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This paper is concerned with the problem of how to speed up computation for Gaussian process models trained on autocorrelated data. The Gaussian process model is a powerful tool commonly used in nonlinear regression applications. Standard…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Ahmadreza Chokhachian , Matthias Katzfuss , Yu Ding

Accurately estimating the statistical properties of noise is important in data analysis for space-based gravitational wave detectors. Noise in different time-delay interferometry channels correlates with each other. Many studies often…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-06-18 Ya-Nan Li , Yi-Ming Hu , En-Kun Li

We present an extension of the ergodic, mixing, and Bernoulli levels of the ergodic hierarchy for statistical models on curved manifolds, making use of elements of the information geometry. This extension focuses on the notion of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2018-06-20 Ignacio S. Gomez

Despite the widespread utilization of Gaussian process models for versatile nonparametric modeling, they exhibit limitations in effectively capturing abrupt changes in function smoothness and accommodating relationships with heteroscedastic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-01 Taehee Lee , Jun S. Liu

Measurement error is a pervasive challenge across many disciplines, yet its impact on sample size determination and the accuracy and precision of estimators regarding the association between an exposure and an outcome remains understudied…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-27 Honghyok Kim

Data assimilation involves estimating the state of a system by combining observations from various sources with a background estimate of the state. The weights given to the observations and background state depend on their specified error…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-13 Olivier Goux , Anthony Weaver , Selime Gürol , Oliver Guillet , Andrea Piacentini

The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index, a measure of sea-level atmospheric pressure variability, holds significant influence over weather patterns in North America and Northern Europe. A negative (positive) NAO value signifies increased…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-12 Alka Yadav , Sourish Das , Anirban Chakraborti , Sudeep Shukla

Cartesian-grid methods with Adaptive Mesh Refinement (AMR) are ideally suited for simulating the breaking of waves, the formation of spray, and the entrainment of air around ships. As a result of the cartesian-grid formulation, minimal…

Additive spatial statistical models with weakly stationary process assumptions have become standard in spatial statistics. However, one disadvantage of such models is the computation time, which rapidly increases with the number of data…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-18 Sudipto Saha , Jonathan R. Bradley

Acknowledging a considerable literature on modeling daily temperature data, we propose a multi-level spatio-temporal model which introduces several innovations in order to explain the daily maximum temperature in the summer period over 60…

The accurate prediction of oceanographic variables is crucial for understanding climate change, managing marine resources, and optimizing maritime activities. Traditional ocean forecasting relies on numerical models; however, these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Víctor Medina , Giovanny A. Cuervo-Londoño , Javier Sánchez

The recently proposed non-Gaussian Mat\'{e}rn random field models, generated through Stochastic Partial differential equations (SPDEs), are extended by considering the class of Generalized Hyperbolic processes as noise forcings. The models…

Applications · Statistics 2013-07-25 David Bolin , Jonas Wallin

Nonlinear regression is a useful statistical tool, relating observed data and a nonlinear function of unknown parameters. When the parameter-dependent nonlinear function is computationally intensive, a straightforward regression analysis by…

Applications · Statistics 2009-01-26 Dorin Drignei , Chris E. Forest , Doug Nychka

Atmosphere modelling applications become increasingly memory-bound due to the inconsistent development rates between processor speeds and memory bandwidth. In this study, we mitigate memory bottlenecks and reduce the computational load of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-04-16 Siyuan Chen , Yi Zhang , Yiming Wang , Zhuang Liu , Xiaohan Li , Wei Xue

We propose GNN-Surrogate, a graph neural network-based surrogate model to explore the parameter space of ocean climate simulations. Parameter space exploration is important for domain scientists to understand the influence of input…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-02-23 Neng Shi , Jiayi Xu , Skylar W. Wurster , Hanqi Guo , Jonathan Woodring , Luke P. Van Roekel , Han-Wei Shen

Inferring the properties of exoplanets from their atmospheres, while confronting low resolution and low signal-to-noise in the context of the quantities we want to derive, poses rigorous demands upon the data collected from observation.…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-07-27 Theresa Fisher , Hyunju Kim , Camerian Millsaps , Michael Line , Sara Imari Walker

One common approach to statistical analysis of spatially correlated data relies on defining a correlation structure based solely on unknown parameters and the physical distance between the locations of observed values. However, some data…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-09 Jared M. Clark , Jie Min , Yueyao Wang , Yili Hong , George Ostrouchov

Dietary intake data are routinely drawn upon to explore diet-health relationships. However, these data are often subject to measurement error, distorting the true relationships. Beyond measurement error, there are likely complex synergistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-12 Dylan Spicker , Amir Nazemi , Joy Hutchinson , Paul Fieguth , Sharon I. Kirkpatrick , Michael Wallace , Kevin W. Dodd

The nonlinear dynamics of an obliquely oriented wave packet at sea surface is studied both analytically and numerically for various initial parameters of the packet, in connection with the problem of oceanic rogue waves. In the framework of…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2015-04-10 V. P. Ruban

Normative modeling has recently been introduced as a promising approach for modeling variation of neuroimaging measures across individuals in order to derive biomarkers of psychiatric disorders. Current implementations rely on Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-16 Seyed Mostafa Kia , Andre F. Marquand