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We introduce a statistical method to detect nonlinearity and nonstationarity in time series, that works even for short sequences and in presence of noise. The method has a discrimination power similar to that of the most advanced estimators…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-11-16 M. De Domenico , V. Latora

Uncertainty quantification is crucial for building reliable and trustable machine learning systems. We propose to estimate uncertainty in recurrent neural networks (RNNs) via stochastic discrete state transitions over recurrent timesteps.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Cheng Wang , Carolin Lawrence , Mathias Niepert

Uncertainty representation and quantification are paramount in machine learning and constitute an important prerequisite for safety-critical applications. In this paper, we propose novel measures for the quantification of aleatoric and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-22 Paul Hofman , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier

We study confidence interval construction for linear regression under Huber's contamination model, where an unknown fraction of noise variables is arbitrarily corrupted. While robust point estimation in this setting is well understood,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-03 Dong Xie , Chao Gao , John Lafferty

Noise injection-based method has been shown to be able to improve the robustness of artificial neural networks in previous work. In this work, we propose a novel noise injection-based training scheme for better model robustness.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-30 Zeliang Zhang , Jinyang Jiang , Minjie Chen , Zhiyuan Wang , Yijie Peng , Zhaofei Yu

Coreset selection aims to identify a small yet highly informative subset of data, thereby enabling more efficient model training while reducing storage overhead. Recently, this capability has been leveraged to tackle the challenges of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-19 Hanyu Zhang , Zhen Xing , Ruian He , Wenxuan Yang , Chenxi Ma , Weimin Tan , Bo Yan

Among the different possible strategies for evaluating the reliability of individual predictions of classifiers, robustness quantification stands out as a method that evaluates how much uncertainty a classifier could cope with before…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Rodrigo F. L. Lassance , Jasper De Bock

To achieve state-of-the-art performance, one still needs to train NER models on large-scale, high-quality annotated data, an asset that is both costly and time-intensive to accumulate. In contrast, real-world applications often resort to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Zhendong Chu , Ruiyi Zhang , Tong Yu , Rajiv Jain , Vlad I Morariu , Jiuxiang Gu , Ani Nenkova

It is crucial to distinguish mislabeled samples for dealing with noisy labels. Previous methods such as Coteaching and JoCoR introduce two different networks to select clean samples out of the noisy ones and only use these clean ones to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-26 Rumeng Yi , Yaping Huang

The problem of detecting whether a test sample is from in-distribution (i.e., training distribution by a classifier) or out-of-distribution sufficiently different from it arises in many real-world machine learning applications. However, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-27 Kimin Lee , Honglak Lee , Kibok Lee , Jinwoo Shin

Learning with noisy labels (LNL) is typically benchmarked by closed-set classification accuracy, yet deployment often requires classifiers to reject out-of-distribution (OOD) inputs. We present a learner-agnostic ACC-OOD benchmark that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Ningkang Peng , Jingyang Mao , Runhan Zhou , Peirong Ma , Yanhui Gu

Quantitative characterizations and estimations of uncertainty are of fundamental importance in optimization and decision-making processes. Herein, we propose intuitive scores, which we call certainty and doubt, that can be used in both a…

The recent developments in the machine learning domain have enabled the development of complex multivariate probabilistic forecasting models. Therefore, it is pivotal to have a precise evaluation method to gauge the performance and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-01 Alireza Koochali , Peter Schichtel , Andreas Dengel , Sheraz Ahmed

Uncertainty quantification is a set of techniques that measure confidence in language models. They can be used, for example, to detect hallucinations or alert users to review uncertain predictions. To be useful, these confidence scores must…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-13 Lorenzo Jaime Yu Flores , Cesare Spinoso di-Piano , Jackie Chi Kit Cheung

Jointly extracting entity pairs and their relations is challenging when working on distantly-supervised data with ambiguous or noisy labels. To mitigate such impact, we propose uncertainty-aware bootstrap learning, which is motivated by the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-06-12 Yufei Li , Xiao Yu , Yanchi Liu , Haifeng Chen , Cong Liu

Learning with noisy labels has gained increasing attention because the inevitable imperfect labels in real-world scenarios can substantially hurt the deep model performance. Recent studies tend to regard low-loss samples as clean ones and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-20 Huafeng Liu , Mengmeng Sheng , Zeren Sun , Yazhou Yao , Xian-Sheng Hua , Heng-Tao Shen

Developing large language models is expensive and involves making decisions with small experiments, typically by evaluating on large, multi-task evaluation suites. In this work, we analyze specific properties which make a benchmark more…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-08-19 David Heineman , Valentin Hofmann , Ian Magnusson , Yuling Gu , Noah A. Smith , Hannaneh Hajishirzi , Kyle Lo , Jesse Dodge

As alternatives to the time-to-first-event analysis of composite endpoints, the {\it net benefit} (NB) and the {\it win ratio} (WR) -- which assess treatment effects using prioritized component outcomes based on clinical importance -- have…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-24 Roland A. Matsouaka , Adrian Coles

The objective function of a matrix factorization model usually aims to minimize the average of a regression error contributed by each element. However, given the existence of stochastic noises, the implicit deviations of sample data from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-10-31 Guang-He Lee , Shao-Wen Yang , Shou-De Lin

In a typical optimization problem, the task is to pick one of a number of options with the lowest cost or the highest value. In practice, these cost/value quantities often come through processes such as measurement or machine learning,…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-07-20 Mohammad Mahdian , Jieming Mao , Kangning Wang