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In this work, we consider a multivariate regression model with one-sided errors. We assume for the regression function to lie in a general H\"{o}lder class and estimate it via a nonparametric local polynomial approach that consists of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-11 Leonie Selk , Charles Tillier , Orlando Marigliano

This paper addresses the task of modeling severity losses using segmentation when the data distribution does not fall into the usual regression frameworks. This situation is not uncommon in lines of business such as third-party liability…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-29 Martin Bladt

This paper develops asymptotics and approximations for ruin probabilities in a multivariate risk setting. We consider a model in which the individual reserve processes are driven by a common Markovian environmental process. We subsequently…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-24 G. A. Delsing , M. R. H. Mandjes , P. J. C. Spreij , E. M. M. Winands

Many high-dimensional hypothesis tests aim to globally examine marginal or low-dimensional features of a high-dimensional joint distribution, such as testing of mean vectors, covariance matrices and regression coefficients. This paper…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Yinqiu He , Gongjun Xu , Chong Wu , Wei Pan

In ruin theory, the net profit condition intuitively means that the incurred random claims on average do not occur more often than premiums are gained. The breach of the net profit condition causes guaranteed ruin in few but simple cases…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-08 Andrius Grigutis , Arvydas Karbonskis , Jonas Šiaulys

Comparing two samples of data, we observe a change in the distribution of an outcome variable. In the presence of multiple explanatory variables, how much of the change can be explained by each possible cause? We develop a new estimation…

In this article we consider an aggregate loss model with dependent losses. The losses occurrence process is governed by a two-state Markovian arrival process (MAP2), a Markov renewal process process that allows for (1) correlated…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-06 Pepa Ramírez-Cobo , Emilio Carrizosa , Rosa Elvira Lillo

We refine previous results concerning the Renewal Contact Processes. We significantly widen the family of distributions for the interarrival times for which the critical value can be shown to be strictly positive. The result now holds for…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Luiz Renato Fontes , Thomas S. Mountford , Daniel Ungaretti , Maria Eulália Vares

In this paper we compare and contrast the behavior of the posterior predictive distribution to the risk of the maximum a posteriori estimator for the random features regression model in the overparameterized regime. We will focus on the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-30 Youngsoo Baek , Samuel I. Berchuck , Sayan Mukherjee

A uniform key renewal theorem is deduced from the uniform Blackwell's renewal theorem. A uniform LDP (large deviations principle) for renewal-reward processes is obtained, and MDP (moderate deviations principle) is deduced under conditions…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-06 Boris Tsirelson

In this work we present a simple estimation procedure for a general frailty model for analysis of prospective correlated failure times. Earlier work showed this method to perform well in a simulation study. Here we provide rigorous…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 David M. Zucker , Malka Gorfine , Li Hsu

We study the asymptotic behavior of the rank statistic for unimodal sequences. We use analytic techniques involving asymptotic expansions in order to prove asymptotic formulas for the moments of the rank. Furthermore, when appropriately…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-25 Kathrin Bringmann , Chris Jennings-Shaffer , Karl Mahlburg

Complex networks in different areas exhibit degree distributions with heavy upper tail. A preferential attachment mechanism in a growth process produces a graph with this feature. We herein investigate a variant of the simple preferential…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-18 Angelica Pachon , Laura Sacerdote , Shuyi Yang

The aim of this article is to analyze data from multiple repairable systems under the presence of dependent competing risks. In order to model this dependence structure, we adopted the well-known shared frailty model. This model provides a…

We propose a general method for constructing confidence intervals and statistical tests for single or low-dimensional components of a large parameter vector in a high-dimensional model. It can be easily adjusted for multiplicity taking…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-24 Sara van de Geer , Peter Bühlmann , Ya'acov Ritov , Ruben Dezeure

In this paper, we present the asymptotic distribution of M-estimators for parameters in non-stationary AR(p) processes. The innovations are assumed to be in the domain of attraction of a stable law with index $0<\alpha\le2$. In particular,…

Applications · Statistics 2016-12-13 Maryam Sohrabi , Mahmoud Zarepour

We consider the hyperuniform model of d-dimensional integer lattice perturbed by independent random variables and we investigate the large scale asymptotic fluctuations of smoothed versions of the usual counting statistics, specifically of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-05 Gabriel Mastrilli

Following White's approach of robust multiple linear regression, we give asymptotic confidence intervals for the multiple correlation coefficient R2 under minimal moment conditions. We also give the asymptotic joint distribution of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-22 J Dedecker , Odelia Guedj , Marie-Luce Taupin

This paper studies the inference of the regression coefficient matrix under multivariate response linear regressions in the presence of hidden variables. A novel procedure for constructing confidence intervals of entries of the coefficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-21 Xin Bing , Wei Cheng , Huijie Feng , Yang Ning

We present a unified approach to those observables of stochastic processes under reset that take the form of averages of functionals depending on the most recent renewal period. We derive solutions for the observables, and determine the…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2019-03-28 G. John Lapeyre , Marco Dentz