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Confidence alone is often misleading in hyperspectral image classification, as models tend to mistake high predictive scores for correctness while lacking awareness of uncertainty. This leads to confirmation bias, especially under sparse…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Muzhou Yang , Wuzhou Quan , Mingqiang Wei

Predicting trends in stock market prices has been an area of interest for researchers for many years due to its complex and dynamic nature. Intrinsic volatility in stock market across the globe makes the task of prediction challenging.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-03 Luckyson Khaidem , Snehanshu Saha , Sudeepa Roy Dey

Recent work in time series forecasting has explored reformulating regression as a classification task. By discretizing the continuous target space into bins and predicting over a fixed set of classes, these approaches benefit from more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-28 Andrei Chernov , Vitaliy Pozdnyakov , Ilya Makarov

Uncertainty estimates must be calibrated (i.e., accurate) and sharp (i.e., informative) in order to be useful. This has motivated a variety of methods for recalibration, which use held-out data to turn an uncalibrated model into a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-06 Charles Marx , Shengjia Zhao , Willie Neiswanger , Stefano Ermon

Stock price prediction is a complicated and interesting task. Noisy trends make stock pricing sensitive and complicated while the economical motivation behind, keeps it interesting for researchers and investors. In this paper we are to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-19 Negin Bagherpour

Stock trend forecasting is a fundamental task of quantitative investment where precise predictions of price trends are indispensable. As an online service, stock data continuously arrive over time. It is practical and efficient to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-09 Lifan Zhao , Shuming Kong , Yanyan Shen

Stock market prediction has been a classical yet challenging problem, with the attention from both economists and computer scientists. With the purpose of building an effective prediction model, both linear and machine learning tools have…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-13 Weiwei Jiang

Stock market prediction has remained an extremely challenging problem for many decades owing to its inherent high volatility and low information noisy ratio. Existing solutions based on machine learning or deep learning demonstrate superior…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-10-04 Zhaojian Yu , Yinghao Wu , Genesis Wang , Heming Weng

Effective stock price forecasting (estimating future prices) and prediction (estimating future price changes) are pivotal for investors, regulatory agencies, and policymakers. These tasks enable informed decision-making, risk management,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Zhuohang Zhu , Haodong Chen , Qiang Qu , Xiaoming Chen , Vera Chung

The Artificial Prediction Market is a recent machine learning technique for multi-class classification, inspired from the financial markets. It involves a number of trained market participants that bet on the possible outcomes and are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-08-18 Nathan Lay , Adrian Barbu

This paper considers a portfolio trading strategy formulated by algorithms in the field of machine learning. The profitability of the strategy is measured by the algorithm's capability to consistently and accurately identify stock indices…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-04-08 James Brofos

Categorical predictors are omnipresent in everyday regression practice: in fact, most regression data involve some categorical predictors, and this tendency is increasing in modern applications with more complex structures and larger data…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-11 Chaegeun Song , Zhong Zheng , Bing Li , Lingzhou Xue

Accurate stock market prediction provides great opportunities for informed decision-making, yet existing methods struggle with financial data's non-linear, high-dimensional, and volatile characteristics. Advanced predictive models are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-20 Yuxi Hong

The financial domain has proven to be a fertile source of challenging machine learning problems across a variety of tasks including prediction, clustering, and classification. Researchers can access an abundance of time-series data and even…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-02 Rian Dolphin , Barry Smyth , Ruihai Dong

Stock price prediction is a critical area of financial forecasting, traditionally approached by training models using the historical price data of individual stocks. While these models effectively capture single-stock patterns, they fail to…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-05-23 Yi Hu , Hanchi Ren , Jingjing Deng , Xianghua Xie

Binary classification is one of the most common problem in machine learning. It consists in predicting whether a given element belongs to a particular class. In this paper, a new algorithm for binary classification is proposed using a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-12 Alexandre Quemy

Quantitative trading strategies rely on accurately ranking stocks to identify profitable investments. Effective portfolio management requires models that can reliably order future stock returns. Transformer models are promising for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-17 Jan Kwiatkowski , Jarosław A. Chudziak

A binary classifier that tries to predict if the price of an asset will increase or decrease naturally gives rise to a trading strategy that follows the prediction and thus always has a position in the market. Selective classification…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-02 Nestoras Chalkidis , Rahul Savani

Data mining methods have been widely applied in financial markets, with the purpose of providing suitable tools for prices forecasting and automatic trading. Particularly, learning methods aim to identify patterns in time series and, based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-01-22 Marcelo S. Lauretto , Barbara B. C. Silva , Pablo M. Andrade

Nowadays, financial data analysis is becoming increasingly important in the business market. As companies collect more and more data from daily operations, they expect to extract useful knowledge from existing collected data to help make…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-09-13 Fan Cai , Nhien-An Le-Khac , M-T. Kechadi