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Automated analysis of complex systems based on multiple readouts remains a challenge. Change point detection algorithms are aimed to locating abrupt changes in the time series behaviour of a process. In this paper, we present a novel change…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-05 Artem Ryzhikov , Mikhail Hushchyn , Denis Derkach

We consider a stochastic differential equation of the form \[dX_t=\theta a(t,X_t)\,dt+\sigma_1(t,X_t)\sigma_2(t,Y_t)\,dW_t\] with multiplicative stochastic volatility, where $Y$ is some adapted stochastic process. We prove…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-06 Meriem Bel Hadj Khlifa , Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Mounir Zili

We develop a consistent method for estimating the parameters of a rich class of path-dependent SDEs, called signature SDEs, which can model general path-dependent phenomena. Path signatures are iterated integrals of a given path with the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-29 Pardis Semnani , Vincent Guan , Elina Robeva , Darrick Lee

This paper studies stochastic boundedness of trajectories of a nonvanishing stochastically perturbed stable LTI system. First, two definitions on stochastic boundedness of stochastic processes are presented, then the boundedness is analyzed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-04-18 Peyman Azodi , Alireza Khayatian , Elham Jamalinia , Peyman Setoodeh

The signature of a path, as a fundamental object in Rough path theory, serves as a generating function for non-commutative monomials on path space. It transforms the path into a grouplike element in the tensor algebra space, summarising the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-04 Terry Lyons , Hao Ni , Jiajie Tao

We study stochastic differential equations (SDEs) whose drift and diffusion coefficients are path-dependent and controlled. We construct a value process on the canonical path space, considered simultaneously under a family of singular…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-08 Marcel Nutz

Symmetry protected topological states (SPTs) have the same symmetry and the phase transition between them are beyond Landau's symmetry breaking formalism. In this paper we study (1) the critical theory of phase transition between trivial…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2013-09-10 Xie Chen , Fa Wang , Yuan-Ming Lu , Dung-Hai Lee

An ensemble of trajectories with dynamical activity and first-passage time (FPT) is considered in the context of the thermodynamics of trajectories. The relationship between the average FPT and the total change in entropy is determined,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-12-10 V. V. Ryazanov

We discuss an impact of various (path-wise) reflection-from-the barrier scenarios upon confining properties of a paradigmatic family of symmetric $\alpha $-stable L\'{e}vy processes, whose permanent residence in a finite interval on a line…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-07-19 Piotr Garbaczewski , Mariusz Żaba

L\'evy noise influences diverse non-equilibrium systems across scales, including quantum devices, active biological matter, and financial markets. While such noise is pervasive, its overall impact on activated transitions between metastable…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-11-25 Shenglan Yuan

Classical transition state theory (TST) is the cornerstone of reaction rate theory. It postulates a partition of phase space into reactant and product regions, which are separated by a dividing surface that reactive trajectories must cross.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Thomas Bartsch , Rigoberto Hernandez , T. Uzer

Stochastic thermodynamics (ST) for delayed Langevin systems are discussed. By using the general principles of ST, the first-law-like energy balance and trajectory-dependent entropy s(t) can be well-defined in a similar way as that in a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-06-28 Huijun Jiang , Tiejun Xiao , Zhonghuai Hou

In this paper, we solve exit problems for a L\'evy process that resets proportionally to its current position at independent Poisson epochs times. This resetting causes an additional (proportional to its current level) downward (upward)…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-29 Zbigniew Palmowski , Noah Beelders , Lewis Ramsden , Apostolos D. Papaioannou

We describe stochastic calculus in the context of processes that are driven by an adapted point process of locally finite intensity and are differentiable between jumps. This includes Markov chains as well as non-Markov processes. By…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-26 Eric Foxall

This paper introduces a new transformer-based model for the problem of travel time estimation. The key feature of the proposed GCT-TTE architecture is the utilization of different data modalities capturing different properties of an input…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-10-17 Vladimir Mashurov , Vaagn Chopurian , Vadim Porvatov , Arseny Ivanov , Natalia Semenova

Modeling and simulating movement of vehicles in established transportation infrastructures, especially in large urban road networks is an important task. It helps with understanding and handling traffic problems, optimizing traffic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-09 Renátó Besenczi , Norbert Bátfai , Péter Jeszenszky , Roland Major , Fanny Monori , Márton Ispány

We develope a perturbation theory for stochastic differential equations (SDEs) by which we mean both stochastic ordinary differential equations (SODEs) and stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). In particular, we estimate the $…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-25 Martin Hutzenthaler , Arnulf Jentzen

Continuous-time state estimation has been shown to be an effective means of (i) handling asynchronous and high-rate measurements, (ii) introducing smoothness to the estimate, (iii) post hoc querying the estimate at times other than those of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-01-08 Timothy Barfoot , Cedric Le Gentil , Sven Lilge

We investigate, by numerical simulation, the path probability of non dissipative mechanical systems undergoing stochastic motion. The aim is to search for the relationship between this probability and the usual mechanical action. The model…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-17 T. L. Lin , R. Wang , W. P. Bi , A. El Kaabouchi , C. Pujos , F. Calvayrac , Q. A. Wang

To obtain further insight on possible power law generalizations of Boltzmann equilibrium concepts, a stochastic collision model is investigated. We consider the dynamics of a tracer particle of mass $M$, undergoing elastic collisions with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Eli Barkai
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