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Analytics of financial data is inherently a Big Data paradigm, as such data are collected over many assets, asset classes, countries, and time periods. This represents a challenge for modern machine learning models, as the number of model…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-11 Yao Lei Xu , Kriton Konstantinidis , Danilo P. Mandic

In this paper, we present a sharp analysis for a class of alternating projected gradient descent algorithms which are used to solve the covariate adjusted precision matrix estimation problem in the high-dimensional setting. We demonstrate…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-01-13 Xiao Lv , Wei Cui , Yulong Liu

This work introduces a novel, simple, and flexible method to quantify irreversibility in generic high-dimensional time series based on the well-known mapping to a binary classification problem. Our approach utilizes gradient boosting for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-09 Michele Vodret , Cristiano Pacini , Christian Bongiorno

Data-driven methods for modeling dynamic systems have received considerable attention as they provide a mechanism for control synthesis directly from the observed time-series data. In the absence of prior assumptions on how the time-series…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-09-24 Atiye Alaeddini , Siavash Alemzadeh , Afshin Mesbahi , Mehran Mesbahi

Compositional data, such as regional shares of economic sectors or property transactions, are central to understanding structural change in economic systems across space and time. This paper introduces a spatiotemporal multivariate…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-16 Matthias Eckardt , Philipp Otto

A Poisson autoregressive (PAR) model accounting for discreteness and autocorrelation of count time series data is typically estimated in the state-space modelling framework through extended Kalman filter. However, because of the complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-05 Paolo Victor T. Redondo , Joseph Ryan G. Lansangan , Erniel B. Barrios

We propose a nonconvex estimator for joint multivariate regression and precision matrix estimation in the high dimensional regime, under sparsity constraints. A gradient descent algorithm with hard thresholding is developed to solve the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-03 Jinghui Chen , Quanquan Gu

Tucker tensor decomposition offers a more effective representation for multiway data compared to the widely used PARAFAC model. However, its flexibility brings the challenge of selecting the appropriate latent multi-rank. To overcome the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-19 Federica Stolf , Antonio Canale

We introduce a flexible framework for high-dimensional matrix estimation to incorporate side information for both rows and columns. Existing approaches, such as inductive matrix completion, often impose restrictive structure-for example, an…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-27 Anish Agarwal , Jungjun Choi , Ming Yuan

In finance, economics and many other fields, observations in a matrix form are often observed over time. For example, many economic indicators are obtained in different countries over time. Various financial characteristics of many…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-22 Dong Wang , Xialu Liu , Rong Chen

We introduce mixed model trace regression (MMTR), a mixed model linear regression extension for scalar responses and high-dimensional matrix-valued covariates. MMTR's fixed effects component is equivalent to trace regression, with an…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-19 Ian Hultman , Sanvesh Srivastava

Autoregressive (AR) models remain widely used in time series analysis due to their interpretability, but convencional parameter estimation methods can be computationally expensive and prone to convergence issues. This paper proposes a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-20 Anaísa Lucena , Ana Martins , Armando J. Pinho , Sónia Gouveia

This paper introduces a dual-regularized ADMM approach to distributed, time-varying optimization. The proposed algorithm is designed in a prediction-correction framework, in which the computing nodes predict the future local costs based on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-07 Nicola Bastianello , Andrea Simonetto , Ruggero Carli

Engineering and applied sciences use models of increasing complexity to simulate the behaviour of manufactured and physical systems. Propagation of uncertainties from the input to a response quantity of interest through such models may…

Computation · Statistics 2016-06-29 K. Konakli , B. Sudret

We consider the problem of low-rank decomposition of incomplete multiway tensors. Since many real-world data lie on an intrinsically low dimensional subspace, tensor low-rank decomposition with missing entries has applications in many data…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2016-08-24 Linxiao Yang , Jun Fang , Hongbin Li , Bing Zeng

Additive models can be used for interpretable machine learning for their clarity and simplicity. However, In the classical models for high-order data, the vectorization operation disrupts the data structure, which may lead to degenerated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Yang Chen , Ce Zhu , Jiani Liu , Yipeng Liu

We propose a contemporaneous bilinear transformation for a $p\times q$ matrix time series to alleviate the difficulties in modeling and forecasting matrix time series when $p$ and/or $q$ are large. The resulting transformed matrix assumes a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-01 Yuefeng Han , Rong Chen , Cun-Hui Zhang , Qiwei Yao

Modeling responses on the nodes of a large-scale network is an important task that arises commonly in practice. This paper proposes a community network vector autoregressive (CNAR) model, which utilizes the network structure to characterize…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-13 Elynn Y. Chen , Jianqing Fan , Xuening Zhu

High dimensional Vector Autoregressions (VAR) have received a lot of interest recently due to novel applications in health, engineering, finance and the social sciences. Three issues arise when analyzing VAR's: (a) The high dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Sagnik Halder , George Michailidis

This article proposes novel estimation methods for the Matrix Autoregressive (MAR) model, specifically adaptations of the Yule-Walker equations and Burg's method, addressing limitations in existing techniques. The MAR model, by maintaining…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-22 Kamil Kołodziejski