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The importance of time series forecasting drives continuous research and the development of new approaches to tackle this problem. Typically, these methods are introduced through empirical studies that frequently claim superior accuracy for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-20 Luis Roque , Carlos Soares , Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Torgo

Spatiotemporal data play a key role for mobility-based applications and are their produced volume is growing continuously, among others, due to the increased availability of IoT devices. When working with spatiotemporal data, developers…

Databases · Computer Science 2025-10-23 Tim C. Rese , David Bermbach

Time-series forecasting is crucial for numerous real-world applications including weather prediction and financial market modeling. While temporal-domain methods remain prevalent, frequency-domain approaches can effectively capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Zhixuan Li , Naipeng Chen , Seonghwa Choi , Sanghoon Lee , Weisi Lin

An increasing body of research focuses on using neural networks to model time series. A common assumption in training neural networks via maximum likelihood estimation on time series is that the errors across time steps are uncorrelated.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Fan-Keng Sun , Christopher I. Lang , Duane S. Boning

The fourth industrial revolution creates ubiquitous sensor data in production plants. To generate maximum value out of these data, reliable and precise time series-based machine learning methods like temporal neural networks are needed.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-22 Stefan Gaugel , Manfred Reichert

For the advancements of time series classification, scrutinizing previous studies, most existing methods adopt a common learning-to-classify paradigm - a time series classifier model tries to learn the relation between sequence inputs and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-20 Mingyue Cheng , Yiheng Chen , Qi Liu , Zhiding Liu , Yucong Luo

Recommender systems have achieved great success in modeling user's preferences on items and predicting the next item the user would consume. Recently, there have been many efforts to utilize time information of users' interactions with…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-04-30 Junsu Cho , Dongmin Hyun , SeongKu Kang , Hwanjo Yu

Evaluating models on large benchmarks is very resource-intensive, especially during the period of rapid model evolution. Existing efficient evaluation methods estimate the performance of target models by testing them only on a small and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Peiwen Yuan , Yueqi Zhang , Shaoxiong Feng , Yiwei Li , Xinglin Wang , Jiayi Shi , Chuyi Tan , Boyuan Pan , Yao Hu , Kan Li

Time series modeling is a well-established problem, which often requires that methods (1) expressively represent complicated dependencies, (2) forecast long horizons, and (3) efficiently train over long sequences. State-space models (SSMs)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-17 Michael Zhang , Khaled K. Saab , Michael Poli , Tri Dao , Karan Goel , Christopher Ré

The rapid advancement of Large Language Models (LLMs) has sparked growing interest in their application to time series analysis tasks. However, their ability to perform complex reasoning over temporal data in real-world application domains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Wen Ye , Jinbo Liu , Defu Cao , Wei Yang , Yan Liu

While current time series research focuses on developing new models, crucial questions of selecting an optimal approach for training such models are underexplored. Tsururu, a Python library introduced in this paper, bridges SoTA research…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Alina Kostromina , Kseniia Kuvshinova , Aleksandr Yugay , Andrey Savchenko , Dmitry Simakov

Unpacking and comprehending how black-box machine learning algorithms make decisions has been a persistent challenge for researchers and end-users. Explaining time-series predictive models is useful for clinical applications with high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Amin Nayebi , Sindhu Tipirneni , Chandan K Reddy , Brandon Foreman , Vignesh Subbian

Modern sequential recommender systems, ranging from lightweight transformer-based variants to large language models, have become increasingly prominent in academia and industry due to their strong performance in the next-item prediction…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-08-11 Danil Gusak , Anna Volodkevich , Anton Klenitskiy , Alexey Vasilev , Evgeny Frolov

In recent years, AI-based weather forecasting models have matched or even outperformed numerical weather prediction systems. However, most of these models have been trained and evaluated on reanalysis datasets like ERA5. These datasets,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-17 Weixin Jin , Jonathan Weyn , Pengcheng Zhao , Siqi Xiang , Jiang Bian , Zuliang Fang , Haiyu Dong , Hongyu Sun , Kit Thambiratnam , Qi Zhang

Using a time series model to mimic an observed time series has a long history. However, with regard to this objective, conventional estimation methods for discrete-time dynamical models are frequently found to be wanting. In fact, they are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Yingcun Xia , Howell Tong

Sequentially obtained dataset usually exhibits different behavior at different data resolutions/scales. Instead of inferring from data at each scale individually, it is often more informative to interpret the data as an ensemble of time…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2021-03-19 Yuan Yang , Jie Ding

Performance estimation aims at estimating the loss that a predictive model will incur on unseen data. These procedures are part of the pipeline in every machine learning project and are used for assessing the overall generalisation ability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-31 Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Torgo , Igor Mozetic

Time series classification is an important task in its own right, and it is often a precursor to further downstream analytics. To date, virtually all works in the literature have used either shape-based classification using a distance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-23 Sara Alaee , Alireza Abdoli , Christian Shelton , Amy C. Murillo , Alec C. Gerry , Eamonn Keogh

Despite the growing attention to time series forecasting in recent years, many studies have proposed various solutions to address the challenges encountered in time series prediction, aiming to improve forecasting performance. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-12 Yanlong Wang , Jian Xu , Tiantian Gao , Hongkang Zhang , Shao-Lun Huang , Danny Dongning Sun , Xiao-Ping Zhang

In many areas of decision-making, forecasting is an essential pillar. Consequently, many different forecasting methods have been proposed. From our experience, recently presented forecasting methods are computationally intensive, poorly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-29 André Bauer , Mark Leznik , Michael Stenger , Robert Leppich , Nikolas Herbst , Samuel Kounev , Ian Foster