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Uncertainty quantification is essential in decision-making, especially when joint distributions of random variables are involved. While conformal prediction provides distribution-free prediction sets with valid coverage guarantees, it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Rui Luo , Zhixin Zhou

Time series forecasting is often fundamental to scientific and engineering problems and enables decision making. With ever increasing data set sizes, a trivial solution to scale up predictions is to assume independence between interacting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-18 Kashif Rasul , Abdul-Saboor Sheikh , Ingmar Schuster , Urs Bergmann , Roland Vollgraf

Foundation Models are designed to serve as versatile embedding machines, with strong zero shot capabilities and superior generalization performance when fine-tuned on diverse downstream tasks. While this is largely true for language and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Nouha Karaouli , Denis Coquenet , Elisa Fromont , Martial Mermillod , Marina Reyboz

A robust model for time series forecasting is highly important in many domains, including but not limited to financial forecast, air temperature and electricity consumption. To improve forecasting performance, traditional approaches usually…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-19 Long H. Nguyen , Zhenhe Pan , Opeyemi Openiyi , Hashim Abu-gellban , Mahdi Moghadasi , Fang Jin

Given a set of synchronous time series, each associated with a sensor-point in space and characterized by inter-series relationships, the problem of spatiotemporal forecasting consists of predicting future observations for each point.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Ivan Marisca , Cesare Alippi , Filippo Maria Bianchi

Accurate time-series forecasting is crucial in various scientific and industrial domains, yet deep learning models often struggle to capture long-term dependencies and adapt to data distribution shifts over time. We introduce Future-Guided…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Skye Gunasekaran , Assel Kembay , Hugo Ladret , Rui-Jie Zhu , Laurent Perrinet , Omid Kavehei , Jason Eshraghian

Learning accurate models of the physical world is required for a lot of robotic manipulation tasks. However, during manipulation, robots are expected to interact with unknown workpieces so that building predictive models which can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Wenyu Zhang , Skyler Seto , Devesh K. Jha

Time series is a special type of sequence data, a sequence of real-valued random variables collected at even intervals of time. The real-world multivariate time series comes with noises and contains complicated local and global temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Site Mo , Haoxin Wang , Bixiong Li , Songhai Fan , Yuankai Wu , Xianggen Liu

In this work, we address time-series forecasting as a computer vision task. We capture input data as an image and train a model to produce the subsequent image. This approach results in predicting distributions as opposed to pointwise…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-11-17 Naftali Cohen , Srijan Sood , Zhen Zeng , Tucker Balch , Manuela Veloso

The proliferation of Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) has significantly advanced zero-shot forecasting, enabling predictions for unseen time series without task-specific fine-tuning. Extensive research has confirmed that no single TSFM…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Hao-Nan Shi , Ting-Ji Huang , Lu Han , De-Chuan Zhan , Han-Jia Ye

Missing data in spatiotemporal systems presents a significant challenge for modern applications, ranging from environmental monitoring to urban traffic management. The integrity of spatiotemporal data often deteriorates due to hardware…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Wenying He , Jieling Huang , Junhua Gu , Ji Zhang , Yude Bai

This study introduces a novel approach to forecasting by Tobit Exponential Smoothing with time aggregation constraints. This model, a particular case of the Tobit Innovations State Space system, handles censored observed time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-10 Diego J. Pedregal , Juan R. Trapero

Conformal prediction is a powerful post-hoc framework for uncertainty quantification that provides distribution-free coverage guarantees. However, these guarantees crucially rely on the assumption of exchangeability. This assumption is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-18 M. Stocker , W. Małgorzewicz , M. Fontana , S. Ben Taieb

Time series forecasting is a fundamental problem with applications in climate, energy, healthcare, and finance. Many existing approaches require domain-specific feature engineering and substantial labeled data for each task. We introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Olaf Yunus Laitinen Imanov , Derya Umut Kulali , Taner Yilmaz

Accurate and precise covariance matrices will be important in enabling planned cosmological surveys to detect new physics. Standard methods imply either the need for many N-body simulations in order to obtain an accurate estimate, or a…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-12-13 Alex Hall , Andy Taylor

We introduce a Gaussian process-based model for handling of non-stationarity. The warping is achieved non-parametrically, through imposing a prior on the relative change of distance between subsequent observation inputs. The model allows…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-06 David Tolpin

Low-light image enhancement remains a challenging task, particularly in the absence of paired training data. In this study, we present LucentVisionNet, a novel zero-shot learning framework that addresses the limitations of traditional and…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-25 Muhammad Azeem Aslam , Hassan Khalid , Nisar Ahmed

The objective of the present paper is to develop a minimax theory for the varying coefficient model in a non-asymptotic setting. We consider a high-dimensional sparse varying coefficient model where only few of the covariates are present…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-16 Olga Klopp , Marianna Pensky

Compositional Zero-Shot Learning (CZSL) aims to recognize novel attribute-object compositions based on the knowledge learned from seen ones. Existing methods suffer from performance degradation caused by the distribution shift of label…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Xudong Yan , Songhe Feng

Time-series forecasting is important for many applications. Forecasting models are usually trained using time-series data in a specific target task. However, sufficient data in the target task might be unavailable, which leads to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-01 Tomoharu Iwata , Atsutoshi Kumagai
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