Related papers: Estimating the Joint Probability of Scenario Param…
Joint modelling of longitudinal and time-to-event data is usually described by a joint model which uses shared or correlated latent effects to capture associations between the two processes. Under this framework, the joint distribution of…
This paper proposes a new framework based on joint statistical models for evaluating risks of automated vehicles in a naturalistic driving environment. The previous studies on the Accelerated Evaluation for automated vehicles are extended…
Fully describing the entire data set is essential in multivariate risk assessment, since moderate levels of one variable can influence another, potentially leading it to be extreme. Additionally, modelling both non-extreme and extreme…
This paper investigates Gaussian copula mixture models (GCMM), which are an extension of Gaussian mixture models (GMM) that incorporate copula concepts. The paper presents the mathematical definition of GCMM and explores the properties of…
Verification and validation of fully automated vehicles is linked to an almost intractable challenge of reflecting the real world with all its interactions in a virtual environment. Influential stochastic parameters need to be extracted…
Verification and validation are major challenges for developing automated driving systems. A concept that gets more and more recognized for testing in automated driving is scenario-based testing. However, it introduces the problem of what…
Longitudinal and survival sub-models are two building blocks for joint modelling of longitudinal and time to event data. Extensive research indicates separate analysis of these two processes could result in biased outputs due to their…
Missing values with mixed data types is a common problem in a large number of machine learning applications such as processing of surveys and in different medical applications. Recently, Gaussian copula models have been suggested as a means…
Traffic microscopic simulation applications are a common tool in road transportation analysis and several attempts to perform road safety assessments have recently been carried out. However, these approaches often ignore causal…
Clustering task of mixed data is a challenging problem. In a probabilistic framework, the main difficulty is due to a shortage of conventional distributions for such data. In this paper, we propose to achieve the mixed data clustering with…
To validate the safety of automated vehicles (AV), scenario-based testing aims to systematically describe driving scenarios an AV might encounter. In this process, continuous inputs such as velocities result in an infinite number of…
This work introduces a novel approach for generating conditional probabilistic rainfall forecasts with temporal and spatial dependence. A two-step procedure is employed. Firstly, marginal location-specific distributions are jointly…
In this article, we discuss two specific classes of models - Gaussian Mixture Copula models and Mixture of Factor Analyzers - and the advantages of doing inference with gradient descent using automatic differentiation. Gaussian mixture…
Seaman and Keogh (Biometrical Journal 2024) proposed a method for simulating data compatible with a marginal structural model (MSM) for the hazard of a survival time outcome. In this short report, I propose two extensions of this method.…
Graphical models are commonly used tools for modeling multivariate random variables. While there exist many convenient multivariate distributions such as Gaussian distribution for continuous data, mixed data with the presence of discrete…
In learned image compression, probabilistic models play an essential role in characterizing the distribution of latent variables. The Gaussian model with mean and scale parameters has been widely used for its simplicity and effectiveness.…
Joint models are well suited to modelling linked data from laboratories and health registers. However, there are few examples of joint models that allow for (a) multiple markers, (b) multiple survival outcomes (including terminal events,…
Copulas, generalized estimating equations, and generalized linear mixed models promote the analysis of grouped data where non-normal responses are correlated. Unfortunately, parameter estimation remains challenging in these three…
Parametric conditional copula models allow the copula parameters to vary with a set of covariates according to an unknown calibration function. Flexible Bayesian inference for the calibration function of a bivariate conditional copula is…
This paper formed part of a preliminary research report for a risk consultancy and academic research. Stochastic Programming models provide a powerful paradigm for decision making under uncertainty. In these models the uncertainties are…