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It is critical yet challenging for deep learning models to properly characterize uncertainty that is pervasive in real-world environments. Although a lot of efforts have been made, such as heteroscedastic neural networks (HNNs), little work…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Peng Cui , Zhijie Deng , Wenbo Hu , Jun Zhu

Bayesian flow networks (BFNs) iteratively refine the parameters, instead of the samples in diffusion models (DMs), of distributions at various noise levels through Bayesian inference. Owing to its differentiable nature, BFNs are promising…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Kaiwen Xue , Yuhao Zhou , Shen Nie , Xu Min , Xiaolu Zhang , Jun Zhou , Chongxuan Li

This is a pedagogical review of the possible connection between the stochastic quantization in physics and the diffusion models in machine learning. For machine-learning applications, the denoising diffusion model has been established as a…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2025-01-13 Kenji Fukushima , Syo Kamata

There is a history of simple forecast error growth models designed to capture the key properties of error growth in operational numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. We propose here such a scalar model that relies on the previous ones…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-02 Eviatar Bach , Dan Crisan , Michael Ghil

We give a new take on the error analysis of approximations of stochastic differential equations (SDEs), utilizing and developing the stochastic sewing lemma of L\^e (2020). This approach allows one to exploit regularization by noise effects…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-10 Oleg Butkovsky , Konstantinos Dareiotis , Máté Gerencsér

Constructions of numerous approximate sampling algorithms are based on the well-known fact that certain Gibbs measures are stationary distributions of ergodic stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by the Brownian motion. However,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-07 Lu-Jing Huang , Mateusz B. Majka , Jian Wang

Recently, it has been shown in [Jentzen, A., M\"uller-Gronbach, T., and Yaroslavtseva, L., Commun. Math. Sci., 14, 2016] that there exists a system of autonomous stochastic differential equations (SDE) on the time interval $[0,T]$ with…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-28 Thomas Müller-Gronbach , Larisa Yaroslavtseva

Stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) describe the evolution of random processes over space and time, but their solutions are often analytically intractable and computationally expensive to estimate. In this paper, we propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Ísak Pétursson , María Óskarsdóttir

While many classical traffic models treat the spatial extension of streets continuously or by discretization into cells of a certain length, we will subdivide roads into comparatively long homogeneous road sections of constant capacity with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Dirk Helbing

Dynamical system models with delayed dynamics and small noise arise in a variety of applications in science and engineering. In many applications, stable equilibrium or periodic behavior is critical to a well functioning system. Sufficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-27 David Lipshutz

Stochastic dynamic models have been extensively used for the description of processes with uncertainties arising in the operations research, behavioral sciences, and many other application areas. A large class of the problems from these…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Thi Kim Thoa Thieu , Roderick Melnik

We build and study a data-driven procedure for the estimation of the stationary density f of an additive fractional SDE. To this end, we also prove some new concentrations bounds for discrete observations of such dynamics in stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-12 Karine Bertin , Nicolas Klutchnikoff , Fabien Panloup , Maylis Varvenne

When simulating multiscale stochastic differential equations (SDEs) in high-dimensions, separation of timescales, stochastic noise and high-dimensionality can make simulations prohibitively expensive. The computational cost is dictated by…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-10-13 Miles Crosskey , Mauro Maggioni

We study identifiability of stochastic differential equations (SDE) under multiple interventions. Our results give the first provable bounds for unique recovery of SDE parameters given samples from their stationary distributions. We give…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Aaron Zweig , Zaikang Lin , Elham Azizi , David Knowles

We present a general framework to describe the evolutionary dynamics of an arbitrary number of types in finite populations based on stochastic differential equations (SDE). For large, but finite populations this allows to include…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-06-13 Arne Traulsen , Jens Christian Claussen , Christoph Hauert

Noise-assisted transport phenomena highlight the nontrivial interplay between environmental effects and quantum coherence in achieving maximal efficiency. Due to the complexity of biochemical systems and their environments, effective open…

This study examines the challenges of modeling complex and noisy data related to socioeconomic factors over time, with a focus on data from various districts in Odisha, India. Traditional time-series models struggle to capture both trends…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Sandeep Kumar Samota , Reema Gupta , Snehashish Chakraverty

This paper investigates a non-autonomous slow-fast system, which is generalized by stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with locally Lipschitz coefficients, subjected to standard Brownian motion (Bm) and fractional Brownian motion (fBm)…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-21 Ruifang Wang , Yong Xu , Hongge Yue

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are increasingly used in longitudinal data analysis, compartmental models, growth modelling, and other applications in a number of disciplines. Parameter estimation, however, currently requires…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-12 Oscar García

Trajectory generation and trajectory prediction are two critical tasks in autonomous driving, which generate various trajectories for testing during development and predict the trajectories of surrounding vehicles during operation,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Ruochen Jiao , Yixuan Wang , Xiangguo Liu , Chao Huang , Qi Zhu