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We consider the preferential attachment model. This is a growing random graph such that at each step a new vertex is added and forms $m$ connections. The neighbors of the new vertex are chosen at random with probability proportional to…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-11 Simone Baldassarri , Gianmarco Bet

Rerandomization is an effective treatment allocation procedure to control for baseline covariate imbalance. For estimating the average treatment effect, rerandomization has been previously shown to improve the precision of the unadjusted…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-18 Bingkai Wang , Fan Li

The paper studies the problem of distributed parameter estimation in multi-agent networks with exponential family observation statistics. A certainty-equivalence type distributed estimator of the consensus + innovations form is proposed in…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-04 Soummya Kar , Jose Moura

Extreme value theory offers a statistical framework for quantifying the risk of rare events, with the generalized Pareto (GP) distribution providing the canonical limit model for univariate threshold exceedances. In many applications,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-15 Mirco Lescart , Anna Kiriliouk , Philippe Naveau

In this paper we consider the problem of computing tail probabilities of the distribution of a random sum of positive random variables. We assume that the individual variables follow a reproducible natural exponential family (NEF)…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-09 Shaul Bar-Lev , Ad Ridder

We derive the asymptotic distribution of ordinal-pattern frequencies under weak dependence conditions and investigate the long-run covariance matrix not only analytically for moving-average, Gaussian, and the novel generalized coin-tossing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Angelika Silbernagel , Christian Weiß

We study shrinkage estimation of the mean parameters of a class of multivariate distributions for which the diagonal entries of the corresponding covariance matrix are certain quadratic functions of the mean parameter. This class of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-04 Nikolas Siapoutis , Donald Richards , Bharath K. Sriperumbudur

With many pretreatment covariates and treatment factors, the classical factorial experiment often fails to balance covariates across multiple factorial effects simultaneously. Therefore, it is intuitive to restrict the randomization of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-31 Xinran Li , Peng Ding , Donald B. Rubin

This paper develops unified asymptotic distribution theory for dynamic quantile predictive regressions which is useful when examining quantile predictability in stock returns under possible presence of nonstationarity.

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-13 Christis Katsouris

In this paper we consider a compound Poisson risk model with regularly varying claim sizes. For this model in [1] an asymptotic formula for the finite time ruin probability is provided when the time is scaled by the mean excess function. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-13 Søren Asmussen , Dominik Kortschak

This paper studies the joint moments of a compound discounted renewal process observed at different times with each arrival removed from the system after a random delay. This process can be used to describe the aggregate (discounted)…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-10 Eric Cheung , Landy Rabehasaina , Jae-Kyung Woo , Ran Xu

This paper introduces the class of multidimensional self-exciting processes with dependencies (MSPD), which is a unifying writing for a large class of processes: counting, loss, intensity, and also shifted processes. The framework takes…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-27 Caroline Hillairet , Thomas Peyrat , Anthony Réveillac

We investigate the asymptotic risk of a general class of overparameterized likelihood models, including deep models. The recent empirical success of large-scale models has motivated several theoretical studies to investigate a scenario…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-16 Ryumei Nakada , Masaaki Imaizumi

We investigate the global dynamics of a renewal-type epidemic model with variable susceptibility. We show that in this extended model there exists a unique endemic equilibrium and prove that it is globally asymptotically stable when $R_0 >…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-07-24 Michael T. Meehan , Daniel G. Cocks , Emma S. McBryde

Models based on assumptions of multivariate regular variation and hidden regular variation provide ways to describe a broad range of extremal dependence structures when marginal distributions are heavy tailed. Multivariate regular variation…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Janet E. Heffernan , Sidney I. Resnick

We propose an iterative estimating equations procedure for analysis of longitudinal data. We show that, under very mild conditions, the probability that the procedure converges at an exponential rate tends to one as the sample size…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-18 Jiming Jiang , Yihui Luan , You-Gan Wang

A recent article on generalised linear mixed model asymptotics, Jiang et al. (2022), derived the rates of convergence for the asymptotic variances of maximum likelihood estimators. If $m$ denotes the number of groups and $n$ is the average…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-03 Luca Maestrini , Aishwarya Bhaskaran , Matt P. Wand

We develop a uniform inference theory for high-dimensional slope parameters in threshold regression models, allowing for either cross-sectional or time series data. We first establish oracle inequalities for prediction errors, and L1…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-16 Jiatong Li , Hongqiang Yan

The random self-reinforcement mechanism, characterized by the principle of ``the rich get richer'', has demonstrated significant utility across various domains. One prominent model embodying this mechanism is the random reinforcement urn…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-18 Li Yang , Jiang Hu , Jianghao Li , Zhidong Bai

The paper considers the problem of distributed adaptive linear parameter estimation in multi-agent inference networks. Local sensing model information is only partially available at the agents and inter-agent communication is assumed to be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-08-07 Soummya Kar , Jose' M. F. Moura , H. Vincent Poor
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