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Penalized likelihood and quasi-likelihood methods dominate inference in high-dimensional linear mixed-effects models. Sampling-based Bayesian inference is less explored due to the computational bottlenecks introduced by the random effects…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-24 Sreya Sarkar , Kshitij Khare , Sanvesh Srivastava

Umbrella sampling efficiently yields equilibrium averages that depend on exploring rare states of a model by biasing simulations to windows of coordinate values and then combining the resulting data with physical weighting. Here, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-09-21 Erik Thiede , Brian Van Koten , Jonathan Weare , Aaron R. Dinner

We propose an empirically stable and asymptotically efficient covariate-balancing approach to the problem of estimating survival causal effects in data with conditionally-independent censoring. This addresses a challenge often encountered…

We describe different Bayesian ensemble refinement methods, examine their interrelation, and discuss their practical application. With ensemble refinement, the properties of dynamic and partially disordered (bio)molecular structures can be…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-01-20 Gerhard Hummer , Jürgen Köfinger

In this paper we utilize a survival analysis methodology incorporating Bayesian additive regression trees to account for nonlinear and additive covariate effects. We compare the performance of Bayesian additive regression trees, Cox…

Applications · Statistics 2019-11-05 Satabdi Saha , Duchwan Ryu , Nader Ebrahimi

Chronic diseases are long-lasting conditions that require lifelong medical attention. Using big EMR data, we have developed early disease risk prediction models for five common chronic diseases: diabetes, hypertension, CKD, COPD, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Shaheer Ahmad Khan , Muhammad Usamah Shahid , Muddassar Farooq

Health policy decisions are often informed by estimates of long-term survival based primarily on short-term data. A range of methods are available to include longer-term information, but there has previously been no comprehensive and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-05 Christopher Jackson

Analyzing data from multiple sources offers valuable opportunities to improve the estimation efficiency of causal estimands. However, this analysis also poses many challenges due to population heterogeneity and data privacy constraints.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-23 Rong Zhao , Jason Falvey , Xu Shi , Vernon M. Chinchilli , Chixiang Chen

Ensemble Learning methods combine multiple algorithms performing the same task to build a group with superior quality. These systems are well adapted to the distributed setup, where each peer or machine of the network hosts one algorithm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Gaëlle Candel , David Naccache

With the availability of massive amounts of data from electronic health records and registry databases, incorporating time-varying patient information to improve risk prediction has attracted great attention. To exploit the growing amount…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-29 Yifei Sun , Sy Han Chiou , Colin O. Wu , Meghan McGarry , Chiung-Yu Huang

Discrete-time hazard models are widely used when event times are measured in intervals or are not precisely observed. While these models can be estimated using standard generalized linear model techniques, they rely on extensive data…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-14 Benjamin Müller , Nikolaus Umlauf , Johannes Seiler , Kenneth Harttgen , Stefan Lang

The problem of estimating event truths from conflicting agent opinions in a social network is investigated. An autoencoder learns the complex relationships between event truths, agent reliabilities and agent observations. A Bayesian network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-26 Jielong Yang , Wee Peng Tay

Attention mechanism has gained great success in vision recognition. Many works are devoted to improving the effectiveness of attention mechanism, which finely design the structure of the attention operator. These works need lots of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-09-14 Shanshan Zhong , Wushao Wen , Jinghui Qin

This work develops formal statistical inference procedures for machine learning ensemble methods. Ensemble methods based on bootstrapping, such as bagging and random forests, have improved the predictive accuracy of individual trees, but…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-11 Lucas Mentch , Giles Hooker

Self-supervised representation learning, particularly through contrastive methods like TS2Vec, has advanced the analysis of time series data. However, these models often falter in forecasting tasks because their objective functions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Ganeshan Niroshan , Uthayasanker Thayasivam

Survival analysis (SA) models have been widely studied in mining electronic health records (EHRs), particularly in forecasting the risk of critical conditions for prioritizing high-risk patients. However, their vulnerability to adversarial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Mohsen Nayebi Kerdabadi , Arya Hadizadeh Moghaddam , Bin Liu , Mei Liu , Zijun Yao

Survival analysis provides a well-established framework for modeling time-to-event data, with hazard and survival functions formally defined as population-level quantities. In applied work, however, these quantities are often interpreted as…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-26 Xijia Liu

The widespread adoption of mobile and wearable sensing technologies has enabled continuous and personalized monitoring of affect, mood disorders, and stress. When combined with ecological self-report questionnaires, these systems offer a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Louis Simon , Mohamed Chetouani

This paper concerns robust inference on average treatment effects following model selection. In the selection on observables framework, we show how to construct confidence intervals based on a doubly-robust estimator that are robust to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-13 Max H. Farrell

Intensive Care in-hospital mortality prediction has various clinical applications. Neural prediction models, especially when capitalising on clinical notes, have been put forward as improvement on currently existing models. However, to be…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-12-14 Miguel Rios , Ameen Abu-Hanna