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Large climate-model ensembles are computationally expensive; yet many downstream analyses would benefit from additional, statistically consistent realizations of spatiotemporal climate variables. We study a generative modeling approach for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Jacquelyn Shelton , Przemyslaw Polewski , Alexander Robel , Matthew Hoffman , Stephen Price

Rare event sampling is a central problem in modern computational chemistry research. Among the existing methods, transition path sampling (TPS) can generate unbiased representations of reaction processes. However, its efficiency depends on…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-04-04 Jintu Zhang , Odin Zhang , Luigi Bonati , TingJun Hou

We present a novel learning framework that consistently embeds underlying physics while bypassing a significant drawback of most modern, data-driven coarse-grained approaches in the context of molecular dynamics (MD), i.e., the availability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-25 Markus Schöberl , Nicholas Zabaras , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

Enhanced sampling methods are indispensable in computational physics and chemistry, where atomistic simulations cannot exhaustively sample the high-dimensional configuration space of dynamical systems due to the sampling problem. A class of…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2024-04-04 Jakub Rydzewski , Ming Chen , Tushar K. Ghosh , Omar Valsson

Cross-validation (CV) is a widely-used method of predictive assessment based on repeated model fits to different subsets of the available data. CV is applicable in a wide range of statistical settings. However, in cases where data are not…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-23 Alex Cooper , Aki Vehtari , Catherine Forbes

Accurately quantifying uncertainty in predictions and projections arising from irreducible internal climate variability is critical for informed decision making. Such uncertainty is typically assessed using ensembles produced with physics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Parsa Gooya , Reinel Sospedra-Alfonso , Johannes Exenberger

Recently, there has been substantial interest in statistical guarantees for cross-validation (CV) methods of uncertainty quantification in statistical learning (cf. Barber et al. 2021a, Liang and Barber 2024, Steinberger and Leeb 2023).…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-09 Nicolai Amann , Hannes Leeb , Lukas Steinberger

The quantile varying coefficient (VC) model can flexibly capture dynamical patterns of regression coefficients. In addition, due to the quantile check loss function, it is robust against outliers and heavy-tailed distributions of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-11 Fei Zhou , Jie Ren , Shuangge Ma , Cen Wu

Understanding kinetics and thermodynamics profile of biomolecules is necessary to understand their functional roles which has a major impact in mechanism driven drug discovery. Molecular dynamics simulation has been routinely used to…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-07 Soumendranath Bhakat

In molecular dynamics simulations, rare events, such as protein folding, are typically studied using enhanced sampling techniques, most of which are based on the definition of a collective variable (CV) along which acceleration occurs.…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2024-07-22 Soojung Yang , Juno Nam , Johannes C. B. Dietschreit , Rafael Gómez-Bombarelli

Machine Learning models in real-world applications must continuously learn new tasks to adapt to shifts in the data-generating distribution. Yet, for Continual Learning (CL), models often struggle to balance learning new tasks (plasticity)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Luckeciano C. Melo , Alessandro Abate , Yarin Gal

Collective variable (CV) or order parameter based enhanced sampling algorithms have achieved great success due to their ability to efficiently explore the rough potential energy landscapes of complex systems. However, the degeneracy of…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2018-07-11 Jing Zhang , Ming Chen

Conditional variational autoencoders (CVAEs) are versatile deep generative models that extend the standard VAE framework by conditioning the generative model with auxiliary covariates. The original CVAE model assumes that the data samples…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-03 Siddharth Ramchandran , Gleb Tikhonov , Otto Lönnroth , Pekka Tiikkainen , Harri Lähdesmäki

High-dimensional complex systems can be studied through multivariate analysis, as Principal Component Analysis, however large samples of observations frequently are needed for it. Here it is examined a method for small samples based on…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-16 Dimitri Marques Abramov

The present work concerns the transferability of coarse-grained (CG) modeling in reproducing the dynamic properties of the reference atomistic systems across a range of parameters. In particular, we focus on implicit-solvent CG modeling of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-03-22 Zhan Ma , Shu Wang , Minhee Kim , Kaibo Liu , Chun-Long Chen , Wenxiao Pan

Connectionist temporal classification (CTC) is commonly adopted for sequence modeling tasks like speech recognition, where it is necessary to preserve order between the input and target sequences. However, CTC is only applied to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-18 Zheng Nan , Ting Dang , Vidhyasaharan Sethu , Beena Ahmed

Bayesian cross-validation (CV) is a popular method for predictive model assessment that is simple to implement and broadly applicable. A wide range of CV schemes is available for time series applications, including generic leave-one-out…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-12 Alex Cooper , Dan Simpson , Lauren Kennedy , Catherine Forbes , Aki Vehtari

Continuous-Variable (CV) devices are a promising platform for demonstrating large-scale quantum information protocols. In this framework, we define a general quantum computational model based on a CV hardware. It consists of vacuum input…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-02-06 Tom Douce , Damian Markham , Elham Kashefi , Peter van Loock , Giulia Ferrini

While generative models have shown great success in generating high-dimensional samples conditional on low-dimensional descriptors (learning e.g. stroke thickness in MNIST, hair color in CelebA, or speaker identity in Wavenet), their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-31 Mohammad Lotfollahi , Mohsen Naghipourfar , Fabian J. Theis , F. Alexander Wolf

We propose a risk-averse statistical learning framework wherein the performance of a learning algorithm is evaluated by the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) of losses rather than the expected loss. We devise algorithms based on stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-17 Tasuku Soma , Yuichi Yoshida