. Watson

The performance of machine learning (ML) models often deteriorates when the underlying data distribution changes over time, a phenomenon known as data distribution drift. When this happens, ML models need to be retrained and redeployed. ML…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-15 Emmanuel K. Katalay , David O. Dimandja , Jordan F. Masakuna

Modern clinical decision support systems can concurrently serve multiple, independent medical imaging institutions, but their predictive performance may degrade across sites due to variations in patient populations, imaging hardware, and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Xavier Rafael-Palou , Jose Munuera , Ana Jimenez-Pastor , Richard Osuala , Karim Lekadir , Oliver Diaz

Resource-constrained IoT devices increasingly rely on deep learning models, however, these models experience significant accuracy drops due to domain shifts when encountering variations in lighting, weather, and seasonal conditions. While…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Mohammad Mehdi Rastikerdar , Jin Huang , Hui Guan , Deepak Ganesan

We propose a method for adaptive nonlinear sequential modeling of vector-time series data. Data is modeled as a nonlinear function of past values corrupted by noise, and the underlying non-linear function is assumed to be approximately…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-11 Qiuyi Han , Jie Ding , Edoardo Airoldi , Vahid Tarokh

Short-term forecasting models typically assume the availability of input data (features) when they are deployed and in use. However, equipment failures, disruptions, cyberattacks, may lead to missing features when such models are used…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-30 Akylas Stratigakos , Panagiotis Andrianesis

Software aging is a phenomenon that affects long-running systems, leading to progressive performance degradation and increasing the risk of failures. To mitigate this problem, this work proposes an adaptive approach based on machine…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Rafael Jose Moura Silva , Maria Gizele Nascimento , Fumio Machida , Ermeson Andrade

Automatic Machine Learning (Auto-ML) has attracted more and more attention in recent years, our work is to solve the problem of data drift, which means that the distribution of data will gradually change with the acquisition process,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-30 Jinlong Chai , Jiangeng Chang , Yakun Zhao , Honggang Liu

This research proposes a novel drift detection methodology for machine learning (ML) models based on the concept of ''deformation'' in the vector space representation of data. Recognizing that new data can act as forces stretching,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Giancarlo Cobino , Simone Farci