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While the space of renewable energy forecasting has received significant attention in the last decade, literature has primarily focused on machine learning models that train on only one objective at a time. A host of classification (and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-31 Aswin Kannan

The research paper presents a novel approach to optimizing the tensile stress of Triply Periodic Minimal Surface (TPMS) structures through machine learning and Simulated Annealing (SA). The study evaluates the performance of Random Forest,…

Materials Science · Physics 2024-06-11 Akshansh Mishra

Despite the rise to dominance of deep learning in unstructured data domains, tree-based methods such as Random Forests (RF) and Gradient Boosted Decision Trees (GBDT) are still the workhorses for handling discriminative tasks on tabular…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-21 João Bravo

Tree-based learning methods such as Random Forest and XGBoost are still the gold-standard prediction methods for tabular data. Feature importance measures are usually considered for feature selection as well as to assess the effect of…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-19 Jakob Schwerter , Andrés Romero , Florian Dumpert , Markus Pauly

XGBoost is one of the most widely used machine learning models in the industry due to its superior learning accuracy and efficiency. Targeting at data isolation issues in the big data problems, it is crucial to deploy a secure and efficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Lunchen Xie , Jiaqi Liu , Songtao Lu , Tsung-hui Chang , Qingjiang Shi

This study investigates the performance of machine learning models in forecasting electricity Day-Ahead Market (DAM) prices using short historical training windows, with a focus on detecting seasonal trends and price spikes. We evaluate…

Gradient-boosted decision trees are among the strongest off-the-shelf predictors for tabular regression, but point predictions alone do not quantify uncertainty. Conformal prediction provides distribution-free marginal coverage, yet split…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-27 Vagner Santos , Victor Coscrato , Luben Cabezas , Rafael Izbicki , Thiago Ramos

Short term electricity price forecast is essential in competitive power markets, yet electricity price series exhibit high volatility, irregularity, and non-stationarity. This phenomenon is pronounced in the South Australian region of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Wei Lu , Jay Wang , Dingli Duan , Ding Mao , Caiyi Song , John Huang

Although dominant for tabular data, ML libraries that train tree models over normalized databases (e.g., LightGBM, XGBoost) require the data to be denormalized as a single table, materialized, and exported. This process is not scalable,…

Databases · Computer Science 2023-07-04 Zezhou Huang , Rathijit Sen , Jiaxiang Liu , Eugene Wu

Electric energy is difficult to store, requiring stricter control over its generation, transmission, and distribution. A persistent challenge in power systems is maintaining real-time equilibrium between electricity demand and supply.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-27 Aurausp Maneshni

In recent years, Machine Learning algorithms, in particular supervised learning techniques, have been shown to be very effective in solving regression problems. We compare the performance of a newly proposed regression algorithm against…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-16 Sabina Gooljar , Kris Manohar , Patrick Hosein

Hierarchical forecasting with intermittent time series is a challenge in both research and empirical studies. Extensive research focuses on improving the accuracy of each hierarchy, especially the intermittent time series at bottom levels.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-22 Matthias Anderer , Feng Li

This paper addresses the mid-term electricity load forecasting problem. Solving this problem is necessary for power system operation and planning as well as for negotiating forward contracts in deregulated energy markets. We show that our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-06 Boris N. Oreshkin , Grzegorz Dudek , Paweł Pełka , Ekaterina Turkina

Accurate load forecasting is essential to the operation of modern electric power systems. Given the sensitivity of electricity demand to weather variability and temporal dynamics, capturing non-linear patterns is essential for long-term…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-31 Abhiram Bhupatiraju , Sung Bum Ahn

Water resources are essential for sustaining human livelihoods and environmental well being. Accurate water quality prediction plays a pivotal role in effective resource management and pollution mitigation. In this study, we assess the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-10 Yinpu Li , Siqi Mao , Yaping Yuan , Ziren Wang , Yixin Kang , Yuanxin Yao

We focus on solving the univariate times series point forecasting problem using deep learning. We propose a deep neural architecture based on backward and forward residual links and a very deep stack of fully-connected layers. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-24 Boris N. Oreshkin , Dmitri Carpov , Nicolas Chapados , Yoshua Bengio

The ability to identify stock market trends has obvious advantages for investors. Buying stock on an upward trend (as well as selling it in case of downward movement) results in profit. Accordingly, the start and end-points of the trend are…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-20 Ekaterina Zolotareva

Causal effect estimation aims at estimating the Average Treatment Effect as well as the Conditional Average Treatment Effect of a treatment to an outcome from the available data. This knowledge is important in many safety-critical domains,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-02 Niki Kiriakidou , Ioannis E. Livieris , Christos Diou

Employing a large dataset (at most, the order of n = 10^6), this study attempts enhance the literature on the comparison between regression and machine learning (ML)-based rent price prediction models by adding new empirical evidence and…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-28 Takahiro Yoshida , Hajime Seya

This paper presents a machine learning framework for electricity demand forecasting across diverse geographical regions using the gradient boosting algorithm XGBoost. The model integrates historical electricity demand and comprehensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-10 Kevin Steijn , Vamsi Priya Goli , Enrico Antonini