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There are many wildfire behaviors of increasing relevance that are outside the forecast capabilities of even the most sophisticated operational fire spread and fire behavior model. The limitations of the operational models are due primarily…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-03-26 Adam K. Kochanski , Mary Ann Jenkins , Steven K. Krueger , Jan Mandel , Jonathan D. Beezley

The current WRF-Fire model starts the fire from a given ignition point at a given time. We want to start the model from a given fire perimeter at a given time instead. However, the fuel balance and the state of the atmosphere depend on the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-07-20 Volodymyr Y. Kondratenko , Jonathan D. Beezley , Adam K. Kochanski , Jan Mandel

Wildfire forecasting has been one of the most critical tasks that humanities want to thrive. It plays a vital role in protecting human life. Wildfire prediction, on the other hand, is difficult because of its stochastic and chaotic…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-01 Thai-Nam Hoang , Sang Truong , Chris Schmidt

Wildfire forecasting problems usually rely on complex grid-based mathematical models, mostly involving Computational fluid dynamics(CFD) and Celluar Automata, but these methods have always been computationally expensive and difficult to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-21 Hansong Xiao

Due to recent climate changes, we have seen more frequent and severe wildfires in the United States. Predicting wildfires is critical for natural disaster prevention and mitigation. Advances in technologies in data processing and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-22 Hyung-Jin Yoon , Petros Voulgaris

Wildfire monitoring and prediction are essential for understanding wildfire behaviour. With extensive Earth observation data, these tasks can be integrated and enhanced through multi-task deep learning models. We present a comprehensive…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Yu Zhao , Sebastian Gerard , Yifang Ban

We describe the coupled atmosphere-wildfire model WRF-Fire, which is distributed as a part of WRF. The fire module is based on a fire-spread model, implemented by the level-set method. In each time step, the fire module takes the wind as…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-02-01 Jan Mandel , Jonathan D. Beezley , Adam K. Kochanski

Assimilation of data into a fire-spread model is formulated as an optimization problem. The level set equation, which relates the fire arrival time and the rate of spread, is allowed to be satisfied only approximately, and we minimize a…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-06-18 Àngel Farguell Caus , James Haley , Adam K. Kochanski , Ana Cortés Fité , Jan Mandel

The availability of wildland fire propagation models with parameters estimated in an accurate way starting from measurements of fire fronts is crucial to predict the evolution of fire and allocate resources for firefighting. Thus, we…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-12-21 Angelo Alessandri , Patrizia Bagnerini , Mauro Gaggero , Luca Mantelli

In recent years, increased wildfires have caused irreversible damage to forest resources worldwide, threatening wildlives and human living conditions. The lack of accurate frontline information in real-time can pose great risks to…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Tai Yang , Shumeng Zhang , Yong Wang , Jialei Liu

Forward propagation of input uncertainties in physics-based wildfire models is computationally prohibitive, limiting the use of high-fidelity simulators in risk assessment workflows. This work introduces a geometry-aligned bi-fidelity…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Konstantinos Vogiatzoglou , Costas Papadimitriou , Vasilis Bontozoglou , Petros Koumoutsakos , Han Gao

We describe two recent additions to WRF coupled with a fire spread model. Fire propagation is strongly dependent on fuel moisture, which in turn depends on the history of the atmosphere. We have implemented a equilibrium time-lag model of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2012-08-28 Adam K. Kochanski , Jonathan D. Beezley , Jan Mandel , Minjeong Kim

Due to climate change, the extreme wildfire has become one of the most dangerous natural hazards to human civilization. Even though, some wildfires may be initially caused by human activity, but the spread of wildfires is mainly determined…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Qijun Chen , Shaofan Li

Computational simulations of wildfire spread typically employ empirical rate-of-spread calculations under various conditions (such as terrain, fuel type, weather). Small perturbations in conditions can often lead to significant changes in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Andrew Bolt , Carolyn Huston , Petra Kuhnert , Joel Janek Dabrowski , James Hilton , Conrad Sanderson

The increasing incidence and severity of wildfires underscores the necessity of accurately predicting their behavior. While high-fidelity models derived from first principles offer physical accuracy, they are too computationally expensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-01 John Burge , Matthew R. Bonanni , R. Lily Hu , Matthias Ihme

The level-set method is a prominent approach to modelling the evolution of a fire over time based on a characterised rate of spread. It however does not provide a direct means for assimilating new data and quantifying uncertainty. Fire…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-20 Joel Janek Dabrowski , Carolyn Huston , James Hilton , Stephane Mangeon , Petra Kuhnert

Two wildland fire models are described, one based on reaction-diffusion-convection partial differential equations, and one based on semi-empirical fire spread by the level let method. The level set method model is coupled with the Weather…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2010-03-01 Jan Mandel , Jonathan D. Beezley , Janice L. Coen , Minjeong Kim

Monitoring the fuel moisture content (FMC) of vegetation is crucial for managing and mitigating the impact of wildland fires. The combination of in situ FMC observations with numerical weather prediction (NWP) models and satellite…

Wildfires are a growing threat to ecosystems, human lives, and infrastructure, with their frequency and intensity rising due to climate change and human activities. Early detection is critical, yet satellite-based monitoring remains…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Aydin Ayanzadeh , Prakhar Dixit , Sadia Kamal , Milton Halem

Wildfire burned-area mapping is essential for damage assessment, emissions modeling, and understanding fire-climate interactions across diverse ecological regions. Recent geospatial foundation models provide strong general-purpose…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Ali Shibli , Andrea Nascetti , Yifang Ban