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A new model validation and performance assessment tool is introduced, the sliding threshold of observation for numeric evaluation (STONE) curve. It is based on the relative operating characteristic (ROC) curve technique, but instead of…

Space Physics · Physics 2023-07-17 Michael W. Liemohn , Abigail R. Azari , Natalia Ganushkina , Lutz Rastaetter

Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves are plots of true positive rate versus false positive rate which are useful for evaluating binary classification models, but difficult to use for learning since the Area Under the Curve (AUC)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-06 Jonathan Hillman , Toby Dylan Hocking

In diagnostic studies, researchers frequently encounter imperfect reference standards with some misclassified labels. Treating these as gold standards can bias receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. To address this issue,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-13 Yifan Sun , Peijun Sang , Qinglong Tian , Pengfei Li

The Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) is a well-established representation of the tradeoff between detection and false alarm probabilities in binary hypothesis testing. In many practical contexts ROC's are generated by thresholding a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-16 Catherine Medlock , Alan Oppenheim

ROC curves and cost curves are two popular ways of visualising classifier performance, finding appropriate thresholds according to the operating condition, and deriving useful aggregated measures such as the area under the ROC curve (AUC)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-08-01 José Hernández-Orallo , Peter Flach , Cèsar Ferri

We propose new simultaneous inference methods for diagnostic trials with elaborate factorial designs. Instead of the commonly used total area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, our parameters of interest are partial…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-22 Maximilian Wechsung , Frank Konietschke

We study the geometry of Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) and Precision-Recall (PR) curves in binary classification problems. The key finding is that many of the most commonly used binary classification metrics are merely functions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-15 Reza Sameni

The area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristics curve (ROC) evaluates the separation between patients and nonpatients or discrimination. For risk prediction models these risk distributions can be derived from the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-23 Ralph H. Stern

Diagnostic tests are of critical importance in health care and medical research. Motivated by the impact that atypical and outlying test outcomes might have on the assessment of the discriminatory ability of a diagnostic test, we develop a…

In high-stakes risk prediction, quantifying uncertainty through interval-valued predictions is essential for reliable decision-making. However, standard evaluation tools like the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Yuqi Li , Matthew M. Engelhard

Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis is one of the most popular approaches for evaluating and comparing the accuracy of medical diagnostic tests. Although various methodologies have been developed for estimating ROC curves and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-16 Ainesh Sewak , Torsten Hothorn

The Area Under the the Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) Curve, referred to as AUC, is a well-known performance measure in the supervised learning domain. Due to its compelling features, it has been employed in a number of studies to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Pablo Andretta Jaskowiak , Ivan Gesteira Costa , Ricardo José Gabrielli Barreto Campello

We provide a comprehensive theory of conducting in-sample statistical inference about receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves that are based on predicted values from a first stage model with estimated parameters (such as a logit…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-12-06 Yu-Chin Hsu , Robert P. Lieli

Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves are plots of true positive rate versus false positive rate which are used to evaluate binary classification algorithms. Because the Area Under the Curve (AUC) is a constant function of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-23 Kyle R. Rust , Toby D. Hocking

We discuss two novel approaches to the classical two-sample problem. Our starting point are properly standardized and combined, very popular in several areas of statistics and data analysis, ordinal dominance and receiver characteristic…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-26 Teresa Ledwina , Adam Zagdański

The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and its summary measure, the Area Under the Curve (AUC), are well-established tools for evaluating the efficacy of biomarkers in biomedical studies. Compared to the traditional ROC curve,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-20 Ziad Akram Ali Hammouri , Yating Zou , Rahul Ghosal , Juan C. Vidal , Marcos Matabuena

The ROC curve is a statistical tool that analyses the accuracy of a diagnostic test in which a variable is used to decide whether an individual is healthy or not. Along with that diagnostic variable it is usual to have information of some…

The ROC curve is widely used to assess the quality of prediction/classification/ranking algorithms, and its properties have been extensively studied. The precision-recall (PR) curve has become the de facto replacement for the ROC curve in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-23 Jacqueline M. Hughes-Oliver

Whilst the size and complexity of ML models have rapidly and significantly increased over the past decade, the methods for assessing their performance have not kept pace. In particular, among the many potential performance metrics, the ML…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-29 Michael Roberts , Alon Hazan , Sören Dittmer , James H. F. Rudd , Carola-Bibiane Schönlieb

To assess the classification accuracy of a continuous diagnostic result, the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve is commonly used in applications. The partial area under the ROC curve (pAUC) is one of widely accepted summary…

Applications · Statistics 2011-03-11 Hung Hung , Chin-Tsang Chiang