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Parameter estimation for non-stationary stochastic differential equations (SDE) with an arbitrary nonlinear drift, and nonlinear diffusion is accomplished in combination with a non-parametric clustering methodology. Such a model-based…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-07 Vyacheslav Boyko , Sebastian Krumscheid , Nikki Vercauteren

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) provide a flexible framework for modeling temporal dynamics in partially observed systems. A central task is to calibrate such models from data, which requires inferring latent trajectories and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Yu Wang , Arnab Ganguly

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are a staple of mathematical modelling of temporal dynamics. However, a fundamental limitation has been that such models have typically been relatively inflexible, which recent work introducing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-12 Patrick Kidger , James Foster , Xuechen Li , Harald Oberhauser , Terry Lyons

Traffic flow forecasting is a fundamental research issue for transportation planning and management, which serves as a canonical and typical example of spatial-temporal predictions. In recent years, Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-27 Qingqing Long , Zheng Fang , Chen Fang , Chong Chen , Pengfei Wang , Yuanchun Zhou

This paper studies stabilities of stochastic differential equation (SDE) driven by time-changed L\'evy noise in both probability and moment sense. This provides more flexibility in modeling schemes in application areas including physics,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-27 Erkan Nane , Yinan Ni

Many systems in physics, engineering, and biology exhibit multiscale stochastic dynamics, where low-dimensional slow variables evolve under the influence of high-dimensional fast processes. In practice, observations are often limited to a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-12 Anan Saha , Arnab Ganguly

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are popular tools to analyse time series data in many areas, such as mathematical finance, physics, and biology. They provide a mechanistic description of the phenomeon of interest, and their…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-01 Théo Michelot , Richard Glennie , Catriona Harris , Len Thomas

Stochastic Partial Differential Equations (SPDEs) driven by random noise play a central role in modeling physical processes with rough spatio-temporal dynamics, such as turbulence flows, superconductors, and quantum dynamics. Although…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Yuantu Zhu , Zheyan Li , Dai Shi , Luke Thompson , Oliver Nash , Jose Miguel Lara Rangel , Siran Li , Bingguang Chen , Rongchan Zhu , Qi Meng , Hao Ni

Learning unknown stochastic differential equations (SDEs) from observed data is a significant and challenging task with applications in various fields. Current approaches often use neural networks to represent drift and diffusion functions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Aiqing Zhu , Qianxiao Li

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are one of the most important representations of dynamical systems. They are notable for the ability to include a deterministic component of the system and a stochastic one to represent random…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-19 Noura Dridi , Lucas Drumetz , Ronan Fablet

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are well suited to modelling noisy and irregularly sampled time series found in finance, physics, and machine learning. Traditional approaches require costly numerical solvers to sample between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Naoki Kiyohara , Edward Johns , Yingzhen Li

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) describe dynamical systems where deterministic flows, governed by a drift function, are superimposed with random fluctuations, dictated by a diffusion function. The accurate estimation (or discovery)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Patrick Seifner , Kostadin Cvejoski , David Berghaus , Cesar Ojeda , Ramses J. Sanchez

Stochastic difference equations and a stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) are simultaneously derived for the time-dependent neutron angular density in a general three-dimensional medium where the neutron angular density is a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2010-04-16 Edward J. Allen

We introduce a novel paradigm for learning non-parametric drift and diffusion functions for stochastic differential equation (SDE). The proposed model learns to simulate path distributions that match observations with non-uniform time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-01 Cagatay Yildiz , Markus Heinonen , Jukka Intosalmi , Henrik Mannerström , Harri Lähdesmäki

Timeseries generated from a dynamical source can often be modeled as sample paths of a stochastic differential equation (SDE). The timeseries thus reflects the motion of a particle which flows along the direction provided by a drift /…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-03 Suddhasattwa Das

Continuous-time approximation of Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) is a crucial tool to study its escaping behaviors from stationary points. However, existing stochastic differential equation (SDE) models fail to fully capture these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-04 Xiang Li , Zebang Shen , Liang Zhang , Niao He

In this article we propose a model for stochastic delay differential equation with jumps (SDDEJ) in a differentiable manifold $M$ endowed with a connection $\nabla$. In our model, the continuous part is driven by vector fields with a fixed…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-03-20 Leandro Morgado , Paulo R. Ruffino

Stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) represent a very active research field with numerous recent developments and breakthrough results. There are several well-established approaches and methods used to construct solutions for…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-27 Christian Kuehn , Alexandra Neamtu

Latent neural stochastic differential equations (SDEs) have recently emerged as a promising approach for learning generative models from stochastic time series data. However, they systematically underestimate the noise level inherent in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Linus Heck , Maximilian Gelbrecht , Michael T. Schaub , Niklas Boers

In this work, we explore modeling change points in time-series data using neural stochastic differential equations (neural SDEs). We propose a novel model formulation and training procedure based on the variational autoencoder (VAE)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Yousef El-Laham , Zhongchang Sun , Haibei Zhu , Tucker Balch , Svitlana Vyetrenko