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To efficiently probe primordial non-Gaussianity using Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) data, we require theoretical predictions that are factorizable, \textit{i.e.}\ those whose kinematic dependence can be separated. This property does not…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-11-25 Oliver H. E. Philcox , Kunhao Zhong , Salvatore Samuele Sirletti

Multi-fidelity models are becoming more prevalent in engineering, particularly in aerospace, as they combine both the computational efficiency of low-fidelity models with the high accuracy of higher-fidelity simulations. Various…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Andrea Vaiuso , Gabriele Immordino , Marcello Righi , Andrea Da Ronch

Spatial fields in the Earth and environmental sciences are often available at multiple scales or resolutions. While coarse-scale data (e.g., from global circulation models) are often abundant, they lack the local detail provided by…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-01 Alejandro Calle-Saldarriaga , Paul F. V. Wiemann , Matthias Katzfuss

Combining Bayesian nonparametrics and a forward model selection strategy, we construct parsimonious Bayesian deep networks (PBDNs) that infer capacity-regularized network architectures from the data and require neither cross-validation nor…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-03 Mingyuan Zhou

Inference of fields defined in space and time from observational data is a core discipline in many scientific areas. This work approaches the problem in a Bayesian framework. The proposed method is based on statistically homogeneous random…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-05-05 Philipp Frank , Reimar Leike , Torsten A. Enßlin

Deep kernel learning combines the non-parametric flexibility of kernel methods with the inductive biases of deep learning architectures. We propose a novel deep kernel learning model and stochastic variational inference procedure which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-03 Andrew Gordon Wilson , Zhiting Hu , Ruslan Salakhutdinov , Eric P. Xing

Gaussian process modulated Poisson processes provide a flexible framework for modelling spatiotemporal point patterns. So far this had been restricted to one dimension, binning to a pre-determined grid, or small data sets of up to a few…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-04 S. T. John , James Hensman

In the second paper of this series we extend our Bayesian reanalysis of the evidence for a cosmic variation of the fine structure constant to the semi-parametric modelling regime. By adopting a mixture of Dirichlet processes prior for the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2013-09-12 Ewan Cameron , Tony Pettitt

The recently released Quaia quasar catalogue, with its broad redshift range and all-sky coverage, enables unprecedented three-dimensional reconstructions of matter across cosmic time. In this work, we apply the field-level inference…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-02-03 Adam Andrews , Arthur Loureiro , Jens Jasche , Stuart McAlpine , Guilhem Lavaux , Florent Leclercq

Understanding both global and layer-specific group structures is useful for uncovering complex patterns in networks with multiple interaction types. In this work, we introduce a new model, the hierarchical multiplex stochastic blockmodel…

We develop a multi-level restricted Gaussian maximum likelihood method for estimating the covariance function parameters and computing the best unbiased predictor. Our approach produces a new set of multi-level contrasts where the…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-29 Julio E. Castrillon-Candas , Marc G. Genton , Rio Yokota

We present the very first robust Bayesian Online Changepoint Detection algorithm through General Bayesian Inference (GBI) with $\beta$-divergences. The resulting inference procedure is doubly robust for both the parameter and the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-28 Jeremias Knoblauch , Jack Jewson , Theodoros Damoulas

Successful machine learning methods require a trade-off between memorization and generalization. Too much memorization and the model cannot generalize to unobserved examples. Too much over-generalization and we risk under-fitting the data.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-03-09 Chase Yakaboski , Eugene Santos

We study the cosmological information contained in the cosmic web, categorized as four structure types: nodes, filaments, walls, and voids, using the Quijote simulations and a modified nexus+ algorithm. We show that splitting the density…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-09-15 James Sunseri , Adrian E. Bayer , Jia Liu

Estimating conditional independence graphs from high-dimensional Gaussian data is challenging because methods must detect relevant edges while rigorously controlling statistical errors. We propose a Bayesian framework based on a prior…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-21 Roland B. Sogan , Tabea Rebafka , Fanny Villers

Bayesian graphical models are powerful tools to infer complex relationships in high dimension, yet are often fraught with computational and statistical challenges. If exploited in a principled way, the increasing information collected…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-15 Xiaoyue Xi , Hélène Ruffieux

In this work, we propose a scalable Bayesian procedure for learning the local dependence structure in a high-dimensional model where the variables possess a natural ordering. The ordering of variables can be indexed by time, the vicinities…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-27 Kyoungjae Lee , Lizhen Lin

Analyzing data from paleoclimate archives such as tree rings or lake sediments offers the opportunity of inferring information on past climate variability. Often, such data sets are univariate and a proper reconstruction of the system's…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-08-29 Jaqueline Lekscha , Reik V. Donner

In traditional phase-field modeling of multiphase materials, a significant challenge arises from the non-local nature of fracture energy regularization, where interfacial toughness is inherently coupled with the properties of the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-04-14 Ye-Hang Qin , Ye Feng

We consider the reconstruction of a heterogeneous coefficient field in a Robin boundary condition on an inaccessible part of the boundary in a Poisson problem with an uncertain (or unknown) inhomogeneous conductivity field in the interior…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-09-26 Ruanui Nicholson , Noemi Petra , Jari Kaipio