Related papers: Savage-Dickey density ratio estimation with normal…

We present a computational framework for efficient learning, sampling, and distribution of general Bayesian posterior distributions. The framework leverages a machine learning approach for the construction of normalizing flows for the…

In this paper, we consider the problem of computing the barycenter of a set of probability distributions under the Sinkhorn divergence. This problem has recently found applications across various domains, including graphics, learning, and…

Recent application of the Bayesian algorithm BORG to the Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS) main sample galaxies resulted in the physical inference of the formation history of the observed large-scale structure from its origin to the present…

Dust plays a pivotal role in determining the observed spectral energy distribution (SED) of galaxies. Yet our understanding of dust attenuation is limited and our observations suffer from the dust-metallicity-age degeneracy in SED fitting…

Solving high-dimensional parabolic partial differential equations (PDEs) with deep learning methods is often computationally and memory intensive, primarily due to the need for automatic differentiation (AD) to compute large Hessian…

This paper proposes a dual-supervised uncertainty inference (DS-UI) framework for improving Bayesian estimation-based uncertainty inference (UI) in deep neural network (DNN)-based image recognition. In the DS-UI, we combine the classifier…

Deep Learning (DL) methods have been transforming computer vision with innovative adaptations to other domains including climate change. For DL to pervade Science and Engineering (S&E) applications where risk management is a core component,…

Bayesian deep learning (BDL) has emerged as a principled approach to produce reliable uncertainty estimates by integrating deep neural networks with Bayesian inference, and the selection of informative prior distributions remains a…

Robust Bayesian inference using density power divergence (DPD) has emerged as a promising approach for handling outliers in statistical estimation. Although the DPD-based posterior offers theoretical guarantees of robustness, its practical…

Regression aims at estimating the conditional mean of output given input. However, regression is not informative enough if the conditional density is multimodal, heteroscedastic, and asymmetric. In such a case, estimating the conditional…

We introduce AI-Kolmogorov, a novel framework for Symbolic Density Estimation (SymDE). Symbolic regression (SR) has been effectively used to produce interpretable models in standard regression settings but its applicability to density…

Bayesian method is capable of capturing real world uncertainties/incompleteness and properly addressing the over-fitting issue faced by deep neural networks. In recent years, Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) have drawn tremendous attentions…

We introduce a Bayesian approach to predictive density calibration and combination that accounts for parameter uncertainty and model set incompleteness through the use of random calibration functionals and random combination weights.…

We propose a geometric framework to assess sensitivity of Bayesian procedures to modeling assumptions based on the nonparametric Fisher-Rao metric. While the framework is general in spirit, the focus of this article is restricted to…

The False Discovery Rate (FDR) method has recently been described by Miller et al (2001), along with several examples of astrophysical applications. FDR is a new statistical procedure due to Benjamini and Hochberg (1995) for controlling the…

Sufficient dimension reduction (SDR) methods, which often rely on class precision matrices, are widely used in supervised statistical classification problems. However, when class-specific sample sizes are small relative to the original…

The recently introduced class of simultaneous graphical dynamic linear models (SGDLMs) defines an ability to scale on-line Bayesian analysis and forecasting to higher-dimensional time series. This paper advances the methodology of SGDLMs,…

This paper explores the intrinsic connections between the Bayesian false discovery rate (FDR) control procedures and their counterpart of frequentist procedures. We attempt to offer a unified view of FDR control within and beyond the…

We propose SWA-Gaussian (SWAG), a simple, scalable, and general purpose approach for uncertainty representation and calibration in deep learning. Stochastic Weight Averaging (SWA), which computes the first moment of stochastic gradient…

Evaluating the inherent difficulty of a given data-driven classification problem is important for establishing absolute benchmarks and evaluating progress in the field. To this end, a natural quantity to consider is the \emph{Bayes error},…