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Ordinary Differential Equations are a simple but powerful framework for modeling complex systems. Parameter estimation from times series can be done by Nonlinear Least Squares (or other classical approaches), but this can give…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-29 Quentin Clairon , Nicolas Brunel

Studies on simulation input uncertainty often built on the availability of input data. In this paper, we investigate an inverse problem where, given only the availability of output data, we nonparametrically calibrate the input models and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-01-09 Aleksandrina Goeva , Henry Lam , Huajie Qian , Bo Zhang

State estimation is a fundamental problem in control and signal processing, for which the Kalman Filter provides an optimal solution under linear dynamics, Gaussian noise, and known noise covariances. However, these assumptions often fail…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Vasileios Saketos , Ming Xiao

We combine forward investment performance processes and ambiguity averse portfolio selection. We introduce the notion of robust forward criteria which addresses the issues of ambiguity in model specification and in preferences and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-11-17 Sigrid Kallblad , Jan Obloj , Thaleia Zariphopoulou

When classical particle filtering algorithms are used for maximum likelihood parameter estimation in nonlinear state-space models, a key challenge is that estimates of the likelihood function and its derivatives are inherently noisy. The…

Computation · Statistics 2017-11-30 Andreas Svensson , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

In this paper, we consider a dynamic linear system in state-space form where the observation equation depends linearly on a set of parameters. We address the problem of how to dynamically calculate these parameters in order to minimize the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-04-02 Feng Jiang , Jie Chen , A. Lee Swindlehurst

We study the numerical solution of nonlinear partially observed optimal stopping problems. The system state is taken to be a multi-dimensional diffusion and drives the drift of the observation process, which is another multi-dimensional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-01-20 Mike Ludkovski

This paper investigates the state estimation problem for a class of complex networks, in which the dynamics of each node is subject to Gaussian noise, system uncertainties and nonlinearities. Based on a regularized least-squares approach,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-16 Peihu Duan , Qishao Wang , Zhisheng Duan , Guanrong Chen

In this paper, we propose a meshfree approximation method for the implicit filter developed in [2], which is a novel numerical algorithm for nonlinear filtering problems. The implicit filter approximates conditional distributions in the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-08-05 Feng Bao , Yanzhao Cao , Clayton Webster , Guannan Zhang

We study episodic two-player zero-sum Markov games (MGs) in the offline setting, where the goal is to find an approximate Nash equilibrium (NE) policy pair based on a dataset collected a priori. When the dataset does not have uniform…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-02 Han Zhong , Wei Xiong , Jiyuan Tan , Liwei Wang , Tong Zhang , Zhaoran Wang , Zhuoran Yang

This paper presents a new robust fault and state estimation based on recursive least square filter for linear stochastic systems with unknown disturbances. The novel elements of the algorithm are : a simple, easily implementable, square…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-06-20 Bessaoudi Talel , Ben Hmida Fayçal

In this paper we consider regression problems subject to arbitrary noise in the operator or design matrix. This characterization appropriately models many physical phenomena with uncertainty in the regressors. Although the problem has been…

Computation · Statistics 2021-04-08 Richard J Clancy , Stephen Becker

This paper presents a new filter for state-space models based on Bellman's dynamic-programming principle, allowing for nonlinearity, non-Gaussianity and degeneracy in the observation and/or state-transition equations. The resulting Bellman…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Rutger-Jan Lange

We study the problem of optimizing a graph-structured objective function under \emph{adversarial} uncertainty. This problem can be modeled as a two-persons zero-sum game between an Engineer and Nature. The Engineer controls a subset of the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2011-11-29 Morteza Ibrahimi , Adel Javanmard , Yashodhan Kanoria , Andrea Montanari

Conditional estimation given specific covariate values (i.e., local conditional estimation or functional estimation) is ubiquitously useful with applications in engineering, social and natural sciences. Existing data-driven non-parametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-13 Viet Anh Nguyen , Fan Zhang , Jose Blanchet , Erick Delage , Yinyu Ye

This paper studies the state estimation problem of linear discrete-time systems with stochastic unknown inputs. The unknown input is a wide-sense stationary process while no other prior informaton needs to be known. We propose an…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-04-06 Dan Yu , Suman Chakravorty

Kalman filter is a best linear unbiased state estimator. It is also comprehensible from the point view of the Bayesian estimation. However, this note gives a detailed derivation of Kalman filter from the mutual information perspective for…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Yarong Luo , Jianlang Hu , Chi Guo

This paper formulates adaptive controller design as a minimax dual control problem. The objective is to design a controller that minimizes the worst-case performance over a set of uncertain systems. The uncertainty is described by a set of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-09 Olle Kjellqvist , Anders Rantzer

The input-parameter-state estimation capabilities of a novel unscented Kalman filter is examined herein on both linear and nonlinear systems. The unknown input is estimated in two stages within each time step. Firstly, the predicted dynamic…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-05 Marios Impraimakis , Andrew W. Smyth

Kalman and H-infinity filters, the most popular paradigms for linear state estimation, are designed for very specific specific noise and disturbance patterns, which may not appear in practice. State observers based on the minimization of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-09 Jean-Sébastien Brouillon , Florian Dörfler , Giancarlo Ferrari-Trecate