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Combinations of neural ODEs with recurrent neural networks (RNN), like GRU-ODE-Bayes or ODE-RNN are well suited to model irregularly observed time series. While those models outperform existing discrete-time approaches, no theoretical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-11 Calypso Herrera , Florian Krach , Josef Teichmann

Many time series are effectively generated by a combination of deterministic continuous flows along with discrete jumps sparked by stochastic events. However, we usually do not have the equation of motion describing the flows, or how they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-09 Junteng Jia , Austin R. Benson

The Path-dependent Neural Jump ODE (PD-NJ-ODE) is a model for online prediction of generic (possibly non-Markovian) stochastic processes with irregular (in time) and potentially incomplete (with respect to coordinates) observations. It is a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-29 Florian Krach , Josef Teichmann

The first-passage time is a key concept in stochastic modeling, representing the time at which a process first reaches a specified threshold. In this work, we consider a jump-diffusion (JD) model with a time-dependent threshold, providing a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-11-04 Sascha Desmettre , Devika Khurana , Amira Meddah

This work aims to estimate the drift and diffusion functions in stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by a particular class of L\'evy processes with finite jump intensity, using neural networks. We propose a framework that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-10 Jose-Hermenegildo Ramirez-Gonzalez , Ying Sun

This paper studies the problem of forecasting general stochastic processes using a path-dependent extension of the Neural Jump ODE (NJ-ODE) framework \citep{herrera2021neural}. While NJ-ODE was the first framework to establish convergence…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-08 Florian Krach , Marc Nübel , Josef Teichmann

Representations of sequential data are commonly based on the assumption that observed sequences are realizations of an unknown underlying stochastic process, where the learning problem includes determination of the model parameters. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-17 Ronny Hug , Wolfgang Hübner , Michael Arens

Natural spatiotemporal processes can be highly non-stationary in many ways, e.g. the low-level non-stationarity such as spatial correlations or temporal dependencies of local pixel values; and the high-level variations such as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-23 Yunbo Wang , Jianjin Zhang , Hongyu Zhu , Mingsheng Long , Jianmin Wang , Philip S Yu

Diffusion models have shown remarkable performance on many generative tasks. Despite recent success, most diffusion models are restricted in that they only allow linear transformation of the data distribution. In contrast, broader family of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Grigory Bartosh , Dmitry Vetrov , Christian A. Naesseth

Momentum Stochastic Gradient Descent (MSGD) algorithm has been widely applied to many nonconvex optimization problems in machine learning, e.g., training deep neural networks, variational Bayesian inference, and etc. Despite its empirical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-09 Tianyi Liu , Zhehui Chen , Enlu Zhou , Tuo Zhao

In this article, we employ a collection of stochastic differential equations with drift and diffusion coefficients approximated by neural networks to predict the trend of chaotic time series which has big jump properties. Our contributions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-04 Luxuan Yang , Ting Gao , Yubin Lu , Jinqiao Duan , Tao Liu

In this paper, we introduce a model-based deep-learning approach to solve finite-horizon continuous-time stochastic control problems with jumps. We iteratively train two neural networks: one to represent the optimal policy and the other to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Patrick Cheridito , Jean-Loup Dupret , Donatien Hainaut

We propose a deep learning algorithm for solving high-dimensional parabolic integro-differential equations (PIDEs) and high-dimensional forward-backward stochastic differential equations with jumps (FBSDEJs), where the jump-diffusion…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-01-31 Wansheng Wang , Jie Wang , Jinping Li , Feifei Gao , Yi Fu

Time series driven by unobserved latent states frequently exhibit abrupt jump discontinuities whose timing and magnitude cannot be predicted from observed history alone. Classical jump-diffusion models offer a principled mathematical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Yan Leng , Thibaut Mastrolia , Hao Wang

Time series forecasting based on deep architectures has been gaining popularity in recent years due to their ability to model complex non-linear temporal dynamics. The recurrent neural network is one such model capable of handling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-28 Zexuan Yin , Paolo Barucca

Markov jump processes are continuous-time stochastic processes which describe dynamical systems evolving in discrete state spaces. These processes find wide application in the natural sciences and machine learning, but their inference is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-05 David Berghaus , Kostadin Cvejoski , Patrick Seifner , Cesar Ojeda , Ramses J. Sanchez

This paper presents and analyzes the compensated projected Euler-Maruyama method for stochastic differential equations with jumps under a global monotonicity condition. Compared with existing conditions, this condition allows the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-12-11 Min Li , Chengming Huang

Simulating spatiotemporal turbulence with high fidelity remains a cornerstone challenge in computational fluid dynamics (CFD) due to its intricate multiscale nature and prohibitive computational demands. Traditional approaches typically…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-07-01 Xiantao Fan , Deepak Akhare , Jian-Xun Wang

This work focuses on stability analysis of numerical solutions to jump diffusions and jump diffusions with Markovian switching. Due to the use of Poisson processes, using asymptotic expansions as in the usual approach of treating diffusion…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-07-11 Zhixin Yang , G. Yin , Haibo Li

Biochemical reactions can happen on different time scales and also the abundance of species in these reactions can be very different from each other. Classical approaches, such as deterministic or stochastic approach, fail to account for or…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-09-16 Arnab Ganguly , Derya Altintan , Heinz Koeppl
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