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Related papers: Data-driven Day Ahead Market Prices Forecasting: A…

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Electricity price forecasting (EPF) is a branch of forecasting on the interface of electrical engineering, statistics, computer science, and finance, which focuses on predicting prices in wholesale electricity markets for a whole spectrum…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-26 Arkadiusz Jędrzejewski , Jesus Lago , Grzegorz Marcjasz , Rafał Weron

Energy system models require a large amount of technical and economic data, the quality of which significantly influences the reliability of the results. Some of the variables on the important data source ENTSO-E transparency platform, such…

General Economics · Economics 2023-02-23 Thomas Möbius , Mira Watermeyer , Oliver Grothe , Felix Müsgens

We examine the problem of modeling and forecasting European Day-Ahead and Month-Ahead natural gas prices. For this, we propose two distinct probabilistic models that can be utilized in risk- and portfolio management. We use daily pricing…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-13 Jonathan Berrisch , Florian Ziel

A machine learning algorithm is developed to forecast the CO2 emission intensities in electrical power grids in the Danish bidding zone DK2, distinguishing between average and marginal emissions. The analysis was done on data set comprised…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-13 Kenneth Leerbeck , Peder Bacher , Rune Junker , Goran Goranović , Olivier Corradi , Razgar Ebrahimy , Anna Tveit , Henrik Madsen

A data-driven model (DDM) suitable for regional weather forecasting applications is presented. The model extends the Artificial Intelligence Forecasting System by introducing a stretched-grid architecture that dedicates higher resolution…

Accurate power load forecasting is essential for the efficient operation and planning of electrical grids, particularly given the increased variability and complexity introduced by renewable energy sources. This paper introduces GAT-LSTM, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-13 Ugochukwu Orji , Çiçek Güven , Dan Stowell

Short-term forecasting models typically assume the availability of input data (features) when they are deployed and in use. However, equipment failures, disruptions, cyberattacks, may lead to missing features when such models are used…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-30 Akylas Stratigakos , Panagiotis Andrianesis

The use of residential photovoltaics has increased dramatically in recent years. With battery systems becoming more affordable, the optimal operation of a photovoltaic-battery system can bring significant savings to households. Optimal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-28 Joris Depoortere , Hussain Kazmi , Johan Driesen

Energy forecasting has a vital role to play in smart grid (SG) systems involving various applications such as demand-side management, load shedding, and optimum dispatch. Managing efficient forecasting while ensuring the least possible…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Devinder Kaur , Shama Naz Islam , Md. Apel Mahmud , Md. Enamul Haque , ZhaoYang Dong

We present the winning strategy of an electricity demand forecasting competition. This competition was organized to design new forecasting methods for unstable periods such as the one starting in Spring 2020. We rely on state-space models…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-04 Joseph de Vilmarest , Yannig Goude

Electricity price forecasting (EPF) is essential for energy markets stakeholders (e.g. grid operators, energy traders, policymakers) but remains challenging due to the inherent volatility and nonlinearity of price signals. Traditional…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Kritchanat Ponyuenyong , Pengyu Tu , Jia Wei Tan , Wei Soon Cheong , Jamie Ng Suat Ling , Lianlian Jiang

Climate change has increased the vulnerability of forests to insect-related damage, resulting in widespread forest loss in Central Europe and highlighting the need for effective, continuous monitoring systems. Remote sensing based forest…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-10 Maximilian Kirsch , Jakob Wernicke , Pawan Datta , Christine Preisach

We investigated the use of Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) combined with Gaussian Mixture Models (GMM), feature engineering and machine learning algorithms to optimize trading decisions. We used five, two, and one year samples of hourly…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-27 Gabriel R. Palma , Mariusz Skoczeń , Phil Maguire

Deep-learning techniques have been successfully used for time-series forecasting and have often shown superior performance on many standard benchmark datasets as compared to traditional techniques. Here we present a comprehensive and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-08 Vedant Shah , Gautam Shroff

As field-programmable gate arrays become prevalent in critical application domains, their power consumption is of high concern. In this paper, we present and evaluate a power monitoring scheme capable of accurately estimating the runtime…

Hardware Architecture · Computer Science 2020-09-04 Zhe Lin , Sharad Sinha , Wei Zhang

Additive Manufacturing (AM) processes present challenges in monitoring and controlling material properties and process parameters, affecting production quality and defect detection. Machine Learning (ML) techniques offer a promising…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2026-05-15 Mohsen Asghari Ilani , Yaser Mike Banad

This study assessed the effectiveness of machine learning models in predicting poverty levels in the Philippines using five boosting algorithms: Adaptive Boosting (AdaBoost), CatBoosting (CatBoost), Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM), Light…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Erika Lynet Salvador

Accurately detecting and predicting lane change (LC)processes can help autonomous vehicles better understand their surrounding environment, recognize potential safety hazards, and improve traffic safety. This paper focuses on LC processes…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-31 Renteng Yuan

Site-specific weather forecasts are essential to accurate prediction of power demand and are consequently of great interest to energy operators. However, weather forecasts from current numerical weather prediction (NWP) models lack the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-08-02 MengMeng Han , Tennessee Leeuwenburg , Brad Murphy

Several methods have been proposed for correcting the elevation bias in digital elevation models (DEMs) for example, linear regression. Nowadays, supervised machine learning enables the modelling of complex relationships between variables,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Chukwuma Okolie , Adedayo Adeleke , Julian Smit , Jon Mills , Iyke Maduako , Caleb Ogbeta