English
Related papers

Related papers: Enhancing Forecasting Accuracy in Dynamic Environm…

200 papers

Mixed precision training (MPT) is becoming a practical technique to improve the speed and energy efficiency of training deep neural networks by leveraging the fast hardware support for IEEE half-precision floating point that is available in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-29 Ruizhe Zhao , Brian Vogel , Tanvir Ahmed

Detecting drift in performance of Machine Learning (ML) models is an acknowledged challenge. For ML models to become an integral part of business applications it is essential to detect when an ML model drifts away from acceptable operation.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-12 Samuel Ackerman , Parijat Dube , Eitan Farchi , Orna Raz , Marcel Zalmanovici

Existing drift detection methods focus on designing sensitive test statistics. They treat the detection threshold as a fixed hyperparameter, set once to balance false alarms and late detections, and applied uniformly across all datasets and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Pengqian Lu , Jie Lu , Anjin Liu , En Yu , Guangquan Zhang

The reliable power system operation is a major goal for electric utilities, which requires the accurate reliability forecasting to minimize the duration of power interruptions. Since weather conditions are usually the leading causes for…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-12 Longfei Wei , Arif I. Sarwat

Changepoint detection is a technique used to identify significant shifts in sequences and is widely used in fields such as finance, genomics, and medicine. To identify the changepoints, dynamic programming (DP) algorithms, particularly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-29 Tung L Nguyen , Toby Dylan Hocking

Existing trajectory prediction methods exhibit significant performance degradation under distribution shifts during test time. Although test-time training techniques have been explored to enable adaptation, current approaches rely on an…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Yuning Wang , Pu Zhang , Yuan He , Ke Wang , Jianru Xue

Operational networks commonly rely on machine learning models for many tasks, including detecting anomalies, inferring application performance, and forecasting demand. Yet, model accuracy can degrade due to concept drift, whereby the…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2023-10-02 Shinan Liu , Francesco Bronzino , Paul Schmitt , Arjun Nitin Bhagoji , Nick Feamster , Hector Garcia Crespo , Timothy Coyle , Brian Ward

Time series forecasting has received wide interest from existing research due to its broad applications and inherent challenging. The research challenge lies in identifying effective patterns in historical series and applying them to future…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-14 Tianlong Zhao , Xiang Ma , Xuemei Li , Caiming Zhang

A fundamental issue for statistical classification models in a streaming environment is that the joint distribution between predictor and response variables changes over time (a phenomenon also known as concept drifts), such that their…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-11 Shujian Yu , Zubin Abraham , Heng Wang , Mohak Shah , Yantao Wei , José C. Príncipe

A machine learning method needs to adapt to over time changes in the environment. Such changes are known as concept drift. In this paper, we propose concept drift tackling method as an enhancement of Online Sequential Extreme Learning…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-10-10 Arif Budiman , Mohamad Ivan Fanany , Chan Basaruddin

Reinforcement learning (RL) agents typically assume stationary environment dynamics. Yet in real-world applications such as healthcare, robotics, and finance, transition probabilities or reward functions may evolve, leading to model drift.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Chang-Hwan Lee , Alexander Shim

Temporal information is crucial for visual tracking, but existing multi-frame trackers are vulnerable to model drift caused by naively aggregating noisy historical predictions. In this paper, we introduce DTPTrack, a lightweight and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-06 Yuqing Huang , Liting Lin , Weijun Zhuang , Zhenyu He , Xin Li

In the arena of language model fine-tuning, the traditional approaches, such as Domain-Adaptive Pretraining (DAPT) and Task-Adaptive Pretraining (TAPT), although effective, but computational intensive. This research introduces a novel…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-05-10 Keyu Chen , Yuan Pang , Zi Yang

Uncertain changes in data streams present challenges for machine learning models to dynamically adapt and uphold performance in real-time. Particularly, classification boundary change, also known as real concept drift, is the major cause of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Feng Gu , Jie Lu , Zhen Fang , Kun Wang , Guangquan Zhang

We introduce a new approach to prediction in graphical models with latent-shift adaptation, i.e., where source and target environments differ in the distribution of an unobserved confounding latent variable. Previous work has shown that as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-26 William I. Walker , Arthur Gretton , Maneesh Sahani

Concept drift and label scarcity are two critical challenges limiting the robustness of predictive models in dynamic industrial environments. Existing drift detection methods often assume global shifts and rely on dense supervision, making…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-05 Junghee Pyeon , Davide Cacciarelli , Kamran Paynabar

Machine learning (ML) algorithms deployed in real-world environments are often faced with the challenge of adapting models to concept drift, where the task data distributions are shifting over time. The problem becomes even more difficult…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-19 Adam Piaseczny , Md Kamran Chowdhury Shisher , Shiqiang Wang , Christopher G. Brinton

Test-time adaptation (TTA) is an effective approach to mitigate performance degradation of trained models when encountering input distribution shifts at test time. However, existing TTA methods often suffer significant performance drops…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-06 Minguk Jang , Hye Won Chung

Supply chain forecasting models degrade over time as real-world conditions change. Promotions shift, consumer preferences evolve, and supply disruptions alter demand patterns, causing what is known as concept drift. This silent degradation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-15 Shahnawaz Alam , Mohammed Abdul Rahman , Bareera Sadeqa

Against the backdrop of increasingly severe global environmental changes, accurately predicting and meeting renewable energy demands has become a key challenge for sustainable business development. Traditional energy demand forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Te Li , Mengze Zhang , Yan Zhou