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Machine learning methods have shown promise in learning chaotic dynamical systems, enabling model-free short-term prediction and attractor reconstruction. However, when applied to large-scale, spatiotemporally chaotic systems, purely…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-09 Kuei-Jan Chu , Nozomi Akashi , Akihiro Yamamoto

This paper describes a method for learning low-dimensional approximations of nonlinear dynamical systems, based on neural-network approximations of the underlying Koopman operator. Extended Dynamic Mode Decomposition (EDMD) provides a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-01-17 Samuel E. Otto , Clarence W. Rowley

Providing efficient and accurate parametrizations for model reduction is a key goal in many areas of science and technology. Here we present a strong link between data-driven and theoretical approaches to achieving this goal. Formal…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2021-06-02 Manuel Santos Gutiérrez , Valerio Lucarini , Mickaël D. Chekroun , Michael Ghil

Stochastic parameterizations account for uncertainty in the representation of unresolved sub-grid processes by sampling from the distribution of possible sub-grid forcings. Some existing stochastic parameterizations utilize data-driven…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-04-22 David John Gagne , Hannah M. Christensen , Aneesh C. Subramanian , Adam H. Monahan

We study the problem of stationarity and ergodicity for autoregressive multinomial logistic time series models which possibly include a latent process and are defined by a GARCH-type recursive equation. We improve considerably upon the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-02 Konstantinos Fokianos , Lionel Truquet

Safety is essential for reinforcement learning (RL) applied in real-world situations. Chance constraints are suitable to represent the safety requirements in stochastic systems. Previous chance-constrained RL methods usually have a low…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-17 Baiyu Peng , Yao Mu , Yang Guan , Shengbo Eben Li , Yuming Yin , Jianyu Chen

Chaotic dynamical systems pose a fundamental challenge for Reinforcement Learning (RL): exponential sensitivity to initial conditions induces high-variance bootstrap targets and poorly conditioned gradient updates. Chaotic dynamics arise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 James Rudd-Jones , Mirco Musolesi , María Pérez-Ortiz

We address control synthesis of stochastic discrete-time linear multi-agent systems under jointly chance-constrained collaborative signal temporal logic specifications in a distribution-free manner using available disturbance samples, which…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-27 Eleftherios E. Vlahakis , Lars Lindemann , Dimos V. Dimarogonas

Understanding the interplay of order and disorder in chaotic systems is a central challenge in modern quantitative science. We present a universal, data-driven decomposition of chaos as an intermittently forced linear system. This work…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-07-05 Steven L. Brunton , Bingni W. Brunton , Joshua L. Proctor , Eurika Kaiser , J. Nathan Kutz

This article is concerned with learning and stochastic control in physical systems which contain unknown input signals. These unknown signals are modeled as Gaussian processes (GP) with certain parametrized covariance structures. The…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-08-15 Simo Särkkä , Mauricio A. Álvarez , Neil D. Lawrence

Modelling is an essential procedure in analyzing and controlling a given logical dynamic system (LDS). It has been proved that deterministic LDS can be modeled as a linear-like system using algebraic state space representation. However, due…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-04 Changxi Li , Jun-e Feng , Daizhan Cheng , Xiao Zhang

We introduce a stochastic model that describes the quasi-static dynamics of an electric transmission network under perturbations introduced by random load fluctuations, random removing of system components from service, random repair times…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Marian Anghel , Kenneth A. Werley , Adilson E. Motter

With the advancement of sensing and communication in power networks, high-frequency real-time data from a power network can be used as a resource to develop better monitoring capabilities. In this work, a systematic approach based on…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-12 Subhrajit Sinha , Sai Pushpak Nandanoori , Enoch Yeung

We consider the general class of time-homogeneous stochastic dynamical systems, both discrete and continuous, and study the problem of learning a representation of the state that faithfully captures its dynamics. This is instrumental to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-15 Vladimir R. Kostic , Pietro Novelli , Riccardo Grazzi , Karim Lounici , Massimiliano Pontil

The mode dynamics of a random laser is investigated in experiment and theory. The laser consists of a ZnCdO/ZnO multiple quantum well with air-holes that provide the necessary feedback. Time-resolved measurements reveal multimode spectra…

Optics · Physics 2015-10-09 M. Höfner , H. -J. Wünsche , F. Henneberger

World models have recently emerged as a promising approach to reinforcement learning (RL), achieving state-of-the-art performance across a wide range of visual control tasks. This work aims to obtain a deep understanding of the robustness…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Qiaoyi Fang , Weiyu Du , Hang Wang , Junshan Zhang

This study shows that a mixture of RNN experts model can acquire the ability to generate sequences combining multiple primitive patterns by means of self-organizing chaos. By training of the model, each expert learns a primitive sequence…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2008-05-14 Jun Namikawa , Jun Tani

We extend flow matching to ensembles of linear systems in both deterministic and stochastic settings. Averaging over system parameters induces memory leading to a non-Markovian interpolation problem for the stochastic case. In this setting,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-17 Daniel Owusu Adu , Yongxin Chen

Decision makers exploiting photonic chaotic dynamics obtained by semiconductor lasers provide an ultrafast approach to solving multi-armed bandit problems by using a temporal optical signal as the driving source for sequential decisions. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-09 Tomoki Yamagami , Mikio Hasegawa , Takatomo Mihana , Ryoichi Horisaki , Atsushi Uchida

We present a unified framework for learning continuous control policies using backpropagation. It supports stochastic control by treating stochasticity in the Bellman equation as a deterministic function of exogenous noise. The product is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-02 Nicolas Heess , Greg Wayne , David Silver , Timothy Lillicrap , Yuval Tassa , Tom Erez