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Recursive estimation of nonlinear dynamical systems is an important problem that arises in several engineering applications. Consistent and accurate propagation of uncertainties is important to ensuring good estimation performance. It is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-03-16 Dilshad Raihan Akkam Veettil , Suman Chakravorty

We address a slow-fast system of coupled three dimensional Navier--Stokes equations where the fast component is perturbed by an additive Brownian noise. By means of the rough path theory, we establish the convergence in law of the slow…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-06 Arnaud Debussche , Martina Hofmanová

We consider a nonlinear filtering problem of multiscale non-Gaussian signal processes and observation processes with jumps. Firstly, we prove that the dimension for the signal system can be reduced by a homogenized approach. Secondly,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-21 Huijie Qiao

We propose a novel small time approximation for the solution to the Zakai equation from nonlinear filtering theory. We prove that the unnormalized filtering density is well described over short time intervals by the solution of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-27 Alberto Lanconelli , Ramiro Scorolli

In this paper, we consider equilibrium strategies under Volterra processes and time-inconsistent preferences embracing mean-variance portfolio selection (MVP). Using a functional It\^o calculus approach, we overcome the non-Markovian and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-23 Bingyan Han , Hoi Ying Wong

Linear filtering problem for infinite-dimensional Gaussian processes is studied, the observation process being finite-dimensional. Integral equations for the filter and for covariance of the error are derived. General results are applied to…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-10 Vit Kubelka , Bohdan Maslowski

The aim of this paper is to provide a variational interpretation of the nonlinear filter in continuous time. A time-stepping procedure is introduced, consisting of successive minimization problems in the space of probability densities. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-12-19 Richard S. Laugesen , Prashant G. Mehta , Sean P. Meyn , Maxim Raginsky

This paper introduces a method for the nonparametric Bayesian learning of nonlinear operators, through the use of the Volterra series with kernels represented using Gaussian processes (GPs), which we term the nonparametric Volterra kernels…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-11 Magnus Ross , Michael T. Smith , Mauricio A. Álvarez

We study the filtering and smoothing problem for continuous-time linear Gaussian systems. While classical approaches such as the Kalman-Bucy filter and the Rauch-Tung-Striebel (RTS) smoother provide recursive formulas for the conditional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Masahiro Kurisaki

Data assimilation methodologies are designed to incorporate noisy observations of a physical system into an underlying model in order to infer the properties of the state of the system. Filters refer to a class of data assimilation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-08-06 C. E. A. Brett , K. F. Lam , K. J. H. Law , D. S. McCormick , M. R. Scott , A. M. Stuart

In this paper, the regularization approach introduced recently for nonparametric estimation of linear systems is extended to the estimation of nonlinear systems modelled as Volterra series. The kernels of order higher than one, representing…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-04-30 Georgios Birpoutsoukis , Anna Marconato , John Lataire , Johan Schoukens

This work proposes a nonlinear stochastic filter evolved on the Special Orthogonal Group SO(3) as a solution to the attitude filtering problem. One of the most common potential functions for nonlinear deterministic attitude observers is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-01-23 Hashim A. Hashim , Lyndon J. Brown , Kenneth McIsaac

We derive quantitative criteria for the existence of density for stochastic line integrals and iterated line integrals along solutions of hypoelliptic differential equations driven by fractional Brownian motion. As an application, we also…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-08 Xi Geng , Sheng Wang

We propose and analyse a novel, fully discrete numerical algorithm for the approximation of the generalised Stokes system forced by transport noise -- a prototype model for non-Newtonian fluids including turbulence. Utilising the Gradient…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-20 Jerome Droniou , Kim-Ngan Le , Jörn Wichmann

In this note we prove an existence and uniqueness result of solution for stochastic Volterra integral equations driven by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter H > 1/2, showing also that the solution has finite moments. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-09 Mireia Besalú , Carles Rovira

We highlight a fundamental ill-posedness issue for nonlinear stochastic wave equations driven by a fractional noise. Namely, if the noise becomes too rough (i.e., the sum of its Hurst indexes becomes too small), then there is essentially no…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-17 Aurélien Deya

The paper is devoted to three-parametric self-similar Gaussian Volterra processes that generalize fractional Brownian motion. We study the asymptotic growth of such processes and the properties of long- and short-range dependence. Then we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-08 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Sergiy Shklyar

This paper is considered with joint estimation of state and time-varying noise covariance matrices in non-linear stochastic state space models. We present a variational Bayes and Gaussian filtering based algorithm for efficient computation…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-05 Simo Särkkä Jouni Hartikainen

We look at a stochastic time-varying optimization problem and we formulate online algorithms to find and track its optimizers in expectation. The algorithms are derived from the intuition that standard prediction and correction steps can be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-11 Andrea Simonetto , Paolo Massioni

This paper examines the cycling behavior of a deterministic and a stochastic version of the economic interpretation of the Lotka-Volterra model, the Goodwin model. We provide a characterization of orbits in the deterministic highly…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-02-03 Bernardo Costa-Lima , Adrien Nguyen Huu