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For equidistant discretizations of fractional Brownian motion (fBm), the probabilities of ordinal patterns of order d=2 are monotonically related to the Hurst parameter H. By plugging the sample relative frequency of those patterns…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-11 Mathieu Sinn , Karsten Keller

Stochastic integration w.r.t. fractional Brownian motion (fBm) has raised strong interest in recent years, motivated in particular by applications in finance and Internet traffic modelling. Since fBm is not a semi-martingale, stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-03 Joachim Lebovits

We discuss some extensions of results from the recent paper by Chernoyarov et al. (Ann. Inst. Stat. Math., October 2016) concerning limit distributions of Bayesian and maximum likelihood estimators in the model "signal plus white noise"…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-23 Nino Kordzakhia , Yury Kutoyants , Alex Novikov , Lin-Yee Hin

We study statistical inference for small-noise-perturbed multiscale dynamical systems where the slow motion is driven by fractional Brownian motion. We develop statistical estimators for both the Hurst index as well as a vector of unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-26 Solesne Bourguin , Siragan Gailus , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We obtain bounds for probabilities of deviations of the truncated variation functional of fractional Brownian motions (fBm) of any Hurst index $H \in (0,1)$ from their expected values. Obtained bounds are optimal for large values of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-17 Witold M. Bednorz , Rafał M. Łochowski

A number of phenomena in various fields such as geology, atmospheric sciences, economics, to list a few, can be modeled as a fractional Brownian motion indexed by Hurst exponent $H$. This exponent is related to the degree of regularity and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-05 Minkyoung Kang , Brani Vidakovic

This research explores the reliability of deep learning, specifically Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, for estimating the Hurst parameter in fractional stochastic processes. The study focuses on three types of processes: fractional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-04 Dániel Boros , Bálint Csanády , Iván Ivkovic , Lóránt Nagy , András Lukács , László Márkus

In this short note, we show how to use concentration inequalities in order to build exact confidence intervals for the Hurst parameter associated with a one-dimensional fractional Brownian motion

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-29 Jean-Christophe Breton , Ivan Nourdin , Giovanni Peccati

Fractional Brownian motion (fBm) is an experimentally-relevant, non-Markovian Gaussian stochastic process with long-ranged correlations between the increments, parametrised by the so-called Hurst exponent $H$; depending on its value the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-10-04 O. Benichou , G. Oshanin

We estimate the Hurst parameter $H \in (0,1)$ of a fractional Brownian motion from discrete noisy data, observed along a high frequency sampling scheme. When the intensity $\tau_n$ of the noise is smaller in order than $n^{-H}$ we establish…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-27 Grégoire Szymanski

Closed-form expressions, parametrized by the Hurst exponent $H$ and the length $n$ of a time series, are derived for paths of fractional Brownian motion (fBm) and fractional Gaussian noise (fGn) in the $\mathcal{A}-\mathcal{T}$ plane,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-01-01 Mariusz Tarnopolski

There is much confusion in the literature over Hurst exponent (H). The purpose of this paper is to illustrate the difference between fractional Brownian motion (fBm) on the one hand and Gaussian Markov processes where H is different to 1/2…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-10 G. Millán

Considering that both the entropy-based market information and the Hurst exponent are useful tools for determining whether the efficient market hypothesis holds for a given asset, we study the link between the two approaches. We thus…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-26 Xavier Brouty , Matthieu Garcin

The long range dependence of the fractional Brownian motion (fBm), fractional Gaussian noise (fGn), and differentiated fGn (DfGn) is described by the Hurst exponent $H$. Considering the realisations of these three processes as time series,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-07-20 Mariusz Tarnopolski

The aim of this paper is to prove an analogue of Baxter's inequality for fractional Brownian motion-type processes with Hurst index less than 1/2. This inequality is concerned with the norm estimate of the difference between finite- and…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-17 Akihiko Inoue , Yukio Kasahara , Punam Phartyal

Herein we develop a dynamical foundation for fractional Brownian Motion. A clear relation is established between the asymptotic behaviour of the correlation function and diffusion in a dynamical system. Then, assuming that scaling is…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 R Mannella , P Grigolini , BJ West

This note is devoted to show how to push forward the algebraic integration setting in order to treat differential systems driven by a noisy input with H\"older regularity greater than 1/4. After recalling how to treat the case of ordinary…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-15 Samy Tindel , Iván Torrecilla

We examine two stochastic processes with random parameters, which in their basic versions (i.e., when the parameters are fixed) are Gaussian and display long range dependence and anomalous diffusion behavior, characterized by the Hurst…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-16 Hubert Woszczek , Agnieszka Wylomanska , Aleksei Chechkin

We provide a device, called the local predictor, which extends the idea of the predictable compensator. It is shown that a fBm with the Hurst index greater than 1/2 coincides with its local predictor while fBm with the Hurst index smaller…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-07-10 Adam Jakubowski

The diversity of diffusive systems exhibiting long-range correlations characterized by a stochastically varying Hurst exponent calls for a generic multifractional model. We present a simple, analytically tractable model which fills the gap…