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The global sensitivity analysis of time-dependent processes requires history-aware approaches. We develop for that purpose a variance-based method that leverages the correlation structure of the problems under study and employs surrogate…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-05 Alen Alexanderian , Pierre A. Gremaud , Ralph C. Smith

How best to evaluate a saliency model's ability to predict where humans look in images is an open research question. The choice of evaluation metric depends on how saliency is defined and how the ground truth is represented. Metrics differ…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-04-10 Zoya Bylinskii , Tilke Judd , Aude Oliva , Antonio Torralba , Frédo Durand

We present a new procedure for conducting a sensitivity analysis in matched observational studies. For any candidate test statistic, the approach defines tilted modifications dependent upon the proposed strength of unmeasured confounding.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-14 Colin B. Fogarty

In-context learning (ICL) has become one of the most popular learning paradigms. While there is a growing body of literature focusing on prompt engineering, there is a lack of systematic analysis comparing the effects of prompts across…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Sheng Lu , Hendrik Schuff , Iryna Gurevych

The investigations reported in this paper center on the process of dynamic uncertainty assessment during interpretation tasks in real domain. In particular, we are interested here in the nature of the control structure of computer programs…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-12 Shohara L. Hardt

Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) are pivotal tools that synthesize knowledge from climate science, economics, and policy to evaluate the interactions between human activities and the climate system. They serve as essential instruments…

General Economics · Economics 2025-11-04 Yongyang Cai

Large language models (LLMs) have delivered significant breakthroughs across diverse domains but can still produce unreliable or misleading outputs, posing critical challenges for real-world applications. While many recent studies focus on…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-09-08 Yang Nan , Pengfei He , Ravi Tandon , Han Xu

Although recent works have brought some insights into the performance improvement of techniques used in state-of-the-art deep-learning models, more work is needed to understand their generalization properties. We shed light on this matter…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-31 Mahsa Forouzesh , Farnood Salehi , Patrick Thiran

Matching is a commonly used causal inference study design in observational studies. Through matching on measured confounders between different treatment groups, valid randomization inferences can be conducted under the no unmeasured…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-20 Jeffrey Zhang , Siyu Heng

Many important computer vision applications are naturally formulated as regression problems. Within medical imaging, accurate regression models have the potential to automate various tasks, helping to lower costs and improve patient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-08 Fredrik K. Gustafsson , Martin Danelljan , Thomas B. Schön

Machine Translation Quality Estimation is a notoriously difficult task, which lessens its usefulness in real-world translation environments. Such scenarios can be improved if quality predictions are accompanied by a measure of uncertainty.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2016-07-01 Daniel Beck , Lucia Specia , Trevor Cohn

Hyper-differential sensitivity analysis with respect to model discrepancy was recently developed to enable uncertainty quantification for optimization problems. The approach consists of two primary steps: (i) Bayesian calibration of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-09 Joseph Hart , Bart van Bloemen Waanders , Jixian Li , Timbwaoga A. J. Ouermi , Chris R. Johnson

In assignment problems, decision makers are often interested in not only the optimal assignment, but also the sensitivity of the optimal assignment to perturbations in the assignment weights. Typically, only perturbations to individual…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-14 Elad Michael , Tony A. Wood , Chris Manzie , Iman Shames

Algorithmic transparency entails exposing system properties to various stakeholders for purposes that include understanding, improving, and contesting predictions. Until now, most research into algorithmic transparency has predominantly…

Deep neural networks have seen enormous success in various real-world applications. Beyond their predictions as point estimates, increasing attention has been focused on quantifying the uncertainty of their predictions. In this review, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-06 Chengyu Dong

Every computer model depends on numerical input parameters that are chosen according to mostly conservative but rigorous numerical or empirical estimates. These parameters could for example be the step size for time integrators, a seed for…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-09-11 Matthias Frey , Andreas Adelmann

To estimate direct and indirect effects of an exposure on an outcome from observed data strong assumptions about unconfoundedness are required. Since these assumptions cannot be tested using the observed data, a mediation analysis should…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-29 Anita Lindmark , Xavier de Luna , Marie Eriksson

Meta-analysis is a powerful tool to synthesize findings from multiple studies. The normal-normal random-effects model is widely used to account for between-study heterogeneity. However, meta-analysis of sparse data, which may arise when the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-10 Taojun Hu , Yi Zhou , Satoshi Hattori

The situation assessment problem is considered, in terms of object, condition, activity, and plan recognition, based on data coming from the real-word {em via} various sensors. It is shown that uncertainty issues are linked both to the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-01 Charles Castel , Corine Cossart , Catherine Tessier

The insensitive parameter in support vector regression determines the set of support vectors that greatly impacts the prediction. A data-driven approach is proposed to determine an approximate value for this insensitive parameter by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-10 Jinran Wu , You-Gan Wang