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We study the problems of estimating the past and future evolutions of two diffusion processes that spread concurrently on a network. Specifically, given a known network $G=(V, \overrightarrow{E})$ and a (possibly noisy) snapshot…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Nouman Khan , Kangle Mu , Mehrdad Moharrami , Vijay Subramanian

In micro-blogging platforms, people connect and interact with others. However, due to cognitive biases, they tend to interact with like-minded people and read agreeable information only. Many efforts to make people connect with those who…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2016-01-05 Eduardo Graells-Garrido , Mounia Lalmas , Ricardo Baeza-Yates

Univariate marked Hawkes processes are used to model a range of real-world phenomena including earthquake aftershock sequences, contagious disease spread, content diffusion on social media platforms, and order book dynamics. This paper…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-13 Louis Davis , Conor Kresin , Boris Baeumer , Ting Wang

The COVID-19 pandemic has witnessed the role of online social networks (OSNs) in the spread of infectious diseases. The rise in severity of the epidemic augments the need for proper guidelines, but also promotes the propagation of fake…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-06-11 Madhu Dhiman , Chen Peng , Veeraruna Kavitha , Quanyan Zhu

Understanding the dynamics of social interactions is crucial to comprehend human behavior. The emergence of online social media has enabled access to data regarding people relationships at a large scale. Twitter, specifically, is an…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-09-07 Felipe Maciel Cardoso , Sandro Meloni , Andre Santanche , Yamir Moreno

Social networking websites allow users to create and share content. Big information cascades of post resharing can form as users of these sites reshare others' posts with their friends and followers. One of the central challenges in…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-01-28 Qingyuan Zhao , Murat A. Erdogdu , Hera Y. He , Anand Rajaraman , Jure Leskovec

We design a new nonparametric method that allows one to estimate the matrix of integrated kernels of a multivariate Hawkes process. This matrix not only encodes the mutual influences of each nodes of the process, but also disentangles the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-31 Massil Achab , Emmanuel Bacry , Stéphane Gaïffas , Iacopo Mastromatteo , Jean-Francois Muzy

Hawkes Processes are a type of point process which models self-excitement among time events. It has been used in a myriad of applications, ranging from finance and earthquakes to crime rates and social network activity analysis.Recently, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Rafael Lima

People are increasingly relying on the Web and social media to find solutions to their problems in a wide range of domains. In this online setting, closely related problems often lead to the same characteristic learning pattern, in which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-20 Charalampos Mavroforakis , Isabel Valera , Manuel Gomez Rodriguez

Information avalanches in social media are typically studied in a similar fashion as avalanches of neuronal activity in the brain. Whereas a large body of literature reveals substantial agreement about the existence of a unique process…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-03-18 Daniele Notarmuzi , Claudio Castellano , Alessandro Flammini , Dario Mazzilli , Filippo Radicchi

In online social media systems users are not only posting, consuming, and resharing content, but also creating new and destroying existing connections in the underlying social network. While each of these two types of dynamics has…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-03-13 Seth A. Myers , Jure Leskovec

Information cascades, effectively facilitated by most social network platforms, are recognized as a major factor in almost every social success and disaster in these networks. Can cascades be predicted? While many believe that they are…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Cheng Li , Jiaqi Ma , Xiaoxiao Guo , Qiaozhu Mei

Social media, regarded as two-layer networks consisting of users and items, turn out to be the most important channels for access to massive information in the era of Web 2.0. The dynamics of human activity and item popularity is a crucial…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-03-03 Peng Zhang , Menghui Li , Liang Gao , Ying Fan , Zengru Di

We review the theory of information cascades and social learning. Our goal is to describe in a relatively integrated and accessible way the more important themes, insights and applications of the literature as it has developed over the last…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-05-25 Sushil Bikhchandani , David Hirshleifer , Omer Tamuz , Ivo Welch

Predicting the flow of information in dynamic social environments is relevant to many areas of the contemporary society, from disseminating health care messages to meme tracking. While predicting the growth of information cascades has been…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-04-28 Sameera Horawalavithana , John Skvoretz , Adriana Iamnitchi

Information cascades are ubiquitous in both physical society and online social media, taking on large variations in structures, dynamics and semantics. Although the dynamics and semantics of information cascades have been studied, the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-08-09 Chengxi Zang , Peng Cui , Chaoming Song , Christos Faloutsos , Wenwu Zhu

Information spreading in online social communities has attracted tremendous attention due to its utmost practical values in applications. Despite that several individual-level diffusion data have been investigated, we still lack the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-11-21 Sen Pei , Lev Muchnik , Shaoting Tang , Zhiming Zheng , Hernan A. Makse

Dynamic models and statistical inference for the diffusion of information in social networks is an area which has witnessed remarkable progress in the last decade due to the proliferation of social networks. Modeling and inference of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-12-18 Vikram Krishnamurthy , Buddhika Nettasinghe

Widespread interest in the diffusion of information through social networks has produced a large number of Social Dynamics models. A majority of them use theoretical hypothesis to explain their diffusion mechanisms while the few empirically…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-05-18 José Luis Iribarren , Esteban Moro

The global dynamics of event cascades are often governed by the local dynamics of peer influence. However, detecting social influence from observational data is challenging due to confounds like homophily and practical issues like missing…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-07-22 Sandeep Soni , Shawn Ling Ramirez , Jacob Eisenstein