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A key obstacle in automated analytics and meta-learning is the inability to recognize when different datasets contain measurements of the same variable. Because provided attribute labels are often uninformative in practice, this task may be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-12 Jonas Mueller , Alex Smola

Data assimilation addresses the problem of identifying plausible state trajectories of dynamical systems given noisy or incomplete observations. In geosciences, it presents challenges due to the high-dimensionality of geophysical dynamical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-03 François Rozet , Gilles Louppe

The aim of survey statistics is to produce estimates with a minimal bias and a corresponding acceptable variance given a specific budget, preferable with a minor response burden for the participants. In recent years, considerable efforts…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-02 Martin Hyllienmark , Gustaf Strandell

Adaptive moving spatial meshes are useful for solving physical models given by time-dependent partial differentialequations. However, special consideration must be given when combining adaptive meshing procedures with ensemble-based data…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-07-27 Cassidy Krause , Weizhang Huang , David B Mechem , Erik S Van Vleck , Min Zhang

This study develops a hybrid ensemble-variational approach for solving data assimilation problems. The method, called TR-4D-EnKF, is based on a trust region framework and consists of three computational steps. First an ensemble of model…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2015-02-03 Elias D. Nino , Adrian Sandu

Data assimilation addresses the general problem of how to combine model-based predictions with partial and noisy observations of the process in an optimal manner. This survey focuses on sequential data assimilation techniques using…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-08-15 Sebastian Reich

The idea of using machine learning (ML) methods to reconstruct the dynamics of a system is the topic of recent studies in the geosciences, in which the key output is a surrogate model meant to emulate the dynamical model. In order to treat…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-22 Alban Farchi , Patrick Laloyaux , Massimo Bonavita , Marc Bocquet

Artificial intelligence (AI)-based weather prediction research is growing rapidly and has shown to be competitive with the advanced dynamic numerical weather prediction models. However, research combining AI-based weather prediction models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-16 Shunji Kotsuki , Kenta Shiraishi , Atsushi Okazaki

Ensemble data assimilation techniques form an indispensable part of numerical weather prediction. As the ensemble size grows and model resolution increases, the amount of required storage becomes a major issue. Data compression schemes may…

Recent work has focused on data-driven learning of the evolution of unknown systems via deep neural networks (DNNs), with the goal of conducting long time prediction of the evolution of the unknown system. Training a DNN with low…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-28 Victor Churchill , Steve Manns , Zhen Chen , Dongbin Xiu

Modern deep neural networks can produce badly calibrated predictions, especially when train and test distributions are mismatched. Training an ensemble of models and averaging their predictions can help alleviate these issues. We propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-09 Asa Cooper Stickland , Iain Murray

This chapter provides various perspective on an important challenge in data assimilation: model error. While the overall goal is to understand the implication of model error of any type in data assimilation, we emphasize on the effect of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-07-02 John Harlim

We study the data selection problem, whose aim is to select a small representative subset of data that can be used to efficiently train a machine learning model. We present a new data selection approach based on $k$-means clustering and…

We propose a novel regression adjustment method designed for estimating distributional treatment effect parameters in randomized experiments. Randomized experiments have been extensively used to estimate treatment effects in various…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-24 Undral Byambadalai , Tatsushi Oka , Shota Yasui

We propose a novel learning-based surrogate data assimilation (DA) model for efficient state estimation in a limited area. Our model employs a feedforward neural network for online computation, eliminating the need for integrating…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-07-17 Wei Kang , Liang Xu , Hong Zhou

We investigate ensemble methods for prediction in an online setting. Unlike all the literature in ensembling, for the first time, we introduce a new approach using a meta learner that effectively combines the base model predictions via…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-01 Arda Fazla , Mustafa Enes Aydin , Orhun Tamyigit , Suleyman Serdar Kozat

We consider high-dimensional measurement errors with high-frequency data. Our objective is on recovering the high-dimensional cross-sectional covariance matrix of the random errors with optimality. In this problem, not all components of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-03 Jinyuan Chang , Qiao Hu , Cheng Liu , Cheng Yong Tang

Standard approaches for variable selection in linear models are not tailored to deal properly with high-dimensional and incomplete data. Currently, methods dedicated to high-dimensional data handle missing values by ad-hoc strategies, like…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-09 Avner Bar-Hen , Vincent Audigier

Data assimilation (DA) improves prediction of chaotic systems by combining model forecasts with sparse, noisy observations. Many DA methods are inherently probabilistic, but accurate probabilistic DA is often computationally expensive…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-24 Aditya Sai Pranith Ayapilla , Kazuya Miyashita , Yuki Yasuda , Ryo Onishi

Data assimilation (DA) integrates observational information with model predictions to improve state estimation in complex systems. While filtering provides the basis for online forecasts by using only past and present observations, it can…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Zhang Jiang , Marios Andreou , Sebastian Reich , Nan Chen
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