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Bayesian nonparametric regression under a rescaled Gaussian process prior offers smoothness-adaptive function estimation with near minimax-optimal error rates. Hierarchical extensions of this approach, equipped with stochastic variable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Sheng Jiang , Surya T. Tokdar

This paper studies the problem of equivalence of Gaussian measures induced by Gaussian random fields (GRFs) with stationary increments and proves a sufficient condition for the equivalence in terms of the behavior of the spectral measures…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-13 Abolfazl Safikhani , Yimin Xiao

We study how sampling geometry contributes to uncertainty in modeling spatial geophysical observations as sampled random fields characterized by stationary, isotropic, parametric covariance functions. We incorporate the signature of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Olivia L. Walbert , Frederik J. Simons , Arthur P. Guillaumin , Sofia C. Olhede

Unmeasured, spatially-structured factors can confound associations between spatial environmental exposures and health outcomes. Adding flexible splines to a regression model is a simple approach for spatial confounding adjustment, but the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-22 Joshua P. Keller , Adam A. Szpiro

We develop a uniform inference theory for high-dimensional slope parameters in threshold regression models, allowing for either cross-sectional or time series data. We first establish oracle inequalities for prediction errors, and L1…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-16 Jiatong Li , Hongqiang Yan

We study uniform consistency in nonparametric mixture models as well as closely related mixture of regression (also known as mixed regression) models, where the regression functions are allowed to be nonparametric and the error…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-29 Bryon Aragam , Ruiyi Yang

Studies in environmental and epidemiological sciences are often spatially varying and observational in nature with the aim of establishing cause and effect relationships. One of the major challenges with such studies is the presence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-16 Sayli Pokal , Yawen Guan , Honglang Wang , Yuzhen Zhou

This manuscript unites causal inference and spatial statistics, presenting novel insights for causal inference in spatial data analysis, and drawing from tools in spatial statistics to estimate causal effects. We introduce spatial causal…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-17 Georgia Papadogeorgou , Srijata Samanta

Reliable inference for spatial regression remains challenging because it requires the correct specification of the spatial dependence structure, the mean trend, and the error distribution. Existing parametric testing methods rely on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Kanghyun Wi , Hyoeun Kim , Tomáš Mrkvička , Jorge Mateu , Jaewoo Park

Over the past few decades, addressing "spatial confounding" has become a major topic in spatial statistics. However, the literature has provided conflicting definitions, and many proposed solutions are tied to specific analysis models and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-14 Brian Gilbert , Abhirup Datta , Joan A. Casey , Elizabeth L. Ogburn

In the last two decades, considerable research has been devoted to a phenomenon known as spatial confounding. Spatial confounding is thought to occur when there is multicollinearity between a covariate and the random effect in a spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-25 Kori Khan , Candace Berrett

We prove uniform consistency of Random Survival Forests (RSF), a newly introduced forest ensemble learner for analysis of right-censored survival data. Consistency is proven under general splitting rules, bootstrapping, and random selection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-11-19 Hemant Ishwaran , Udaya B. Kogalur

In this article, we investigate posterior convergence in nonparametric regression models where the unknown regression function is modeled by some appropriate stochastic process. In this regard, we consider two setups. The first setup is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-04 Debashis Chatterjee , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Graph-based semi-supervised learning is one of the most popular methods in machine learning. Some of its theoretical properties such as bounds for the generalization error and the convergence of the graph Laplacian regularizer have been…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-12 Chengan Du , Yunpeng Zhao , Feng Wang

We study Spatial Logistic Gaussian Process (SLGP) models for non-parametric estimation of probability density fields using scattered samples of heterogeneous sizes. SLGPs are examined from the perspective of random measures and their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-20 Athénaïs Gautier , David Ginsbourger

In this paper we study the asymptotics of linear regression in settings with non-Gaussian covariates where the covariates exhibit a linear dependency structure, departing from the standard assumption of independence. We model the covariates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-10 Behrad Moniri , Hamed Hassani

Regression on observational data can fail to capture a causal relationship in the presence of unobserved confounding. Confounding strength measures this mismatch, but estimating it requires itself additional assumptions. A common assumption…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-04 Luca Rendsburg , Leena Chennuru Vankadara , Debarghya Ghoshdastidar , Ulrike von Luxburg

Gaussian process (GP) regression is a powerful interpolation technique due to its flexibility in capturing non-linearity. In this paper, we provide a general framework for understanding the frequentist coverage of point-wise and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-17 Yun Yang , Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati

Random forest (RF) is one of the most popular methods for estimating regression functions. The local nature of the RF algorithm, based on intra-node means and variances, is ideal when errors are i.i.d. For dependent error processes like…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-29 Arkajyoti Saha , Sumanta Basu , Abhirup Datta

Precipitation is a large-scale, spatio-temporally heterogeneous phenomenon, with frequent anomalies exhibiting unusually high or low values. We use Markov Random Fields (MRFs) to detect spatio-temporally coherent anomalies in gridded annual…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-01 Adway Mitra , Ashwin K. Seshadri